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29th February 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

>Happy proper Birthday to those that were actually born on the 29th, I hope you have a great day.

Can you believe we are about to go into March already?

I am going to work some of this weekend because I have lots to do and a few ideas that I want to spend some time to look at.

I haven't mentioned much about Adrian's site the last couple of weeks, well certainly since it launched. I haven't really needed to because the people who wanted to join seem happy enough and I know Adrian has had a lot of good comments from many of his subscribers.

I actually think he has had a difficult month and making a good profit on the lays has been difficult, but I have managed to do it by asking for better prices and running a staking plan on a couple of occasions, but that's my preference.

Where I have made a lot of profit though, is on his backs.

It actually amazes me because people always complain that lay prices shouldn't be shown at SP because they are normally always higher on betfair. If that is the case (which we know it is), doesn't that mean that backs shown at SP should also be around 20% higher as well?

I don't know, that's an argument for another day. I do know using a staking plan and betfair I have been able to achieve a far higher profit on Adrian's back bets than are shown on his site, so although the lays were difficult, the backs have more than made up for it.

I don't know that I have ever come across someone who is as consistent as Adrian at providing winning back bets, especially as the majority are over evens and we have had some as high as 4/1 and 9/2.

It's not up to me to make up your mind if you want to join his service but if you do want to, then here is the payment link...


The last couple of days we have been talking about the new lay system that David and I have been working on.

All 5 selections came in yesterday although 2 of them were outside my price range

2.20 Lud: Beherayn EP 26 (I got 27.00) 3rd 20/1
2.50 Lud: Premier Hope EP 7.4 (I got 9.20) 3rd 7/1
4.30 Taun: This Way EP 10 (I got 12.00) 4th 17/2

Heres how our pot looks.
60/26 = 2.30 * 5% (BF commission) = 2.18
60/8.20 = 7.31 * 5% (BF commission) = 6.95
60/11 = 5.45 * 5% (BF commission) = 5.18
Total = 14.31
Pot now stands at £37.70

3 days and over half way to getting our 1st £60 pot

From now on I won't show all this working out. I think by now you should get the idea.

Here are today's.
2.20 Wolv: Jord EP 18
2.50 Wolv: Pianoforte EP 13

Please remember these are lay bets and that this is a test We have a "no bet" rule if the reduction factor from any NR is 10% or over. If you do intend to follow the selections please use minimum stakes and watch your liability because some of these could be a very expensive loss.

I am going to start putting the selections on-line daily as well.

I will put them on Saturday (no Sunday selections) as soon as I get chance in the morning.

Guest Selection

A new guest selection will be appearing here soon.

Guest: Gary's Greyhound lays not over 8.00

28 February 2008 11.34 Sunderland Trap 4 Last 9.4 No Bet
28 February 2008 11.48 Sunderland Trap 4 U/P 10.0 No Bet
28 February 2008 13.19 Sunderland Trap 1 1st 5.0 -8.00 (yeah I got matched)

Walthamstow - 11.28 - Trap 1
Walthamstow - 12.12 - Trap 2
Hall Green - 12.32 - Trap 6
Walthamstow - 14.03 - Trap 6

As always i suggest you don't lay over 8.

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Sponsor Tip of the day.

Lay Bet a Day

2:50 Wolverhampton, Northern desert

Lay Bet a Day

Malcolm's Selections
Best Lay of the Day
17.30 Taun, I'm A Legend 1st 11/4

Today: No Nap today.

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Place System: Started 20-11-2006

This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 74.23
Points new system (30/07/07) + 32.75

15:20, Ludlow, Nakoma, EP 2.02 3rd
15:50, Ludlow, Lindsay, EP 2.06 3rd
16:00, Taunton, Rockview Lad, EP 2.9 5th
16:10, Lingfield, Art Modern, EP 2.94 (*) 7th
16:40, Lingfield, Keidas EP 2.2 3rd
16:50, Ludlow, Lost Time, EP 2.44 (*) 3rd
17:00, Taunton, Sesame Rambler, EP 2.00 3rd

14:50 Wolverhampton, Pianoforte, 3.05
16:15 Doncaster, Our Jasper, EP 2.0
17:15 Doncaster, Morning Sunshine, EP 6.4 (*)

(*) No bet under new system idea


Lay test system (or maybe back)
Started (again) 15/01/2008. We are testing to see if we have a good lay system or back. £10 stakes. Please remember this is a test and a bit of fun to find out if this selection system works better as a lay or back system.

Lay - £13.00 (after 5% commision)
Back + £13.04(after 5% commision)

14:20, Ludl, Hibiki EP 2.3 1st 10/11

14:40, Newb, Von Galen EP 3.75

I actually think this is turning into a back system.This weekend I will go over the last few months results and see if we can find away to make a bigger profit from the back selections.

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying these selections.

Other Information
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
If you need help about anything please go to my support site.
If you haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair points.

Grey Horse Bot affiliate programme

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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