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20th August 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I had a play with backing the favourites on the (place) markets yesterday using GHB. I was down on the day and had some interesting results on the USA (place) markets so I am going to have a go at laying them tonight. Luckily GHB can do this automatically and I don't have to stay awake to watch!

I was surprised to find how many times the favourite didn't even place, but with just one nights data it is hard to tell if this is normal.

Just so you know I have GHB set in Auto mode and to bet on 8 runner or less markets where there is a 3 (place) market, don't forget that Betfair will still pay out to 3 places even if there is a NR. I start GHB monitoring the races 60 seconds before the advertised off.

The good thing is that this type of testing is easy with GHB and at least it gives you a start for and idea that you can then go on to improve.

I had a quick chat with Paul Fowlie (Lay Place System) yesterday. He has been testing GHB and said that he really likes using it and it's saving him a lot of time. I know there are a lot of people now using GHB with his Lay Place System and I am at the moment looking at some of his other systems as well to see if they can be used with GHB.

I will get a list together before long of all the systems we know will work with GHB because there are plenty now.

Lay/Back System Test ("Started 23/07/2008")

There are two types of selections here. The first is a lay tip as long as the price is under 2.00 and the second is a back tip as long as the price is 2.00 or above.

There is one thing to think about here. If a lay selection goes to 2.00 or above you could decide to back it instead and the same goes for a back selection dropping below 2.00 you could then lay this. It's probably best to back/lay these near to the "off". We are not using a staking plan at the moment, just level stakes to see what happens.

If you want you can download the selections (Mon to Fri) directly into GHB using the session/server tips option. The URL is here.

The session file is set as lay, odds between 1.03 and 1.99 and 1.00 stake, and back odds 2.00 to 5.00, 1.00 stake but you should use your own option settings.

I will also upload a spreadsheet once a week with the latest results here.

Lay (Only if under 2.00)
No Selection

18:40, Newt, Roby De Cimbre, EP 1.29

Back (Only if over 2.00)
6:10, Newton Abbot, Histoire De Moeurs, EP 3.25 2nd 5/2
7:40, Newton Abbot, Outside Investor, EP 2.00 (This could drop below 2.00 and be a lay before the off!) 2nd 9/4

No Selection

Guest Selection ("Good to Lay")

Here is a new lay system I thought you may like to look at for a while.
The author has been sending them to me for a while and they look quite promissing.
I think they could do with a cap on the maximum price but that would probably have to be a personal thing.

The author has decided to do some more work on this system and will try again in a week or so to see if he can improve the strike rate.

Sponsors of the day ("Products and Tips for you to look at.")

Sponsor product of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Turn your lay betting system into winning systems with Roy's easy learn low risk Amazing staking plans.
Click Here to read more

Sponsor Tip of the day.

Bills 123 Lay Tips for Wednesday 20 August

Comments for today:good morning everyone.not much to choose from again.shame we have lost YORK again.prices will reflect conditions and may pay to trade or level stakes today.regards bill

Selection 1: hamilton 4.15 wind shuffle*
Selection 2: 4.50 kyber*
Selection 3: folkstone 5.55 lemon silk**
Selection 4: 6.55 divine power*

Staking: The rule of the 321 staking plan is subjected to the price of the horses odds on betfair or other exchanges that allow you to lay a horse. Odds 0-to 6.0 lay 3pts 6.1 to 10/1 lay 2pts 10.1 to 14 lay 1pt

Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay a day from my Lay betting System")

15.45 Brig, Gracechurch 2nd 7/4

Today: Sorry no nap today.

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a selection does daily.

You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Back test system ( "A 'back' system that I came up with a while ago")

This system is available as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.

As a new idea I am going to start a more aggressive staking plan trial and stick more closely to the CashMaster idea.

Please Note: This is a trial. Please do not attempt to run a staking plan unless you understand exactly what you are getting yourself into.

New Trial Started 21/07/2008.
Start Bank £500.00
Bank Now: £0.00
We will use 5% of our current bank as our base stake (divided by the odds we get) and we will use the CashMaster system to get back loses except when the selections price at betfair is under 2.00. All winnings will be calculated -5% betfair charge. If a runner is under 2.00 and we are recovering loses then we prospone the staking plan and stake the whole 5% stake.

15:25, York, New Approach EP 2.68 Abandoned

Today. 17:25, Folk, Celt, EP 1.67

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing "backing" these selections.

Other Information (" Here is some other info that should help you")
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
If you need help about anything please go to my support site.
If you haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair points.

You can automate your betting with GHB.

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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