28th October 2008
I have an early appointment with the Dentist this morning so I will leave you
with an article from Darren at the
I hear from a lot of people who
lay big outsiders in the Betfair horse racing markets at ridiculous prices.
They tell me how they never win and that it's easy money. Generally these
gamblers think that the outcome is so unlikely that they are prepared to risk a
large proportion of their betting bank on each bet.
After the initial
bullishness usually one of two things happen.
They either disappear to
never be heard from again or the ones that are more committed come back to tell
me how they learned their lesson.
The lesson is that if you are not
striking a value bet you will lose in the long run and if you are laying at
100.0 on a 34.0 chance then sooner or later you will lay a winner and at those
prices the unprepared will lose their bank.
I read a little factoid
the other day which I thought illustrated this well.
Back in 1962 a
guy called into the head quarters of William Hill and asked for odds on a human
being walking on the surface of the moon before 1970.
He was quoted
1,000/1 and placed a £10 bet which was more than a weeks wages. The rest
as they say is history.
The lesson is that 1,000/1 shots can win and
that you should always have the value on your side and have a bank that will
cope with a losing bet even when you think its impossible to lose.
Darren Power is the Editor of the Betting School Insiders Report which is
dedicated to helping you to profit from your betting. You can register for a
free sample copy of the report at:
Guest Selection ("Good to
Lay" ) started 27/08/2008
There is only one rule: If the NR
reduction factor is 10% or more (check the "Rules" tab to the left of the
market) on the market then it is a "No bet". Because of this, it is obviously
better to bet nearer the off.
- The author will send me a new updated sheet once a
4.20 Ling, Dawson Creek EP 12 6th
Today's. 4.10 Yar: Quince EP 50
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Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay
a day from my Lay betting System")
Leic, Charm School 3rd 9/2
Today: Sorry no nap today.
Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one
of the selections for this tip.
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readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a
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Back test system ( "A 'back'
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This system is available
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16:20, Ling, Mister Ross EP 1.79 1st 1/2
Today. 13:40, Yarm, Desert Creek
Remember this is just a test and we are paper
testing "backing" these selections.
Other Information (" Here
is some other info that should help you")
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
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haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
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Have a good days
P.S. How about something different...
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