More on horse racing back systems
Hi There
I am competing in a couple of Agility competitions this weekend to see
if I can win something!
Well it has certainly been an up and down week with the back bets. I
don’t think one favourite won at Salisbury yesterday and out
of 5 selections I only had on of them come in, although it was at 11/4
so that helped!
I have been looking at my results over the last couple of weeks and I
am thinking of trying to do something on the place market because out
of 28 selections, I have only had about 3 or 4 that were not placed. So
even if I part stake on the place market it may be worthwhile in the
long run.
I have 3 selections I am looking at today…
4:10 Muss
Fox Hunt 3.8 BF (3 Place 1.60) 4th Not Placed
4:40 Muss
Justonefortheroad 4.4 BF (3 place 1.9) 1st 3/1
5:10 Muss
Cheyenne Chant 2.68 BF (2 Place 1.65) 1st 11/8
All 3 are above 1.5 on the place market at the moment so I think they
are worth backing at those prices. Looking at the results I have had so
far…if I could achieve around 0.25 to 0.30 per point staked
I would be ahead of level stakes now, even with the losers.
This will be interesting to test over the coming weeks because if I
could make a profit with placing and on the win market, that would be
something…wouldn’t it?
Hopefully next week I will be introducing a couple of new ideas using
back systems that also take into account the movement of the market.
Of course I know that there is no value in just backing steamers, in
fact according to a report from Betfair some time ago you it is more
profitable to lay them!
But if you use a sound selection process and then watch the markets for
movements your success rate can be vastly improved.
Another back system we are looking at is based on placing the selection
on Betfair, these are the selections today…
2:10 MUSS Social Rhythm 3 Place BF Price 1.37 1st
2:10 MUSS Cold Quest 3 Place BF Price 3.35 Not Placed
3:10 MUSS Titus Andronicus 3 Place BF Price 2.76 Not Placed
3:10 MUSS Sir Geoffrey 3 Place BF Price 2.72 Not Placed
3:30 BRIG Hellbender 3 Place BF Price 1.51 3rd
4:40 MUSS Justonefortheroad 3 Place BF Price 1.87 1st
4:40 MUSS Scrapper Smith 3 Place BF Price 2.16 Not Placed
4:40 MUSS Elijah Pepper 3 Place BF Price 2.22 3rd
5:30 BRIG Annia Galeria 3 Place BF Price 1.6 Not Placed
9:15 KEMP Wild Rose 3 Place BF Price 1.65 Not Placed
There are a number of selections in each race which is a little unusual
for this system but we haven’t decided what to do when this
happens.
Anyway just keep an eye on them and see what happens.
Thanks for reading and have a great weekend.
Malcolm
sales@bluebelldata.co.uk
P.S if the above doesn’t interest you then maybe this will.
http://www.cyobs.co.uk/go_bf.html



