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19th May 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I had quite a quiet weekend.

A nice win on our guest selection (back 4 Profit) on Friday with the highest price selection coming in first. I was going through the selections I had since about January yesterday and I make it 114 and out of those only 4 losers, but I only have SP to go on because I didn't actually start using them myself until last week and these include ones from Saturday as well, which I wouldn't normally do.

I have been looking around at using a bookie for these selections rather than Betfair. I came across Paddy Power who are giving away £20 free bet if you bet £10.

There are no early prices yet but I fancy the idea of playing with the bookies money and once you have placed the initial bet you can drop down to bets as low as 40p.

Just an idea, especially when you have selections that seem to be winning as well as these do.

Betfairs site has been playing up this morning, it appeared to crash at about 9.20 and then I had a few difficulties placing bets. Now when I look it is not showing any bets on this market and I can not load some markets, so maybe I will open up that Paddy Power account!

I haven't had many email's about the " New Greyhound Lay system" that we have been running quite a while now. Have you been following it? If so have you found away of using the selections that suit you?

It would be great to hear from you so don't be shy.

I will put up the links to all the results graphics over the next couple of days. Sorry I haven't put them in any spreadsheet or anything but I think the pic's are enough to give you a good idea how they have been working for me. I still think we should drop any race where there are two selections, we have lost on a few of these and it seems a pointless exercise to include them if they are likely to cause a loss. A maximum price of 6.00 seems to work well as well unless you have tried a different number with better results.
New Greyhound Lay system I had come up with.

After some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.

Yesterday's. (Friday)
11:42, Wstow, Lochbo Buddy 5th 5/1
12:18, HGrn, Monumentious 2nd 4/1
12:27, Wstow, Johnstown Polly 6th 4/1
12:58, Wstow, Mullvester 5th 6/1
14:47, Swin, Joeys Cobbler 5th 5/1
15:17, Monm, Reenview Poppy 2nd 3/1
15:17, Monm, Hilton Zola 1st 7/2
16:47, Swin, Tromora Castle 4th 3/1
17:17, Monm, Baggies Rocket 6th 3/1
17:22, Swin, Rocket Ronaldo 1st 6/4
18:04, Monm, Foyle Hill
18:11, Swin, Quicksandyquick 3rd 7/2
19:22, Nott, Edembet Freddie
19:37, Nott, Nametab Anubis
20:58, Sheff, Santiago Tom
21:22, Nott, Blueisthecolour
21:37, Nott, Gazes Image
22:23, Sheff, Glass Moss Girl
Sorry I didn't get chance to run the selections on Friday but judging by the results it was ok.

12:27, Sheff, Starjels Harvey
16:47, Monm, Aquamar Boy
17:07, Monm, Saints Partydoll
17:47, Wstow, Granary Smurf
18:04, Wstow, Centaur Gemstone
19:06, Nott, Derryhogan Ice
19:52, Nott, Maid Of Orleans
19:52, Nott, Blind Mick
20:51, Nott, Sibsey Showtime
21:07, Nott, Swift Sapphire
21:07, Nott, Freight Train
21:22, Nott, Mottos Star
21:.4, Nott, Avondale Stan
21:58, Nott, Johnny One Shot
22:22, Romfd, Form Of Love
22:15, Nott, Two Nicks

Please remember this is a new test and there are no rules yet.

Guest Selection (back 4 profit)
This is a new back test.
I am going to show dutching with a £5 stake split between the two bets using my dutch calculator .

I am not sure about NR's, the favourite does tend to win most of the time, with the second favourite about a 3rd of the time so it could be worth backing the the second if the favourite is a NR. If the second favourite is a NR then you can take the next runner in the betting.

Yesterday. (Friday)
7.25 Ham
Captain Webb EP 4.8 1st 11/8
Bold Choice EP 3.65 3rd 5/2
There were no NR's and so the prices I got in the morning were correct and I made a nice little profit of £5.10 after BF's commission.

4.10 Muss:
Royal Dignitary EP 1.90
Boundless Prospect EP 5.5

My dutch should produce a profit of around £1.90 (minus commission), but because Royal Dignitary prices was so low I had to bet under £2.00 on Boundless Prospect.
In case you do not know how to do this on betfair then look here.

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Sponsor Tip of the day.

Luv 2 Lose

Comments for today: Richard Hannon has won this three times in the last seven years and RIVER RYE could well enhance that record but Lucky Leigh who won in taking style last Monday only picks up a small penalty and is preferred.

Nap (Lay)
Selection 1: Bath 14:00 RIVER RYE

Stop at a Winner (lay)
Selection 1: Musselburgh 15:10 FIRE UP THE BAND

Luv 2 Lose

Malcolm's Selections
Best Lay of the Day
16.30 Newb, Nutkin 8th 10/3

Today: 14.40 Muss, Aleatricis

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Place System: Started 20-11-2006

This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 70.97
Points new system (30/07/07) +29.34

14:40, York, Sergeant Cecil, EP 3.3 5th
14:50, Newbury, Rosa Grace, EP 2.3 NR
16:55, York, Laterly EP 2.2 2nd

Sorry no selections I can not load all the info from betfair this morning.

(*) No bet under new system idea


Back test system
Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how we are now testing it.
£10 stakes.

Level Stakes
£-28.49(after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008
Using a staking plan similar to CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/3/2008.
Bank(staking plan) - £61.25 (staking running loss £119.75 )
14:40, York, Honolulu EP 2.36 (Staking stake 50.74) 4th 6/5
(Having a bad run at the moment)

15:00, Bath, Spring Dream EP 2.86 (Staking stake £88.05)

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying these selections.

Other Information
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
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Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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