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21st December 2006
Todays ramblings
Good Morning.
Good Morning
[[firstname]].
Just thought I would remind you that tomorrow morning
will be the last tips from me until the new year.
Carrying on from
Yesterday
Have you noticed how strange the prices on
the lay side are on the Greyhounds?
Sometimes the SP is 6/1 but we get a
match lower other times we get know way near the SP, it just goes to show how
frantic and strange the last 60 seconds can be.
Well even though the
SP's yesterday show a different story we still got matched on the 1st 3
selections and won on all of them, luckily as it got a little dodgy later on.
It shows again that it is better to get in and out as quick as you
can.
I did get an email from someone suggesting using a 2 race scratch
back on a continuous run and although it is interesting and if you have a large
enough bank could work out better, I still don't like the idea of keep going
because I am afraid Howard's warnings will catch you out sooner or
later.
Here are today's settings, which are the same as yesterday
because I just want a little more in the bank (I lost again at football last
night) before we start on staking again.
Stake 2.00
Stop Win: 2.00 x
3 = 6.00 (take it down to 5.57)
Stop Loss: 2.00 x 25 = 50.00
running loss
- 51.00
Screen shot of option settings.
Bots what are
they?
I have had quite a few emails asking for more informations about
bots and how they are used, so I thought I would try to come up with a laymen's
guide, although it will be over several emails.
As most of you will know
my company Sporting Bots Limited specialises in creating what I like to class
as "useful bots". These are bots that are user driven rather than design
driven, which means they are created out of a direct need and normally specific
to a certain way of betting.
So to explain what all this means I thought
I would go back to my first idea for the original Greyhound bot and the
thinking behind it.
I had been spending quite a bit of time betting on
the favourite of each Greyhound race as long as it was between a certain price,
using a similar "Scratch Back" staking system as we are using for the Greyhound
System (3).
I was having one major problem and that was time. As you
will probably know, greyhound races are normally 10 minutes apart, and the
favourite can only really be determined in the last 60 seconds of a race. So
because of going out, answering the phone, even just answering an email I kept
missing races.
So my first thing was to build what I called the
Greyhound Timer, at least then I could set it to sound an
alarm before each race that I was interested in, which helped as long as I
remembered to set it!
I decided this was no good, I had to find a better
way, so I contracted a programmer to write some software that would meet my
needs.
I will tell you that this is not as easy as it sounds and finding
a good programmer was not easy or cheap, this is what we call a bespoke
application (made for one purpose) and that word always "rings the
till".
So first of all a Bot or the Greyhound Bot in this case, is just
a software application, but it's difference is that it is actually talking to
another piece of software called an API in this case Betfair's API.
So
let's cover Betfair's API first, what is it and why is it so
important?
Application Programming Interface (API) is a set of tools
that allow you to interface securely (and I must emphasize securely) with
Betfair's database. When we link to the API is over what we call a HTTPS secure
direct link which is even a little technical for me!
Although betfair
has lots of nice (on not so nice depending on your point of view) screens that
you can look at when you are browsing, you are just looking at information that
is held in a giant database and it is the API that links between what you see
on screen and what is in the database.
Paying betfair a nice little
chunk every month allows me to have access to the API and use software to query
it's contents for certain information.
In the case of the Greyhound bot
we would send a call to the API to give us all the Greyhound races for the day,
including the time and course, this is fed back to the bot is the form of race
ID's, which the bot can keep a list of.
So when you are select the races
for the Greyhound bot to watch it just calls the API and says give me all the
race information for these race ID's.
The Greyhound bot can ask for
lot's of information through the API and that is why we ended up expanding and
making it in to the
Grey Horse bot
so it's overall usefulness was enhanced.
The API allows us to get the
list of runners, current prices and to place bets, but it is the internal
workings of our software that takes this information and manipulates so that
automatic betting and staking can occur.
More tomorrow.
2.
Guest Selection - started 23-10-2006
These are lay test selections
from Thomas.
NO BET if odds above 9.00 at Betfair
Tuesday's (19 Dec
2006)
Sout 1310 - Green Day Packer - 5th - SP 10/1 - Betfair 13.5 - no
bet
Sout 1415 - Ella Y Rossa - NR
Here are today's (20 Dec
2006)
Muss 1320 - Barrons Pike
Muss 1420 - Rightful Ruler
Ling 1430
- Awatuki
Thomas is recording all Betfair prices 30 sec before the
off.
3. Place System (win Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
This is
a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results
so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9.
Points since we started + 12.28
Yesterday:
Sorry no
selections
Today's: EP taken at 8.07.
14.30 Southwell, Bungie, EP 3.8
(2 Places)
14.50 Exeter, Mayoun, EP 2.16 (3 Places)
4. Miracle
System (win Bet)
Yesterday.
14.00 Lingfield, All Of Me 2nd
7/4
Today: 14:30, Southwell (ATR), Eau Good
You can purchase this
system here:
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/miracle-system-06-payment.htm
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6. "Best Lay of the
Day" - Lay
Betting System Bet
Yesterday:
15:20 MUSSELBURGH, Bafana Boy
5th 11/4
Today: 15:30 Southwell, Black Sea Pearl (AW)
Please
Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one
of the selections for this tip.
You can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
 Advantages of owning the
system:
1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later
in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can
talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular
updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8)
Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now
includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own
your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting
System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm
**NEW**
You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
website.
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
Bismarx (BV)
As at 8 o'clock this morning the
following horses were identified as within Bismarx range.
Watch for market
changes before the race.
Exercise caution at odds over 2.8 or where
non-runner's have left less than 5 runner's in a race.
Generally do not
lay when wide odds disparity (3.0+) has emerged between the Favourite and the
other runner's.
Quit when your profit target has been reached.
Prepare
for liability in advance - always plan your next move first.
Join a
crazy lay betting experiment, 99% S.R, email
Beta@Bismarx.com
12.40
Lud PRINCESS OF AENEAS @2.8
13.00 Sthl RAFFERY @2.7
13.20 Exe NEVER SO
BLUE @2.8
13.20 Sthl APHORISM @2.1
15.10 Lud TAMBOURINE DAVIS @2.8
Bismarx (BVR)
8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System
started 07/11/2006.
After playing around with selections I have
decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I think I
have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I suspect
there will have to be a maximum lay price set. I am just not sure what that
will be but I am testing between 2.00 and 7.00. I will make every effort to
record betfair lay prices as well. The ones marked with an asterisks (*) are
from the original and tighter system.
You can see all the results since the
14th (when I introduced the latest selection method)
here. I am now using what I call the "rule of 3", this means
we go for 3 wins and use a 3 race scratch back to get back any
losses.
Yesterdays:
Hall Green BAGS, 11.19, Knockunder Hill, Trap 4
3rd 7/2
Brough Park BAGS, 11.57, Chevington Bell, Trap 4 2nd 6/1
Hall
Green BAGS, 12.18, Watch My Mentor, Trap 2 5th 4/1
Brough Park BAGS, 12.58,
Louie Scorcha, Trap 3 5th 6/1
Brough Park BAGS, 13.12, Gravel Lee, Trap 4
1st 7/4 - LOST
Brough Park BAGS, 13.27, Mulcair,
Trap 2 4th 5/1
Hall Green BAGS, 13.51, Watch Artemis, Trap 1 1st 9/2 -
LOST
Brough Park BAGS, 14.03, Solway Admiral, Trap
2 4th 4/1
Hove BAGS, 15.07, Blakes Monarch, Trap 6 6th 6/1
Hove BAGS,
16.08, Turlocks Trolley, Trap 4 1st 7/2 - LOST
Hove BAGS, 17.27, Oilean Rebel, Trap 4 3rd 4/1
Hove BAGS, 17.58, Cushie
Shauna, Trap 6 3rd 4/1
12 Selections today, 5 losers (Screen Shot)
Here are today's.
Sunderland BAGS,
11.19, Motivator, Trap 5
Sheffield BAGS, 11.42, Cobi Leone, Trap 1
Sunderland BAGS, 12.32, Noelles Lo, Trap 3(*)
Sheffield BAGS, 12.58, Ding
Dang Do, Trap 4
Sheffield BAGS, 13.12, Confident Forest, Trap 6(*)
Sheffield BAGS, 14.03, Confused Pongo, Trap 6
Crayford BAGS, 14.18, Perrys
Tune, Trap 4(*)
Romford BAGS, 14.47, Lady Donna, Trap 4
Romford BAGS,
15.07, Grenrose Lilly, Trap 4
Crayford BAGS, 17.17, Winning Frisby, Trap
1
Romford BAGS, 17.27, Saintys Whitey, Trap 5
Crayford BAGS, 17.48,
Cudham Bull, Trap 2
Crayford BAGS, 18.04, Artful Amazon, Trap 4(*)
Crayford BAGS, 18.18, Oscar Napa, Trap 4(*)
14 Selections today and 5 are
(*)
I set the
Grey
Horse bot price range from 1 -7.
9. Millionaire's Row - Win Selections
started 13/11/2006
This is a win system (test) that me and a friend
have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him select every
morning so although we created the system together he is the one really
refining it.
Click Here to see the results so far.
Points +
3.89
Yesterday's:
13.30 Lingfield, Basaata 1st 8/13 /Nicomedia 3rd
6/1
Allthough we have been lossing at level stakes on both even you adjust
the stakes, you can make profit.
Today. 12.30 South: Stanley
George/Berts Memory
Use 50/50 if you can make profit whatever the
outcome. I am using 1pt on each selection.
10. New - Win Selections started
07/11/2006
This is a new win system that John from
Luv2Lose has asked me to
show you. He expects the price to drop all the way to the off with these and
the idea is to get the best price above odds-on as you can. The verdict is
still out on whether to take selections that are below evens.
Points:
+1.0
Yesterday: EP at 1.00
Kempton Park 17.20 HURRICANE SPIRIT EP
1.31 1st 1/3
Today: EP at 8.47
Southwell 14.30 EAU GOOD, EP
1.51
Ludlow 15.10 TAMBOURINE DAVIS, EP 2.68
Please tell your friends about this daily
tip and pass on my URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Have a good days racing.
Malcolm Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com
http://www.laybetting.com
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
P.S. How about something different...
http://www.greyhoundlaysystem.co.uk/
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