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23rd June 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

It wasn't a good French F1 GP for Hamilton. I think he is a great driver but I just get the feeling that at the moment he is trying far to hard and making mistakes because of it. I don't think he has anything to prove and he drives far better when he thinks the same.

Well we had our first loser on the lay Guest Selections (back4profit) on Saturday. What do I always say about weekends?

"If it is going to happen it will at the weekend."

I have always believed this and I have been proved correct again. I will confess that I actually missed the loser because when I looked at the price in the morning the back was about 9.6 and the lay was a lot higher, so I decided to wait to nearer the race. If you remember on Friday I told you that we had visitors and although we were going out, we were due back before the start. Lucky for me while we were out we decided to go up to lakes and so didn't get back in time for the start, so I missed making the bet and losing!

I am not even sure what price the lay went off at, but at SP 6/1 then I presume it was 9 or less on Betfair but on the results page I put 9.8 which means our profit for the month is now only 8.2...Only.

If you are following these selections can I ask you to just sit back today and don't try any staking plans to try and get your loses back from Saturday. Just stake as normal just to see what happens over the next couple of days.

I did get on the dutch though yesterday and won back a little of my loses from Fridays loser.

Don't forget to sign up for the selections so you don't miss Saturday's.

Just to let you know because of family commitments these email is probably going to be a bit late this week and I wont have a lot of time to ramble on.

New Greyhound Lay system I had come up with.

After some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.
If you are a subscriber to GHB I am going to start putting the session file up for you (mon to fri)
The settings in this session file are odds 1 to 6.00 and 0.10 stake so you may want to use your own stake settings, which you should do anyway because I could make a mistake!
All Screen shots.

11:57, Wstow, Choice Jock
12:18, HGrn, Supreme Botham
12:47, HGrn, Bordesley Babe
15:03, Swin, Huntsman Blueboy
17:39, Monm, Direct Vision
18:56, Sheff, Neuro Mannix
19:11, Sheff, Morgans Woody
20:07, Nott, Mersey Class
20:37, Nott, Beechwood Penny
20:43, Sheff, Orient Elm
22:07, Nott, Romarics
I think I found the problem with my staking and will try to fix that today.

13:04, Swin, Time Is Ticking
13:19, Swin, Ullid Gillian,
14:03, Sheff, Swiss Express,
15:07, Monm, Shell Suit,
17:38, Monm, Me Keano,
17:38, Monm, Head It On Clare,
18:18, Wstow, Flying Tonite,
18:28, Nott, Redhot Missy
18:28, Nott, Rathorpe Prince,
19:22, Nott, Corleones Spark,
19:22, Nott, Ballyea Honcho
19:26, Romfd, Dangerous Lady
19:37, Nott, Highview Leader
19:58, Romfd, Lode Star
19:58, Romfd, Eye Onthe Force
20:22, Nott, Fergus Broom
20:28, Romfd, Marbella Babe
20:37, Nott, Swift Sapphire
21:22, Nott, Bandit Blue
21:58, Nott, Unique Option
22:22, Romfd, Confident Idelia
22:22, Romfd, Betathan Fluin

Please remember this is a new test (well not that new!) and there are no rules yet, in fact the only rule I can think of is maybe miss races where there are two selections.

Guest Selection (back 4 profit)

This is a new back test.

I am not sure about NR's, the favourite does tend to win most of the time, with the second favourite about a 3rd of the time so it could be worth backing the the second if the favourite is a NR. If the second favourite is a NR then you can take the next runner in the betting.
Current bank: £68.04

6.10 Ayr
Kyber EP 2.14 5th 7/4
Summer Soul EP 3.7 3rd 11/4

7.20 Chep
Manyriverstocross EP 1.82
Ordination NR

Ordination is now a NR so we could dutch with Syvilla but I think I am just going to take half my 6.8 srake and put it on Manyriverstocross.

I am now using 10% of my bank as liability and dutching the selections.

New Lay Test (lay 4 Profit)
I am now using 10% of my bank as liability.
Lay results this month.

4.45 Red King Fingal EP 7.4 4th 11/4

3.15 Ling
Teasing EP 13.5
The back price is 11.0 so I am going to wait a couple of hours to see how the price settles down.

I am now using 10% of my bank as liability.

Sponsors of the day

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Sponsor Tip of the day.

7.40 Win, Sams Cross

Malcolm's Selections

Best Lay of the Day
19.45 Ayr, Lady Valentino 5th 9/4

Today: 20.50 Chep, Shot To Fame

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Place System: Started 20-11-2006

This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 66.99
Points new system (30/07/07) +27.03

19:15, Ayr, Important News, EP 2.4 (*) 3rd
20:30, Goodwood, Formax EP 2.04 3rd
20:40, Newmarket, Le Brocquy EP 2.8 (*) 1st  (4 nr)
20:50, Ayr, Flying Bantam, EP 2.46 1st

15:15, Lingfield, Wavertree Warrior EP 2.74
15:30, Wolverhampton, Blue Zenith EP 2.44 (*)
19:50, Chepstow, Garafena EP 2.12 (*)
(*) No bet under new system idea


Back test system
Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how we are now testing it.
£10 stakes.

Level Stakes
£36.14s (after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008
Using a staking plan similar to CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/3/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £106.70 (staking running loss 0.00 )
14:30, Asct, Cuis Ghaire EP 2.18 1st 8/11 (2 nr's so I will adjust the prices from SP) 1.72

Today. 20:10, Wind, Slip EP 2.4s

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying these selections.

Other Information
I Prefer

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Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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