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20th February 2007

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

Yesterday was typical the moment I say we have updated a selection then it goes and losses which was the case with the Millionaire's Row(9) nap.

We still think this is just going through a little bit of a bad patch but will pick up.

Because Betfair was down until 1pm yesterday I didn't run the Greyhound system or the RSA.

I did run the place lay system though.

As I said I stopped as soon as I had a stakes worth of profit which is the way I think we need to go.

I missed the US market (don't ask) but I will pick it up again today.

I have had quite a few emails about these test I have been carrying out because for many people they seem quite silly (not actually the word I am looking for but I think you will know what I mean) because firstly trying to win at level stakes is pretty difficult to do and most peoples research shows that it isn't possible.

The point I am trying to show here is that with software like the Grey Horse bot we can adapt our betting patterns and try out ideas that in many cases would be very difficult and time consuming for a human to do to.

For instance you could set the Grey Horse bot up to bet on every favourite between the price of 1.5 and 1.6 and go off and let the bot get on with it. Where as if you are a human you would have to sit all day at your computer with your finger on the keyboard waiting to see if a favourite does reach that price.

What's more is with the Grey Horse bot you could tell it only to bet 20 seconds before the off as well.

Remember most statistics with horse racing are based on expected SP or SP after the event, not 30 seconds before the race starts. I am not saying you can beat statistics (honestly Howard) I am just saying that with a tool like the Grey Horse bot, it does open a number of possibilities that would not be readily available to most people who can not sit at their computers all day.

So my test are first to look at opening the door to ideas, then to concentrate on certain information that we have had from the results, to narrow down possible winning strategies.

2. Guest Selection - started 23-10-2006
These are lay test selections from Thomas.
NO BET if odds above 9.00 at Betfair

Monday(19 Feb 2007)
Ling 1320 - Expected Bonus - 11th - SP 11/1 - Betfair n.a. - no bet
Carl 1340 - Roc Tredudon - 12th - SP 16/1 - Betfair 25.0 - no bet
Ling 1455 - Spinning Dixie - 8th - SP 25/1 - Betfair 75.0 - no bet
Carl 1550 - Hollows Mill - 1st - SP 9/1 - Betfair 13.5 - no bet

Here are todays (20 Feb 2007)
South 1600 - Bilkie
Sedg 1650 - Armentieres
Taun 1710 - Elbdoubleu

Thomas is recording all Betfair prices 30 sec before the off.

3. Place System (win Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 8.30

No Selections

14.30 Southwell, Mangano EP 6.00
15.10 Taunton, Kayceecee, EP 2.32

4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Yesterday (Thursday)
Normal: 15:25, Lingfield, Challis 1st 11/10
Pts 2007: - 2.26
Top Choice: 14:10, Carlisle, Cloudless Dawn 2nd 4/5
Pts 2007: - 2.08

Normal: 15:40, Taunton, Granit Jack
Top Choice: 17:00, Southwell, Rosa De Mi Corazon

You can purchase this system here:
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
How To Set Up And Run Your Own Professional Horse Racing Tipster Service

Click Here to read more
6. "Best Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
No Selection

Today: 17.10 Taunton, Rosses Point

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
Nags to Riches

Normal Selection
16:00 Southwell, River Logic

New Selection
16:20 Sedgefield, Waking Ned

Nags to Riches

8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System started 07/11/2006.

After playing around with selections I have decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I think I have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I suspect there will have to be a maximum lay price set. I am just not sure what that will be but I am testing between 2.00 and 7.00. I will make every effort to record betfair lay prices as well. The ones marked with an asterisks (*) are from the original and tighter system, I am not using these now.
You can see all the results since the 14th (when I introduced the latest selection method) here. I am now using what I call the "rule of 3", this means we go for 3 wins and use a 3 race scratch back to get back any losses.

Yesterday. (Thursday)
Swindon BAGS, 11.03, Cloughtaney Enda, Trap 1 1st 5/1 - LOST
Sheffield BAGS, 11.11, Lowgate Hero, Trap 5(*) 4th 5/1
Sheffield BAGS, 11.57, Mellow Sea, Trap 6 6th 7/2
Swindon BAGS, 12.04, Helens Gift, Trap 4 2nd 7/2
Swindon BAGS, 12.32, Tinahue Chance, Trap 5 3rd 7/2
Sheffield BAGS, 12.58, Roman Guardian, Trap 1(*) 6th 11/4 - LOST
Sheffield BAGS, 13.12, Russanda Tara, Trap 2 1st 9/2 - LOST
Swindon BAGS, 13.19, That Girl, Trap 2
Swindon BAGS, 13.33, Stradbally Mist, Trap 5 2nd 11/4
Sheffield BAGS, 14.03, Sandrock Major, Trap 5 1st 11/4 - LOST
Walthamstow BAGS, 15.38, Black Azzura, Trap 6(*) 3rd 2/1
Walthamstow BAGS, 15.58, Google Ruby, Trap 5 6th 6/1
Monmore BAGS, 16.27, Shimba Moon, Trap 3 6th 5/1
Walthamstow BAGS, 16.37, Townhill Blues, Trap 3(*) 1st 5/1 - LOST
Monmore BAGS, 17.27, Montys Journey, Trap 2 1st 5/1 - LOST
Monmore BAGS, 18.11, Lakers Forest, Trap 3(*) 2nd 5/1
No Screenshot betfair didn't come live until 1pm, so no bet day as far as I was concerned.

Here are today's.
Nottingham BAGS, 11.48, Dainton Swift, Trap 4(*)
Perry Barr BAGS, 11.57, Sandons Dream, Trap 2(*)
Nottingham BAGS, 12.47, Dave Bangers, Trap 2
Perry Barr BAGS, 13.27, Gleaming Jerry, Trap 6(*)
Nottingham BAGS, 13.33, Smooth Sunset, Trap 5
Crayford BAGS, 14.27, Barnacrow Jake, Trap 1
Sunderland BAGS, 14.57, Shoot The Breeze, Trap 5
Crayford BAGS, 15.28, Sunoak Duchess, Trap 6
Sunderland BAGS, 15.38, Alcorn Polly, Trap 2
Sunderland BAGS, 16.18, Charmed, Trap 6
Crayford BAGS, 16.27, Iains Prince, Trap 3
Sunderland BAGS, 16.57, Judicial Druid, Trap 2
Crayford BAGS, 17.27, Rumour Mill, Trap 4
Sunderland BAGS, 17.33, Sangreal, Trap 4
Crayford BAGS, 17.44, Glantine Kate, Trap 3(*)
Sunderland BAGS, 17.48, Stone Mole Lilly, Trap 4
Crayford BAGS, 17.58, Culmore Champ, Trap 6
Sunderland BAGS, 18.04, Shalom, Trap 3
Crayford BAGS, 18.11, Gaelic Andy, Trap 6
Sunderland BAGS, 18.18, Bluestone Raider, Trap 2

Download the session.xml here (normally available by 10am mon-sat)

Normal daily settings.
Stake 2.00
Stop Win: 2.00 x 3 = 6.00 (take it down to 5.57)
Stop Loss: 2.00 x 25 = 50.00
running loss - 6.57
Screen Shot of settings.

I set the Grey Horse bot price range from 1 -7.

9. Millionaire's Row - Win Selections started 13/11/2006

This is a win system (test) that me and a friend have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him select every morning so although we created the system together he is the one really refining it. Click Here to see the results so far.
You can now get these selections Saturday by signing up here:

Yesterday: (Thursday)
Daily Double
14.10 Carlisle, Cloudless Dawn 2nd 4/5/ Delray Beach 4th 4/1
Points + 10.32

Daily Back Nap: (stared 15/02/2007)
14.10 Carlisle, Cloudless Dawn 2nd 4/5
Points + 0.67

Daily Lay Nap (stared 25/02/2007)
16.35 Lingfield, Bay Boy 5th 8/1
Points - 11.6


Daily Double.
17.00 South: Rosa De Mi Corazon EP 1.50 /Sheriffs Silk EP 16

Daily Back Nap:
15.40 Taun: Granit Jack EP 1.36

Daily Lay Nap:
16.00 South: Domenico EP 6.6

We dont actually think you should lay these above 7.00.

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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