28th August 2008
It was a little ironic that the
new Guest Selection ("Good to Lay" ) had it's first loser (according to the
author) the day it appears. Technically of course it was a "No Bet" because
there was a reduction factor of 11.1% which is over the rule stated.
Still I feel for the Author!
My other worry with this system
is the prices of the selections. I know that one of his rules for selecting
runners is that they are not above 9/1 in the paper, so it just goes to show
what a difference there can be between the tissue prices and what's actually
available on betfair.
Only time will tell if this
system is going to work but as we all know thinking you have a system that is
profitable but actually having one that is, are two very different things.
That's why we test.
Lay/Back System Test
There are two types of
selections here. The first is a lay tip as long as the price is under 2.00 and
the second is a back tip as long as the price is 2.00 or above.
There is one thing to think
about here. If a lay selection goes to 2.00 or above you could decide to back
it instead and the same goes for a back selection dropping below 2.00 you could
then lay this. It's probably best to back/lay these near to the "off". We are
not using a staking plan at the moment, just level stakes to see what
If you want you can download the
selections (Mon to Fri) directly into GHB using the session/server tips
option. The URL is here.
The session file is set as lay,
odds between 1.03 and 1.99 and 1.00 stake, and back odds 2.00 to 5.00, 1.00
stake but you should use your own option settings.
I will also upload a spreadsheet
once a week with the latest results here.
Lay (Only if under
Back (Only if over 2.00)
16:30 GLghs Once A
Gulch EP 3.4
Guest Selection ("Good to
Lay" ) started 27/08/2008
There is only one rule: If the NR
reduction factor is 10% or more (check the "Rules" tab to the left of the
market) on the market then it is a "No bet". Because of this, it is obviously
better to bet nearer the off.
- The author will send me a new updated sheet once a
3.50 Catt: Wilkandoo EP 18.5 went to 12.00 (No bet
non runners 11.1%) That was lucky 1st!
2.40 Ayr: Blue Jet EP
3.20 Ling: Ledgerwood No EP yet!
3.30 G.L. Duty Free EP 32
Sponsors of the day
("Products and Tips for you to look at.")
of the day (please take a look you never
Michael uses a variety of automated and data led methods as well as his
race rating method which makes form study a breeze. I recommend that you visit
his site and read all about it.
Click Here to read more
Sponsor Tip of the
The Lay Back Lay selections
1420 Lingfield Action Impact (main Lay)
1630 Gt Leighs Once A
There was another 1500 Gt Leighs but with only 4 horses in the race
we tend to shy away from them.
The Backs Selections are:-
Ayr Happy Anniversary BF 2.16
1520 Lingfield Old Romney BF 2.72
Lingfield Nizhoni Dancer BF 3.55
1700 Gt Leighs Crafty Dealer BF 3.15
Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay
a day from my Lay betting System")
Ayr, Alexander Hurricane 7th 6/1
Today: 14.20 Ling, Action
Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1
and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.
You can purchase
the system formula:
Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show
readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a
selection does daily.
You can also have this tip delivered as content
to your own website.
to find out more.
Back test system ( "A 'back'
system that I came up with a while ago")
This system is available
as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.
As a new idea I am going to
start a more aggressive staking plan trial and stick more closely to the
Please Note: This is a trial.
Please do not attempt to run a staking plan unless you understand exactly what
you are getting yourself into.
New Trial Started 21/07/2008.
Start Bank £500.00
Bank Now: £0.00
We will use 5% of our
current bank as our base stake (divided by the odds we get) and we will use the
CashMaster system to get back loses except when the selections price at betfair
is under 2.00. All winnings will be calculated -5% betfair charge. If a runner
is under 2.00 and we are recovering loses then we prospone the staking plan and
stake the whole 5% stake.
16:30, GrLe, Riggins, EP 3.45
Today. 16:30, GrLe, Once A
Gulch, EP 3.35
Remember this is just a test and we are paper
testing "backing" these selections.
Other Information (" Here
is some other info that should help you")
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
If you need help about anything please go to my
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
You can automate your betting with
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
Have a good days
P.S. How about something different...
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can use it on your website but all links must be kept in place.