30th October 2008
It's the last F1 GP of the
season at Brazil this weekend. Hamilton just has to come 5th or better to win
the World Championship, of course we all know he was in a similar position last
The reason I mention this is,
that I was having a conversation with Mark (my work colleague) this morning and
he ask whether we should lay Massa, to lose the World Championship?
It's a good question and
although it looks likely that Hamilton will do it this year, is it a value bet?
My answer was that I don't think it is and I won't be laying Massa, even though
it is likely and I am hoping that Hamilton wins. Massa's lay price is 5.5 where
as Hamilton's is 1.23.
If I do anything and that is a
big "IF" I would lay Hamilton!
This is really what you would
call a gamble but with Hamilton's background and bare in mind this is Motor
Racing, there is actually a lot that go wrong. The team will be nervous, there
will be drivers like Alonso that just want to win at all cost and there is
Massa and Raikkonen, who will be using every advantage they can find.
A £50 lay on Hamilton is
going to cost £11.50 if he does go on to win, so it could be worth the
As I said I am hoping he will be
composed and ready to run a sensible race but there are doubts in my mind.
Please remember this is my own
opinion and I am not suggesting or implying you should bet on him, I am just
stating my view.
Guest Selection ("Good to
Lay" ) started 27/08/2008
There is only one rule: If the NR
reduction factor is 10% or more (check the "Rules" tab to the left of the
market) on the market then it is a "No bet". Because of this, it is obviously
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Today. 14:40, Ling, Fragrancy EP
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