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12th April 2007

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

It's always frustrating when you do not get selections from a particular system like Millionaire Double Take, especially when you are testing the selection. Living with this is something you have to learn to cope with though because it helps you learn patience. It would be easy to adjust the system so we get a bet every day but we want to try and create a system that gives us a lot of winners instead.

I mentioned yesterday that we are going to try a staking plan with the Miracle System(4) top choice. One of the readers of this email (thanks John) sent in some interesting information.

"Around the time you started the top choice selection I also thought I'd try it out to see how it performed. I used the safebet plan staking system and the results so far are:

With a theoretical bank of £500
Current ROI 5.78%
Current Strike Rate 60.87
Max Bet Struck £100.00
Max % of Original Bank Staked 20%
Max % of Total Bank Staked 22.21%
Max Won on Single Bet £123.00
Total Bets 92
Max balance bank has increased by £175.19
Average price of winners 0.66
Winners 56 Losers 36
Longest losing run 5 (once)
Longest Winning run 7 (twice)
Bank Now stands at £621.45

Ok it is not fantastic but it's not bad either and it shows with the correct staking plan and enough winners you can make money with short priced favourites.

I had another staking idea but John tells me at the moment it is not showing as much profit as the safebet plan so I may have to rethink that idea.

Interestingly I have had another email form another reader (thanks Mervyn) regarding the place system.

"I spent Easter using various staking systems for your place bet tips. (I must get out more!!) Most produced poor results except for the Cover to Win system (more on this later) which only risked 30% of the £100 bank at the worst stage. From Nov to Jan results it showed a massive 60 point profit using £1 target per day."

So again it shows staking plans can make a difference if you use the correct one for the selections. That is the trick though and the more results you have the more you can test. So in some cases you may not have to find new systems but rather new staking plans. The Safebet plan and Don Maclean My Mathematical Formula (Diabolical Staking Plan), are a couple you could consider.
2. Guest Selection - started 23-10-2006
These are lay test selections from Thomas.

HiPro86 - do not lay above 9.0 at Betfairs layside

Results of yesterdays selections:

Here 1440 - It Happened Out - 6th - SP 8/1 - Betfair 10.0 - no bet

win/place selections
Here 1510 - Haunted House - 3rd - SP 4/1 - Betfair 5.10/2.12 - WON +1.24
Here 1640 - Wicked Nice Fella - NR
Here 1710 - Thenford Star - 4th - SP 11/4(Fav) - lost -3

here are todays selections:

HiPro86 - do not lay above 9.0 at Betfairs layside

Leic 1740 - Isphahan

Win/Place selections - 1pt for Win and 2pts to Place (total outlay = 3pts)

Aint 1620 - Andreas

The concept is to always place 1 point to WIN and 2 points to PLACE on the same horse. So, there is a risk of always 3 points if the horse does not place at least.

Thomas is recording all Betfair prices 30 sec before the off.

3. Place System (win Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 15.12

17.35 Pontefract, Greenbelt EP2.36 5th

15.20 Leicester, Fool Me EP 2.9
15.55 Leicester, Sweeney EP2.38

4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Normal: 16:20, Exeter, Beau Supreme 1st 1/1
Pts 2007: - 0.38
Top Choice: 16:20, Exeter, Beau Supreme - Stake 50pts 1st 1/1
Pts 2007: -1.77
Bank = 550pts

Normal: 14:00, Aintree, Mighty Man
Top Choice: 16:10, Leicester, Silver Guest
(we are trying an experiment with the Top Choice selection and the points are based on where we are in the staking plan. 50pts is the level stakes bet and we started with a 500pts bank on the 11/04/2007)
You can purchase this system here:
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Who Else Wants To Trial A Scientific Approach To Winner-Finding? And, Better Still, With All The Hard Work Done For Them!

Click Here to read more
6. "Best Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
16.00 Bath, Can Can Star 2nd 10/3

Today: 17.40 Leic Sound Of Nature

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip

Comments for today: Our selection has been hiked up in the weights on his first trip on grass so I will go with Metaphoric to win this.
Nap (Lay)
Selection 1: Leicester 15:55 ZAR SOLITARIO

Stop at a Winner (lay)
Selection 1: Aintree 16:55 LIBERATE


8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System started 07/11/2006.

After playing around with selections I have decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I think I have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I suspect there will have to be a maximum lay price set. I am just not sure what that will be but I am testing between 2.00 and 7.00. I will make every effort to record betfair lay prices as well. The ones marked with an asterisks (*) are from the original and tighter system, I am not using these now.
Udate. I am now stopping at the first winner and changing my stop loss to £16.00 although I think this may be to high and we should also stop at the first loser and call it a day. Only time will tell.

Hall Green BAGS, 11.48, Tuttles Bluebell, Trap 6 1st 4/1- LOST
Newcastle BAGS, 12.27, Tobago Rueben, Trap 5 2nd 8/1
Hall Green BAGS, 12.47, Our Ocean, Trap 6 3rd 3/1
Newcastle BAGS, 12.58, Unusual Lass, Trap 6 5th 7/2
Hall Green BAGS, 13.04, Frankiesister, Trap 6 2nd 3/1
Newcastle BAGS, 13.44, Liberal Prince, Trap 4 5th 4/1
Hall Green BAGS, 13.51, Witches Jackdaw, Trap 5 1st 4/1- LOST
Newcastle BAGS, 14.03, Karls Crest, Trap 1 3rd 5/1
Oxford BAGS, 15.58, Key Fixture, Trap 4(*) 2nd 6/1
Hove BAGS, 16.08, Oilean Rebel, Trap 5 3rd 7/4
Hove BAGS, 16.27, Harrys Monkey, Trap 3 5th 5/1
Oxford BAGS, 16.57, Goldfinch Lady, Trap 3 3rd 7/4
Hove BAGS, 17.27, Meloneras, Trap 1 4th 8/1
Oxford BAGS, 17.33, Marley Bob, Trap 6 4yh 6/1
Hove BAGS, 17.44, Open The Shop, Trap 4(*) 1st 3/1- LOST
Oxford BAGS, 18.04, Clear Tone, Trap 1 4th 7/2
Oxford BAGS, 18.18, Churchview Steve, Trap 4  4th 3/1
Swindon BAGS, 18.44, Mountgale Gamble, Trap 6 2nd 3/1
Romford BAGS, 19.06, Xaar Arapaho, Trap 5(*)  3rd 3/1
Swindon BAGS, 19.16, Rackethall Mindy, Trap 2 2nd 7/2
Romford BAGS, 19.37, Chomba Womba, Trap 3  1st 4/1- LOST
Sunderland BAGS, 19.58, Cooladerryunited, Trap 5  4th 3/1
Romford BAGS, 20.24, Boo Boos Baby, Trap 5(*) 4th 3/1
Swindon BAGS, 20.36, Clives Sister, Trap 3  1st 3/1- LOST
Romford BAGS, 20.41, Chinchin Haha, Trap 3 3rd 8/1
Sunderland BAGS, 21.02, Gavs Madra, Trap 6 3rd 7/2
Swindon BAGS, 21.22, Popinjay, Trap 6 2nd 6/1
278 selections 5 lost (screen shot)

Here are today's.
Sheffield BAGS, 11.11, Pale Fox, 4
Sunderland BAGS, 11.34, Magentars Safron, 5
Sunderland BAGS, 11.48, Scholes Dot Com, 2(*)
Sunderland BAGS, 13.33, Nonchalant, 6
Sunderland BAGS, 13.51, Wedmore Bri, 4(*)
Romford BAGS, 14.47, Kenwood Rejack, 4
Crayford BAGS, 14.57, Faithincrystal, 4
Romford BAGS, 15.07, Sloppy Fielder, 4
Romford BAGS, 15.48, Maydare Tom, 3(*)
Romford BAGS, 17.44, Malden Major, 4
Crayford BAGS, 18.04, Leahs Lovelyeyes, 6(*)
Crayford BAGS, 18.18, Sunville Cloe, 2
Newcastle BAGS, 18.38, Mountview Saturn, 6
Newcastle BAGS, 18.56, Datona Elegance, 4
Newcastle BAGS, 19.26, Geordie Victory, 4
Sittingbourne BAGS, 20.07, Orient Kate, 6(*)
Sittingbourne BAGS, 20.37, Pennypot Sky, 4(*)
Newcastle BAGS, 20.43, Ninas Roma, 5
Newcastle BAGS, 21.14, Energy Crisis, 1

Download the session.xml here (normally available by 10am mon-Fri)

Normal daily settings.
Stake 2.00
Stop Win: 2.00
Stop Loss: 16.00
running loss -23.00

I set the Grey Horse bot price range from 1 -7.

9. Millionaire's Row - Win Selections started 13/11/2006

This is a win system (test) that me and a friend have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him select every morning so although we created the system together he is the one really refining it. Click Here to see the results so far.
You can now get these selections Saturday by signing up here:

Yesterday: (5h April)
Daily Double
15.20 Exet: Mr Ed EP 2.7 2nd 15/8 / Fourty Acers EP 3.55 1st 15/8
Points -7.16

Daily Back Nap: (stared 15/02/2007)
15.50 Exet: Phar Bleu EP 1.54 1st 4/7
Points -2.03

Daily Lay Nap (stared 25/02/2007)
16.00 Bath: Double Spectre EP 10 1st 6/1
Points - 21.92

Double Take (started 22/03/2007) (£6.00 on the lay £4.00 on the back)
No Qualifier Today
Back =
Lay =
As the favourite was a NR we decided to call this a NR day.

Winnings to date = £23.57

Millionaire Double Selection.
14.35 Aint: Exotic Dancer EP 2.96 / State of Play EP 4.2

Millionaire Daily Nap
15.55 Leic: Zar Solitario  EP 3.45

Millionaire Daily Lay
17.40 Leic: Fann EP 16
We suggest this tip will be a no bet if over 7.0 on the exchanges.

Millionaire Double Take: 40pts Win /60pts Lay 2nd Favourite
No Qualifier Today

The idea is to to back the favourite and lay the second best priced horse before the off.
We are hoping that most of the time the lay should not change but if it does then it is always the best priced horse (lay side) after the favourite.
Our stake will be £10 split 4.00 on the back and 6.00 on the lay. Of course you could do this how you want but we suggest you put slightly more on the lay to cover any loses on the back bet because we feel the lay will lose far less often.

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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