20th November 2007 2007
I am sorry this is really quick from me this morning. I
still have a stomach bug and don't feel like writing.
I did dig out this
article from Psycho though.
Why you lose money when you join a
So, you watch a tipping service for several
months. You like what you see. It makes consistent profits. Finally, you decide
to join. Immediately, you start to lose money.
I wish that I had
£1 for every time that I'd heard this story.
So, have the
tipsters been conning you and 'fixing' their results?
Are you so
unlucky that you join a tipping service just in time for it to go 'tits up'
(excuse my French)?
Are you doing something wrong?
Or, is there
something more sinister going on?
The answer to the question is - none
of the above.
Here's why I think that most people WILL lose when they
join a tipping service:
I run several tipping services. For much of
this year, and last, I have seen my systems slowly climb up the league table
and then fall slowly down the league table. Then, they slowly climb up the
league table again, only to fall down again. What I also noticed was that other
tipping services do likewise. They slowly rise up the table, only to fall down
the table again.
What is causing this to happen?
undertaking a lot of research, which consumed much of my time and energy, I
finally came up with an answer.
Why tipster services move up and down
the league table is because the strike rates of the systems are rising and then
falling. No rocket science here!
OK, let's move on.
found was that when a system goes through a good time (i.e. the strike rate
begins to climb), it will then go through a bad time (i.e. the strike rate
begins to fall). What I also found was that the better the good times are, the
worse the bad times will be. By way of an example, I have a system which
concentrates on laying the longer-priced horses. It's best-ever period was
followed by its worst-ever period.
I have analysed over 100 tipster
services. Without exception, they all follow this pattern of rising and falling
I tried to predict when each system would start to go
through one of its bad periods. I failed miserably. What I found was that the
rise and fall in the strike rate has nothing whatsoever to do with time. All
that I could say was that, following a good time, a bad time would eventually
So, moving on.
Where does this get us?
let's look at what human beings do.
When do they join a tipster
Do they join during a good period or do they join during a bad
Answer: They join during a good period - when the system is
What's wrong with joining a system when it's winning?
After a winning period, the system will move into a losing
period. The better the winning period is and the longer it lasts, the worse the
losing period will be and the longer it will last.
So, you watch a
tipster service. If the results are bad - you don't join. If the results are
good - you join. What follows a good period? A bad one! So, you join a tipster
service just in time for things to go bad. So, you lose.
When, in my
opinion, should you join a tipster service?
You should join when the
service has gone through a bad period and starts to show signs of recovery.
Why? Because, it is at this time when the system is most likely to go through
one of its good periods.
Following this method will not guarantee that
you will join a tipster service that will bring you success. However, it may
improve your chances of avoiding joining a tipster service at the wrong
If you have any questions or comments on
the content of this article and wish to contact the author, please go
A reader named Gary.
These are for
laying, I do suggest people only do this on paper for the moment, since it is
still in testing. However results have been very positive so far, it has had 1
or 2 bad days, but has recovered them quite quickly:
Gary also is not well so hasn't sent tips. It's that time of year with things
There is no staking involved just level stakes. I will
get Gary to send me all his results so far so that we can put them in to a web
2. Guest Selection - Brian's
and Graham's win tips.
Brian and Graham's win tips are shortish priced but
Here are today's
1340 Folk HOBBS HILL betfair 1.58
3. Place System
(win Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
This is a
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 55.54
system (30/07/07) + 20.05
14.40 Leicester, Elaala,
13.20 Wolverhampton, Berrynarbor EP
15.20 Wolverhampton, Great Charm, EP 2.38 (*)
(*) No bet under
new system idea
4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Normal: 15:40, Leicester, Rajeh NR
Top Choice: 15:40, Leicester, Rajeh 75pts NR
2007: - 0.47
Folkestone, Hobbs Hill
Top Choice: 13:40, Folkestone, Hobbs Hill 75pts
(we are trying an experiment with the Top Choice selection and the points
are based on where we are in the staking plan. 25pts is the level stakes bet
and we started with a 500pts bank on the 22/06/2007)
You can purchase this
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Turn your lay betting system into winning systems with Roy's easy learn low
risk Amazing staking plans. .
Click Here to read
6. "Best Lay of the Day" -
No selection yesterday.
15.10 Folk, Proud To Present
Please Note: The lay betting system is
actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this
You can purchase the system formula:
Advantages of owning the system:
1) Pick more than one race
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes
the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money
by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
Fakenham 13:00 MAD PROFESSOR
8. Greyhound Selections- Lay
System started 07/11/2006.
Sorry no more Greyhound Selections
after 6 months of testing!
If you subscribe to the
Grey Horse bot then you can still
load the session file in.
Or there are still a few copies of the system left.
9. Ace Naps - (Back
Ace Nap (back tip)
This is selection method David and I
are testing at the moment, there are not many tips but when there are they seem
to win a lot.
How do you reserve your copy?
Simple, send an email to me with
"Reserve my copy of Ace Naps" in subject.
here should do it automatically but please make sure that "Reserve my copy
of Ace Naps" is in the subject.
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
Have a good days
P.S. How about something different...
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