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30th May 2007

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

We have been talking about statistics over the last few days and how "evens" on betfair statistically seems to be very accurate.

As a layer what I am really interested in is winning and losing runs and if I can use a staking plan to help me out.

I think if you look at statistics on paper then at evens they will say anything is possible as far as winning and losing runs. Although this applies to a toss of coin or some other type of inert object, I feel (could be wrong) with horses there are just to many variables to imagine that you would get 10 runners in a row winning at evens. Maybe 5 or possibly 6 but it would be difficult to convince me there could be more.

My limited research so far has shown that it is almost impossible to lay a horse at one price anyway, so the first thing we need to do is look at a wider range of odds to work with.

From a layers point of view I want to stack it slightly in my favour so I think I am going to select odd from evens to 2/1 (2.00 to 3.0) on betfair.

To be fair on statistics we now want to choose a market that should be pretty consistent, so we will use the Greyhound market as there are always 6 runners and no jockeys to contend with and we have to accept that the dogs just run because there is no outside influence (we hope).

So I will set a Grey Horse Bot up to bet on one dog per race where the price is between 2 and 3.

Notice that I am not going to select only favourites because we shouldn't be concerned about this, we just want the price.

I think a few days of testing should be interesting before we start looking at ways to help us out a little.

2. Guest Selection - 19-04-2007
I have been receiving some win tips from a good friend of mine called Shaun.

There are two selections Best and Next best. You can look at best only or follow both. Shaun suggest that you aim to make 5% of your bank a day and he chases any losses onto the next selection.

I am going to start with a £500 bank.
What you do then is take 5% of your bank, in this case £25.00 and then divide it by the available odds and that's your stake.
So if the odds were 2/1 then I would divide £25 by 2 making a £12.50 stake.
If I then lost I would take the £25 already lost and add it to my next stake that is again 5% of my bank and then divide this new figure by the available odds.

Shaun sends the tips out as well on Saturday, so join his private list here.

Let's see what happens.
Yesterdays Bank = £747.01
No selections in this email yesterday, but if you joined the seperate mailer you have got these later.

Here are today's
5:35 YARMOUTH GIGGS MAGIC (Strength 6) (NB)

3. Place System (win Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 16.24

19.05 Hexham, Beaufoy EP 4.2 2nd
21.10 Hexham, Lazy Lena, EP 2.86 6th

14.00 Beverley, Sirjoshua Reynolds EP 2.82
16.2 Brighton, Squirtle EP 2.38
19.05 Southwell, Totally Free EP 2.2

4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Normal:  19:05, Hexham, Stara 4th 8/13
Pts 2007: - 6.72
Top Choice: 19:15, Sandown, Charlie Farnsbarns 75pts 2nd 2/5
Pts 2007: -6.41
Bank =461.00

Normal: 19:50, Beverley, Siren's Gift
Top Choice:  19:05, Southwell, Fractured Foxy 100 pts

(we are trying an experiment with the Top Choice selection and the points are based on where we are in the staking plan. 25pts is the level stakes bet and we started with a 500pts bank on the 03/05/2007)
You can purchase this system here:
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Turn your lay betting system into winning systems with Roy's easy learn low risk Amazing staking plans.

Click Here to read more
6. "Best Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
20.20 Sand Ajaan 8th 10/3

Today: 4.55 Brighton, Vegas Boys

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip

Selection 1: 5.15 Cartmel Naomh Aaron 1Pts
Selection 2: 6.50 Beverley Astroangel 1Pts
Selection 3: 7.00 Leopardstown Miss Gorica 1Pts
Selection 4: 8.30 Leopardstown Stef’s Girl 1Pts
Selection 5: 8.35 Southwell Modern Verse 1Pts
That is it for today. Good luck. Lou.

We use 5% of our bank.


8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System started 07/11/2006.

Sorry Yesterday was the last day of the Greyhound Selections after 6 months of testing!
If you subscribe to the Grey Horse bot then you can still load the session file in.

Or there are still a few copies of the system left.

9. Millionaire's Row - Win Selections started 13/11/2006

This is a win system (test) that me and a friend have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him select every morning so although we created the system together he is the one really refining it. Click Here to see the results so far.
You can now get these selections Saturday by signing up here:

Yesterday's Results can now been seen at:


Millionaire Double Selection.
4.30 Yar: Brunelleschi/Mr Cellophane

Millionaire Daily Nap
6.20 Bev: Dee Cee Elle

Millionaire Double Take: 40pts Win /60pts Lay 2nd Favourite
9.05 South: 
Back: Tilapia/
The idea is to to back the favourite and lay the second best priced horse before the off.
We are hoping that most of the time the lay should not change but if it does then it is always the best priced horse (lay side) after the favourite.
Our stake will be £10 split 4.00 on the back and 6.00 on the lay. Of course you could do this how you want but we suggest you put slightly more on the lay to cover any loses on the back bet because we feel the lay will lose far less often.

Backing & Laying (new 21/05/2001)
3.20 Yar: We'll Come/Gongidas (Fondled)

Staking same as above.

Full details are given at

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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