16th December 2008
We haven't heard from Darren
Power (betting School)for a while but he sent me over this
"The old lessons are still
Every now and then I am reminded of some key principles
that universally apply to anybody that wants to make profit from betting.
I have just been reviewing my results from a system I have been
following for the last couple of months. The system has done really well and
now that I look back through the results and think about why it works I can see
that it is obvious that it would be profitable.
The principle that
applies in this case has been the subject of many books and articles over the
years that I have been involved with betting and that is that the successful
bettor goes against the crowd.
In this instance the system I'm looking
at advocates that we lay favourites when they look like good things to win! The
idea being that if a horse is the obvious favourite and looks certain to win
then it will be over bet. IE it will start at odds that don't reflect its true
For example if a horse has a 50/50 chance of winning the race
then it should be even money (2.0) but if it looks like a good thing and has
lots going for it then more than likely it will be trading at 1.8 or shorter.
This horse is therefore a value lay and if you lay horses like this over the
long term you will win.
The system I'm looking at is
Dodgy Favourites by Paul Fowlie (http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/go_dodgy_favourites.htm)
and it is going great guns. But if you can't afford to splash out on an
expensive system in these tough times then just pay attention to the key
principle, obvious horses are over bet and make value lays.
Power is the Editor of the Betting School Insiders Report, you can register for
a free copy of the Insiders Report at:
As many of you know I get
Darren's betting school guide every month, which apart from some very
interesting articles he also test many systems. In the December issue
Dodgy Favourites had been tested from October the 16th to
December the 1st (the test will be continued) there were 58 selections and 47
of them were successful lay's with a profit after commission of around 27pts at
Betfair's SP, a little less if you had used lunchtime prices.
I haven't tried this method
myself yet in fact I haven't even purchased the report, but I do trust Darren's
review of it in the Betting School report and he "recommends" it.
Guest Selection ("Double
your chances" )
Please remember this is a test, please just watch
the selections at the moment.
The idea really behind this system is to stop
at a winner, but I want to show what the selections are like over the period I
show them to you.
(Stakes based on a £10 dutch at Betfair prices
12.50 Ayr: Mohayer EP 3.15 Stake 5.40 4th
2/1 / Justtheoneforyou EP 3.7 Stake 4.60 2nd 3/1
3.00 Ayr: Brackenmoss EP
2.08 Stake 8.28 1st 8/13 / Bumble Rose EP 10 Stake 1.72 7th 20/1
January EP 2.5 Stake 5.58 1st 5/4 / Cheney Manor EP 3.15 Stake 4.42 2nd
1.20 Folk: Its a Dream EP 1.6 Stake 7.19 /Space Mission
EP 4.1 Stake 2.81
1.30 Catt: Peppertree Lane EP 1.49 Stake 9.01/Karmadice EP
13.5 Stake 0.99
3.30 Catt: Vivona Hill EP 3.0 Stake 6.47 /Pokandket EP 5.5
Sponsors of the day
("Products and Tips for you to look at.")
of the day (please take a look you never
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Sponsor Tip of the day.
The Almost Certain Lay Nap
Selection 1: 1.20 Folk, Stop The Show
Good to Lay
Selection 1: 1.50 Folk, Wondersobright
bet if there is a 10% or above reduction factor on betfair)
Set a maximum amount as your liability, then divide that figure by
the available odds.
EG. £100 / (8.8 - 1) = 12.82 so your stake is
Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay
a day from my Lay betting System")
Today: 14.50 Folk, National Petition
Please Note: The lay betting
system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for
You can purchase the system formula:
Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show
readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a
selection does daily.
You can also have this tip delivered as content
to your own website.
to find out more.
Don't forget about my Xmas
special, but I have had a lot of people take this up this week so it probably
won't last much longer.
If you purchase the
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk/ over the next couple
of weeks I will also send you under separate cover.
(Which I am removing from sale any day).
(Which I haven't put back on sale since purchasing it from the
So you get all the above for just £39.99.
that's a very good offer when you consider what they all cost separately. This
is a special offer to readers of this email and we will send the download
instructions for the bonus systems after we have received your payment
And please no refunds!
Back test system ( "A 'back'
system that I came up with a while ago")
This system is available
as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.
14.35 Plumpton, Freeze Up EP1.87 PU 11/10
Today. 13.30 Cat, Peppertree
Lane EP 1.49
Remember this is just a test and we are paper
testing "backing" these selections.
Other Information (" Here
is some other info that should help you")
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
If you need help about anything please go to my
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
You can automate your betting with
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
Have a good days
P.S. How about something different...
Also check my blog
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