Sorry it's late Betfair being down this morning has put
me miles behind this morning.
I had a few replies about the way you bet
that I talked about yesterday. Here is the first.
"In reply to your
request for info on betting if still in profit etc. First a cautionary tale.
Some time ago now I was just watching a tipster on site and monitoring their
strike rate etc. I will say though that the selections were as high as 30 on
Betfair. They also gave quite a few (basically they went through the card)
I decided to join for the 14 day trial and went at it with just
£10 stakes and in one week had wiped my bank. Needless to say I continued
to bet whilst in profit to get the max amount I could ( even us "experienced"
layers can go off the rails) thinking I would get back any losses. Didn't
happen. As this tipster was offering selections up to 30 which they said was
their cut off point I sometimes wonder if i should have used them on the place
market instead. Needless to say No more selections from then from now on, not
going to happen so a moot point really.
It took a long time to
re-build my bank. Now I have just one winning lay and stop for the day. Though
the temptation will be still there to go for the next winning loser to get more
profit discipline is the KEY to this game without it anyone contemplating
trying to earn a living at it will fail eventually.
I now try to judge
what profit level I want and then re calculate the percentage for next week.
Example I make £100 per day minus the Comm rate of 5% for 5 days =
£475. I then take out £200 for living expenses leaving £275
for the bank and to continue the investment.
Re calc the bank at 3% =
£8.25 added to the original stake of £100. making the next weeks
stake £108. I tend to calculate the bank after each win or loss and
adjust accordingly. Now i only go for the first and second favourites mainly
due to the low prices on offer as if the selection wins then there is not too
much damage to the bank. Re-Calculating the 3% sometimes means the next stake
is only down by maybe a pound or two. I also use ratings etc to gain the
advantage. Just keeping now to the one a day and using the above percentage it
is surprising that the stakes can reach the hundreds per day
site currently for this is http://www.horse-ratings.com
have a saying "drop by drop the pitcher is filled" in other words don't be
hasty,take your time and you will get there in the end.
Have a great
From Darren at the
With laying being the favourite method of a lot of punters these days there are
a lot of simple systems being sold for layers. A lot of these systems charge a
lot of money only to tell you to lay the 2nd or 3rd favourite. Which can be
disappointing to say the least.
When testing a lay system for say 3rd
favourites you do need to check a lot of data to be very sure that what you're
doing is profitable. It doesn't take much of a run of losing bets to make a big
dent in your bank, especially when you're laying at 8.0 or 9.0.
However having done a lot of research in recent months I am confident that
there is profit to be had from these systems or more likely a refinement of
You can also download a free sample of the Betting School
Insiders Club report at:
Guest: Adrian's Expected
Results December and January.
can get Adrian's daily selections by signing up here now.
Daily selections are here if you
can not get them by email.Just
keep an eye on them and see what you
Guest: Gary's Greyhound
lays not over 8.00
Theres only one full selection today which
Perry Barr - 11.11 - Trap 2 U/P 7.0 (MAL - I got
Nottingham - 11.19 - Trap 6 2nd 5.5 (MAL - I got 5.5)
Perry Barr -
12.12 - Trap 1 5th 8.00 (MAL - I didn't get mactched)
Nottingham - 12.18 -
Trap 4 U/P 8.0 (MAL - I got 7.9)
Nottingham - 13.19 - Trap 1 U/P 8.0 (MAL -
I didn't get mactched)
Newcastle - 11.28 - Trap 2
- 11.42 - Trap 2 - (Only take if either decent price or there is a clear
Newcastle - 12.27 - Trap 6 - (Only take if either decent price or
there is a clear Favorite)
Newcastle - 13.44 - Trap 6 - (Only take if
either decent price or there is a clear Favorite)
As always i suggest
you don't lay over 8.
Sponsors of the day
product of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
How To Set
Up And Run Your Own Professional Horse Racing Tipster Service .
Click Here to read more
Sponsor Tip of the
Selection 1: 4.30 Leicester Bathwick Shannon - (Nap) Lay
Selection 2: 1.40 Lingfield Samuel Charles Place
Selection 3: 4.40
Lingfield Highland Harvest Place
Selection 4: 6.50 Kempton Danetime Lord
Best Lay of the
Sorry no nap
Today: 14.50 Muss, Pencil
Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1
and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.
You can purchase
the system formula:
Advantages of owning the system:
1) Pick more than one race
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes
the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money
by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
Click here to find out more.
Place System: Started
This is a
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 51.62
system (30/07/07) + 13.69
16:10, Newcastle, Trisons
Star EP 2.06 1st
16:30, Folkestone, Dead-Eyed Dick, EP 3.1 4th
15:20, Musselburgh, Danish Rebel, EP 2.76
16:10, Lingfield, Danish
Rebel, Jemiliah, EP 2.76 (*)
(*) No bet under new system idea
Lay test system
(or maybe back)
Started (again) 15/01/2008. We are testing to see if we
have a good lay system or back. £10 stakes. Please remember this is a
test and a bit of fun to find out if this selection system works better as a
lay or back system.
Lay + £20.30 (after 5%
Back -£28.57(after 5% commision)
13:30, Folk, Aux Le Bahnn EP 2.3 2nd 4/5
Halla San EP 1.92
Remember this is just a test and we are paper
testing laying these selections.
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
If you need help about anything please go to my
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
Have a good days
P.S. How about something different...
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