In my last email I wrote that I was looking at a new lay system and I mentioned “going against the crowed”.
What I really meant was…finding a favourite that had no value which normally means that “every man and his dog” is trading on them, so that in the end the odds drop so low it’s just not worth betting on, even if the horse wins.
Now the obvious place to start is to look at steamers. These are horses that for some reason during the day have become popular and the price is dropping as more and more people decide to follow the crowed. In some cases just one large bet from “someone” can cause the odds to drop.
I got the initial idea from one of Stephen’s systems but I have been modifying it.
The problem is when following any steamer you have no idea why the runner’s price is moving. It could be any number of reasons, but unless you are in the “know” then you are just looking at a reaction.
My idea is to pick a runner because I know the probable reason why this runner is likely to steam and be able to tell quite quickly, that it has.
I also want to look for odds-on runners because I am not interested in laying over evens, in this case. I want to keep my liability as low as possible because I know I am going to have to put up with losers and a lot of them!
My goal is long term profit based purely on the fact that the runners I am taking on have no value in the price and so, should have some value as a lay bet.
So where do you start?
Well we need four things.
1. A guide Price. A betting forecast from someone you can trust.
2. A way of telling that this horse is going to be exceptionally popular and is likely to steam.
3. A time when you decide the price difference is big enough to make it a bet
4. And a willingness to accept that this going to be a long term strategy
Have I found away of doing this?
Yes, I think I have and over the coming weeks I will reveal more about the results as I collect more information.
I was hoping to give you a selection today, but there isn’t one.
Thanks for reading.
P.S. Check out the Terbium results. Consistently 10pts or more a month.