20th November 2008
So carrying on from
Lets first have a look at
and see id we can make some observations.
We are going to look at the back
side so there are two lots of results you need to look at.
The ones in the
spreadsheet (pre database)
and the ones in the
selections are 2 (evens) or above.
2. Longest losing run 9 in one month (10
3. Longest winning run is 6
Now if we really took the
time to analyse the data we could probably come up with further facts, like the
average price of a selection, the average number of winners and losers and so
on and although I think it always a good idea to analyse as much as you can,
what you really need to know with the observations above is, can you make
According to the results out of
10 months (not including Nov) they have made a profit in 8. When they have lost
it hasn't been by much and according to the results there have been some good
winning months as well (interpretation).
Now Graham and Brian's idea is
that you stop at 12pts, which is fine but although you should take on board
what they are saying, the point of the excersize is to see if you can find a
way of making profit that suits you from their selections.
You could argue that they get to
5 points quite easily every month, so why go for 12pts when you can get to 5pts
and have the rest for the remainder of the month. You could also argue that
going for 12 pts only, has left a lot of profit on the table.
There could be a case for using
staking, if you can find away to get over the losing runs.
The point of the excersize is to
look at the facts.
If we came from an
interpretation point of view then you could start making up all sorts of
scenario's in your head.
Let's look at their longest
losing run of 9. If we look at the results as they are presented our
interpretation is 9, but if we observe the data in it's entirety (as we should)
then it is 10. Ok only 1 loser difference but you could have told yourself that
the most you are likely to lose in a row is 9 bets, when the truth is if you
continued betting from one month to the next, it is 10, which could have come
as a big shock!Continued tomorrow.
Don't forget about my Xmas
purchase the http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk/ over the next couple
of weeks I will also send you under separate cover.
(Which I am removing from sale any day).
(Which I haven't put back on sale since purchasing it from the
So you get all the above for just £39.99.
that's a very good offer when you consider what they all cost separately. This
is a special offer to readers of this email and we will send the download
instructions for the bonus systems after we have received your payment
And please no refunds!
Guest Selection ("Good to
Lay" ) started 27/08/2008
This selection is now only available as
part of The Almost Certain Nap service.
Guest Selection ("Double
your chance" ) started 7/11/2008
The idea behind this selection is
that you back one runner and lay the other. The lay as a much higher strike
rate than the back, so we put enough on the lay to make profit even if the back
loses. A split of 20/30 seems to work well. So if you bet £5 you put 2.00
on the back and 3.00 on the lay.
Rule: If the favourite is a NR (non
runner) you can still bet on the lay (I still think there is a risk here) but
if the lay is a NR then no bet.
Back: Plush EP 2.16 6th eves
Lay: One Oi EP 32 2nd
Back: Elsies Pride EP 2.72
Perk EP 14
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Sponsor Tip of the day.
Sorry no sponsor today.
Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay
a day from my Lay betting System")
Today: 15.20 Here, Ring Bo Ree
Please Note: The lay betting
system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for
You can purchase the system formula:
Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show
readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a
selection does daily.
You can also have this tip delivered as content
to your own website.
to find out more.
Back test system ( "A 'back'
system that I came up with a while ago")
This system is available
as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.
15:10, Hexm, Fabalu EP 1.59 2nd 2/5
Today. 15:20, Hrfd, Ring Bo Ree
Remember this is just a test and we are paper
testing "backing" these selections.
Other Information (" Here
is some other info that should help you")
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
If you need help about anything please go to my
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
You can automate your betting with
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Have a good days
P.S. How about something different...
Also check my blog
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