I have been telling you about an experiment I had been
doing with GHB on
the new weight of money option that we have put in the 220.127.116.11 beta
was a winner on the first race which took me over my Stop profit, so another
I thought I would give you one
of Psycho's articles today.
Analysis of Past Results - Why is it so
To answer this question, we firstly need to explore
some do's and don't's of betting.
It is not good practice to place
random amounts of money on randomly selected horses running in randomly
selected races held at randomly selected courses. We'll see why later. For the
moment, let's just accept this as a fact.
If we are not placing bets
randomly, by definition, we must be using some kind of a system. If we are
using a system, we must stick to it religiously. It is no good just sticking to
the system when we 'feel like it'. Again, for the moment, let's just accept
this as a fact.
It is not only good practice to record bets, and
their outcome, it is crucial to future betting. Again, for the moment, let's
just accept this as a fact. Fortunately, betting exchanges give us a helping
hand here because they record our past bets, their outcome, and allow the
information to be down-loaded to our PCs. To down-load such information, a
spreadsheet, such as Excel, is required. Since, betting exchanges store mainly
financial data, additional information, such as: trainer, jockey, going,
finishing position in race etc., will need to be added to that down-loaded from
the exchanges. The additional information does not need to be collected at race
time since it is available on the Racing Post web site following the race.
OK. So now we have the data relating to our past betting activities. Now
Well, let's suppose that we lose money, or that our winnings
are only modest, when we use our system. Let's also suppose that we decide to
increase our system's profitability.
How could we do this?
Well, we could analyse our past betting activities in order to identify trends.
For example, we may find that our past betting activities were far more
successful at certain tracks than at others, that certain combinations of
trainers and jockeys gave better results than other combinations or that the
better the ground, the better the results were. Who knows what trends we may
discover when we go looking.
Once the trends, associated with our
past betting activities, have been identified, we can use them to modify our
future betting activities. For example, we can avoid those race tracks where we
have been unsuccessful in the past, we can concentrate on the more successful
trainer/jockey combinations and we can only place bets on those days when the
ground is good or better. By doing this, we can reduce losses, increase
winnings and thus improve the profitability of the system.
the past results of our betting activities not been recorded, we would not be
able to analyse them and therefore we would be unable to improve the
profitability of the system. However, the analysis of our past results are only
valid and applicable provided that we have used a system in the first place and
have followed it religiously. If our past betting activities have been based
upon purely random acts, then the results of any analysis performed will be
both random and meaningless.
If you have any questions or
comments on the content of this article and wish to contact the author, please
Lay test system (or maybe back)
Started (again) 15/01/2008. We are testing to see if we have a good lay system
or back. £10 stakes. Please remember this is a test and a bit of fun to
find out if this selection system works beter as a lay or back system.
Lay + £21.80 (after 5%
Back -£26.10(after 5% commision)
13:30, Ludl, Mamlook EP 3.25 7th 4/1
Folk, Numide EP 1.33
Remember this is just a test and we are paper
testing laying these selections.
2. Guest Selection - Adrian's
Guest Adrian's Expected Winners
can get Adrian's daily selections by signing up here now.
Daily selections are here if you
can not get them by email.Just
keep an eye on them and see what you think.
3. Place System (win
Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
This is a
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 56.78
system (30/07/07) + 18.43
16:50, Kempton, Come Out
Fighting EP 2.26 (*) 7th 13/2
16:20, Folkestone, Safari
Adventures EP 2.08
(*) No bet under new system idea
4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Normal: 16:00, Ludlow , Panjo Bere 8th 2/1
Pts 2007: -7.93
Top Choice: 14:00, Ludlow, French Saulaie 50 pts 3rd 4/6
Normal: 13:50, Folkestone,
Top Choice: 14:40, Taunton, Robin De Sherwood 75pts
(we are trying an experiment with the Top Choice selection and the points are
based on where we are in the staking plan. 25pts is the level stakes bet and we
started with a 500pts bank on the 22/06/2007)
You can purchase this system
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Want to try something a little different? Virtual Football may be just what
you are looking for...
Click Here to read more
6. "Best Lay of the Day" -
Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4
systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.
can purchase the system formula:
Advantages of owning the system:
1) Pick more than one race
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes
the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money
by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
Today again we have three possibilities and have gone for 1620
Folkstone Atacama Star the other two were 1400 Southwell Dickie Le Davoir and
1610 Taunton Roll Along.
Good Luck Brian & Graham
1: 1620 Folkstone Atacama Star
8. Greyhound Selections- Lay
System started 22/01/2009 (NEW)
Gary's Greyhound lays not over
Theres only one full selection today which is:
Swindon - 12:04 - Trap 1 6th 4/1 5.6
Sheffield - 11.42 - Trap
1 6th 7/2 (sorry should not have put this one in)
Sheffield - 12.27 - Trap
5 4th 7/2 8.8 no bet
Sheffield - 13.27 - Trap 2 1st 5/1 8.5 no
Perry Barr - 11.28 - Trap 3
Perry Barr - 11.42 - Trap 3
As always i suggest you don't lay over 8.
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
Have a good days
P.S. How about something different...
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can use it on your website but all links must be kept in place.