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19th June 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

Another full winning day for the Guest Selections (back4profit) yesterday.

I have had a few emails about the tips and mainly about the lay selections and what happens if it loses.

Well firstly it is great that at the moment we have had all winners, which I hope is making the back results I showed you more believable. I am a realist and if you are following these selections you have to be as well, it is going to lose. It may be today it maybe next month it may not be for several months, but it will lose, no system can be 100% accurate there are two many other factors in a race that can upset a system like this.

So what do we do if it does?

Well first of all "don't panic" and don't do anything stupid, sit back, relax and then watch. In my own experience bad times tend to come in a run and although we will only probably lose once and then get back to winning ways, we could also get two losers in a row.

In my case I am using 10% of my bank as liability so the most I can lose is 10% at one time. Now this could prove to be a little high but for this test I don't mind and the point is, that if we do have 1 loser then it could take up to 10 selections to get my loses back.

Because of the results so far it would be easy to say "lets just throw our loses on the next selections as the likely hood of losing again are pretty slim" and normally I would probably agree, but why take the chance?

Why not just wait and see what happens over the next 5 selections?

If everything is going to according to plan again, you can then sit back with confidence and ask yourself what is the best way to get my loses back.

Please do not think short term, this won't get you anywhere but broke!

Once you have regained your confidence in the selections you can then look at what you lost, and what you have won since, and decide if it matters that you are 10% down still. If it does then you should make a plan for getting back your loses over several selections, maybe even 5.

So don't panic and take the time to watch is my advice if we have a loser.

Don't forget to sign up for the selections so you don't miss Saturday's.

WWimbledon tennisibledon starts Monday. I had a lot of good reports from people who had purchased TSF tennis before the last big tournament so you may want to consider it for Wimbledon which is sure to give plenty of trading opportunities.

You will need to be watching the matches with this system but that is why it works so well.
New Greyhound Lay system I had come up with.

After some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.
If you are a subscriber to GHB I am going to start putting the session file up for you (mon to fri)
The settings in this session file are odds 1 to 6.00 and 0.10 stake so you may want to use your own stake settings, which you should do anyway because I could make a mistake!
All Screen shots.

11:03, HGrn, Dizzy Tantrum
11:11, Newc, Huilio Harlequin
11:19, HGrn, Cong Beauty
12:18, HGrn, Stouke Ciara
12:42, Newc, Whistling Tasha
15:55, BVue, Oxies Black
16:14, BVue, Take Issue
16:.2, Hove, Finlays Pirate
19:11, Sund, Scala Berry
19:22, Swin, Tropical Fantasy
20:13, Sund, Inishowen Blue
20:58, Sund, Anfi Deuce
21:14, Sund, Tri Full
21:14, Sund, Playboy Madam
21:.3, Sund, Lagganmore Jen
21:55, Swin, Thai Orchid
21:55, Swin, Severn Bluejeans
An easy day yesterday. That is an exaple when two runners in a race does pay off!

12:42, Sheff, Quilly Billy
13:04, Sund, Racks Cross
13:51, Sund, Get A Move On
16:55, Romfd, Alrita Queen
16:55, Romfd, Pantone Bogart60
17:05, Crayfd, Gee Lizzie
17:22, Crayfd, Tims Mourinho
17:29, Romfd, Bonville Brian
18:28, Sittb, Farmyard Romance
18:56, Newc, Disguised Girl
19:06, Sittb, Glynn Super
20:07, Sittb, Ragg Sunday
20:28, Newc, Gamblers Daniel
21:14, Newc, Tirmaquin Bogey
21:14, Newc, Aint He Handsome
21:22, Sittb, Tommys Prospect
21:45, Newc, Larkhill Cheeta
Please remember this is a new test (well not that new!) and there are no rules yet, in fact the only rule I can think of is maybe miss races where there are two selections.

Guest Selection (back 4 profit)

This is a new back test.

I am not sure about NR's, the favourite does tend to win most of the time, with the second favourite about a 3rd of the time so it could be worth backing the the second if the favourite is a NR. If the second favourite is a NR then you can take the next runner in the betting.
Current bank: £69.14

2.10 Ham
Reve de Soleil EP 1.85 1st 4/6
Noble Storm EP 5.9 3rd 7/2

6.50 Leic:
Jazacosta EP 1.36
Mannlichen EP 5.8

I am now using 10% of my bank as liability and dutching the selections.

New Lay Test (lay 4 Profit)
I am just taking £5.00 and dividing it by the odds to get my stake.

8.15 Kemp Kinout EP 9.8 6th 10/1s

8.20 Leic, Jo’burg EP 3.85 ( A little unusual to be on a favourite)

I am now using 10% of my bank as liability.

Sponsors of the day

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Sponsor Tip of the day.

Sorry no selections today.

Malcolm's Selections

Best Lay of the Day
No Selection

Today: 17.50 War, Metal Madness

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Place System: Started 20-11-2006

This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 63.04
Points new system (30/07/07) +23.37

14:10, Hamilton, Jobekani EP 2.06 5th
16:00, Hamilton, Luloah EP 2.00 1st (2 NR's though)
20:15, Kempton, Wynberg EP 2.32 4th 9/1

14:45, Ripon, Mandurah EP 2.38
14:55, Warwick, Red Rosanna EP 2.1 (*)
18:40, Towcester, Contra Mundum EP 2.54
19:20, Leicester, Bold Cross EP 2.06
19:30, Great L, Tavalu EP 2.16
21:10, Towcester, Imstilldreaming EP 2.6 (*)
21:20, Leicester, Dakota Rain EP 3.25 (*)s

(*) No bet under new system idea


Back test system
Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how we are now testing it.
£10 stakes.

Level Stakes
£1.30 (after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008
Using a staking plan similar to CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/3/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £71.36 (staking running loss 0.00 )
15:45, Asct, Duke Of Marmalade EP 2.54 (staking stake 6.94) 1st eve

Today. 14:30, Asct, South Central EP 4.00

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying these selections.

Other Information
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Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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