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20th May 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

A good day for the selections yesterday and another winner on the new guest selection (back 4 Profit). I know you keep asking for results but I just need to get them in to an excel file so they look correct so please stay with me.

I must admit I am always a little wary about back selections as they never seem to sustain a winning run throughout two seasons. So far this system has survived the end of the jump season, gone through the beginning of the flat season and still showing consistent winners so it is looking good.

There is no doubt that this system works at level stakes but if we have another couple of winners then I am going to start getting more aggressive with the stake to see what happens.

If you take it that in the 5 day's we have been following them @ 5.00 we would be nearly £10 up and if we have another winner today we will be well over this then we should use that to our advantage.

When backing at level stakes you can use a much higher % of your bank than you can if you are staking or laying, in fact on these selections it could be even worth running some kind of accumulator!

Where as I normally recommend a maximum of 1% of your bank in this case I would have thought 5% or maybe a little more would be fine, although I would probably say stick to 5% and work out your new stake everytime you increase your bank.

As I use test accounts and can be a little more wild, then if we win today, tomorrow I will take out my original £5 and maybe a little profit and start using my winnings as my stake, the trick is to take some as profit.

More on this tomorrow if we win again.

New Greyhound Lay system I had come up with.

After some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.

12:27, Sheff, Starjels Harvey
16:47, Monm, Aquamar Boy
17:07, Monm, Saints Partydoll
17:47, Wstow, Granary Smurf
18:04, Wstow, Centaur Gemstone
19:06, Nott, Derryhogan Ice
19:52, Nott, Maid Of Orleans
19:52, Nott, Blind Mick
20:51, Nott, Sibsey Showtime
21:07, Nott, Swift Sapphire
21:07, Nott, Freight Train
21:22, Nott, Mottos Star
21:.4, Nott, Avondale Stan
21:58, Nott, Johnny One Shot
22:22, Romfd, Form Of Love
22:15, Nott, Two Nicks
Not a lot happening early so I stopped when I was back in profit.

I am sorry but sporting life haven't put todays greyhound races up yet so I couldn't get the selections. I will up this file as soon as they get the race cards up.
I know there are other sites but I prefer using Sportinglife.

Please remember this is a new test and there are no rules yet.

Guest Selection (back 4 profit)
This is a new back test.
I am going to show dutching with a £5 stake split between the two bets using my dutch calculator .

I am not sure about NR's, the favourite does tend to win most of the time, with the second favourite about a 3rd of the time so it could be worth backing the the second if the favourite is a NR. If the second favourite is a NR then you can take the next runner in the betting.

4.10 Muss:
Royal Dignitary EP 1.90 1st 4/5
Boundless Prospect EP 5.5 4th 5/1
There was a NR but it didn't cause a reduction by betfair so I won £1.90 (minus commission)

2.50 Bev:
Hippolytus EP 2.94
Tartan Gigha EP 4.0

If we win today then my profit will be in the region of 3.50. (The prices changed up as I put my dutch on so slight difference in winnings on the two!)

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Bills 321 Lays

Selection 1: ripon 3.50 nevada desert** 1
Selection 2: 4.20 highland love** 1
Selection 3: 4.50 kuriyama** 1
Selection 4: musselburgh 2.40 thomas malory** 1
Selection 5: 4.10 wind shuffle* 1
Selections 6: southwell 3.00 jord** 1
Selections 7: 4.30 garlogs** 1

The rule of the 321 staking plan is subjected to the price of the horses odds on betfair or other exchanges that allow you to lay a horse.

0-to 6.0 lay 3pts
6.1 to 10/1 lay 2pts
10.1 to 14 lay 1pt

Bills 321 Lays

Malcolm's Selections
Best Lay of the Day
14.40 Muss, Aleatricis 5th 5/2

Today: 18.50 Leic, High Standing

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Place System: Started 20-11-2006

This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 70.97
Points new system (30/07/07) +29.34

No Selections

15:00, Southwell, Sun Catcher, EP 2.64
16:30, Southwell, Garlogs, EP 2.06

(*) No bet under new system idea


Back test system
Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how we are now testing it.
£10 stakes.

Level Stakes
£-10.82(after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008
Using a staking plan similar to CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/3/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £52.51 (staking running loss 0.00 )
15:00, Bath, Spring Dream EP 2.86 (Staking stake £64.38) 1st 6/4

15:40, Muss, Kasumi EP2.36

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying these selections.

Other Information
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Have a good days racing.


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