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17th January 2006.


Yesterdays Results
Dan´s Heir (Miracle System) came 1st, King´s Fable (Lay Betting System) came 4th.

http://www.laybetaday.co.uk/ won.

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

Sorry this is a bit late this morning, but I didn't want to send it out without at least a little tutorial on Adrians Site.

If you have missed any of this feature then please look back over the last couple of weeks here.

Ok go over to adrians site.

Keep everything the same except:

Make sure Clear Favourite is checked.
select 2004, 2005, 2006
Race Type All National Hunt only ticked
Starting Price check 1-2 to 10-11, Evens to 11-8, 6-4 to 15-8 only
Include List of Selections checked
Max Number 2000
Include Breakdown of Results checked
Click Go

Everything being equal you should have a -20929 on the £100 level stake column and a "Win Strike Rate" of 42.2%

When I look through the breakdown I try to look for things that will make a change to the percentage win rate, so I use the 42.2% as my bench mark, anything over this could help us reduce this figure.

Race Distance, Number of runners, SP, Race Type, age of horse, are all good starting places.

If you take a quick look at Starting Price you will see that 1-2 to 10-11 has a win strike rate of 53%, so if we filtered this out then the overal strike rate would go down, but I don't want to do that yet.

If you look at the "Number of Runners" table you will notice that races with less than 8 runners will help our cause.

Looking at the "Race Type" table you will see Novice Hurdle, Selling Hurdle and Novice chase are contributing to a higher strike rate.

One table I always find interesting is "Finishing Position of Horse in its Most Recent Race" and how 1st LTO, doesn't give the horse any bigger chance than any other.

Have a look at the "Days Since the Horse Last Ran" table and you will see why trainers want to get their horses back out quickly though!

More tomorrow...



Have good day's racing.

Malcolm

Miracle System (win Bet)
15.30 Folkstone, Presenting Express,

http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/betting_exchanges.htm
Place System (on exchanges only)
1 win in the latest run
No Selection Today
We have tried to create a system to go along with My Mathematical Formula:
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/My-Mathematical-Formula.htm
If you want to see how we created the system then plese look here: http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/place-system.htm
Sponser of the day (please take a look you never no!)
This simple to follow, easy to learn system that often has an amazing 8, 10, 12 winers in a row!

It can take as little as 60 seconds to find your daily selection.
Click Here to read more

"Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
13.30 Folkstone, Uncle Max (V3 Jump)

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk

Advantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Bet on Saturdays and Sundays (no emails from me on these days)
3) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
4) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
5) UK or IRE races
6) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
7) Now on V4
8) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
9) Owners last got an update 22/07/2005
10) Now includes Lay Place System.
11) Now includes AW System
12) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm

**NEW**

You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website...

http://www.laybetting.com/free_tip.htm
o Todays sponser tip
Laying for Profit

Race 1: Fontwell 4.10 Tip1: New Mischief
Race 2: Folkestone 1.30 Tip2: Uncle Max

Suggested banking plan:
If we say that 1 pt = £50 or 1/40 of your bank then:
If the odds are up to 3/1 then bet 1.00pt
From 3/1 to 7/1 bet 0.5pt If over
7/1 then bet 0.25pts

Laying for Profit

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com

Best of Luck

Malcolm

 
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