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16th December 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

We haven't heard from Darren Power (betting School)for a while but he sent me over this yesterday...

"The old lessons are still the best!

Every now and then I am reminded of some key principles that universally apply to anybody that wants to make profit from betting.

I have just been reviewing my results from a system I have been following for the last couple of months. The system has done really well and now that I look back through the results and think about why it works I can see that it is obvious that it would be profitable.

The principle that applies in this case has been the subject of many books and articles over the years that I have been involved with betting and that is that the successful bettor goes against the crowd.

In this instance the system I'm looking at advocates that we lay favourites when they look like good things to win! The idea being that if a horse is the obvious favourite and looks certain to win then it will be over bet. IE it will start at odds that don't reflect its true chance.

For example if a horse has a 50/50 chance of winning the race then it should be even money (2.0) but if it looks like a good thing and has lots going for it then more than likely it will be trading at 1.8 or shorter. This horse is therefore a value lay and if you lay horses like this over the long term you will win.

The system I'm looking at is Dodgy Favourites by Paul Fowlie ( and it is going great guns. But if you can't afford to splash out on an expensive system in these tough times then just pay attention to the key principle, obvious horses are over bet and make value lays.

Darren Power is the Editor of the Betting School Insiders Report, you can register for a free copy of the Insiders Report at: "

As many of you know I get Darren's betting school guide every month, which apart from some very interesting articles he also test many systems. In the December issue Dodgy Favourites had been tested from October the 16th to December the 1st (the test will be continued) there were 58 selections and 47 of them were successful lay's with a profit after commission of around 27pts at Betfair's SP, a little less if you had used lunchtime prices.

I haven't tried this method myself yet in fact I haven't even purchased the report, but I do trust Darren's review of it in the Betting School report and he "recommends" it.

Guest Selection ("Double your chances" )

Please remember this is a test, please just watch the selections at the moment.
The idea really behind this system is to stop at a winner, but I want to show what the selections are like over the period I show them to you.

(Stakes based on a £10 dutch at Betfair prices around 9am.)

12.50 Ayr: Mohayer EP 3.15 Stake 5.40 4th 2/1 / Justtheoneforyou EP 3.7 Stake 4.60 2nd 3/1
3.00 Ayr: Brackenmoss EP 2.08 Stake 8.28 1st 8/13 / Bumble Rose EP 10 Stake 1.72 7th 20/1
4.20 Wolv: January EP 2.5 Stake 5.58 1st 5/4 / Cheney Manor EP 3.15 Stake 4.42 2nd 4/1

1.20 Folk: Its a Dream EP 1.6 Stake 7.19 /Space Mission EP 4.1 Stake 2.81
1.30 Catt: Peppertree Lane EP 1.49 Stake 9.01/Karmadice EP 13.5 Stake 0.99
3.30 Catt: Vivona Hill EP 3.0 Stake 6.47 /Pokandket EP 5.5 Stake 3.53

Sponsors of the day ("Products and Tips for you to look at.")

Sponsor product of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Want to try something a little different? Virtual Football may be just what you are looking for...
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Sponsor Tip of the day.

The Almost Certain Lay Nap
Selection 1: 1.20 Folk, Stop The Show

Good to Lay
Selection 1: 1.50 Folk, Wondersobright

(NOTE: No bet if there is a 10% or above reduction factor on betfair)

Set a maximum amount as your liability, then divide that figure by the available odds.

EG. £100 / (8.8 - 1) = 12.82 so your stake is £12.82.

Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay a day from my Lay betting System")

No Nap

Today: 14.50 Folk, National Petition

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a selection does daily.

You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Don't forget about my Xmas special, but I have had a lot of people take this up this week so it probably won't last much longer.

If you purchase the over the next couple of weeks I will also send you under separate cover. (Which I am removing from sale any day). (Which I haven't put back on sale since purchasing it from the author).

So you get all the above for just £39.99.

I think that's a very good offer when you consider what they all cost separately. This is a special offer to readers of this email and we will send the download instructions for the bonus systems after we have received your payment information.
And please no refunds!

Back test system ( "A 'back' system that I came up with a while ago")

This system is available as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.

14.35 Plumpton, Freeze Up EP1.87 PU 11/10

Today. 13.30 Cat, Peppertree Lane EP 1.49

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing "backing" these selections.

Other Information (" Here is some other info that should help you")
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
If you need help about anything please go to my support site.
If you haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair points.

You can automate your betting with GHB.

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...
Also check my blog here
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