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12th March 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I did tell you I disliked big meetings and I was totally wrong with all my selections. I am not going to embarrass myself anymore, so if you are watching Cheltenham then have fun, but I am afraid today it has been abandoned.

I mentioned yesterday we have found a possible link in the losers we had with the new lay system we have been trying.

Looking at January we had about 83 selections and if we used the new filter we would lose 20 of the selections, but it still seems we would have at least one selection a day, which is what we really want.

We could also identify these races and decide to put a smaller stake on because the higher than normal chance of losing, this will keep our selections at the higher number. We still need to look at all the results to see the overall impact but my own feelings are just take them out and done with it.

I have been thinking that these tips will be a good replacement for the Almost Certain Lay nap selections. The odds tend to be lower and you can have more than one a day which would mean you could choose your maximum odds limit and still probably get a bet most days.

3.00 South: Whitcombe Flyer EP 14.00 (I got 17.5) 2nd 12/1

1.40 Hunt: Booster Divin EP 170
1.50 South: Dasheena 10.50
2.25 South: Starcross Maid 9.2
9.20 Wolv: Castle Frome 20

Pot 1 now stands at £-7.75

I hate to mention it but I have also been playing around with another Greyhound "lay" system. I was actually trying to find a good backing system (still looking) but came across this idea that seems to be working well.

Up to now I have just been checking the results, but today I am going to start checking prices and see what happens if I lay at level stakes. I actually want to run this as a "stop at a profit" system or just "stop at a winner" but I need to do a lot more work over the next few weeks to get an idea of win/loss ratio.

I am only running the system during the day up to 5.30 and ignoring any races after this. Anyway if you want to join in looking at the selections I will start giving them out daily (Mon to Fri).

Here are today's

11:42, Newc, Darkas Hondo
12:47, HGrn, Tales
13:04, HGrn, Proper Gear
13:44, Newc, Pilgrims Silver
14:42, Hove, Cushie Samantha
15:44, Hove, Stamford Bridge

Guest Selection
I have a couple of guest selections lined up for you.
The first is from "Wrightyoh"

"After reading and studying numerous laying guides and ideas I have come up with a system using the racing post forecast favourites. In a nutshell this is done by comparing the forecast favourite with the other runners and trying to find at least two other runners that have a good chance of beating the forecast favourite. I am not just looking at negative factors for the favourite but comparing these factors against the other runners. The races I select need to have 7 runners or more for the sake of probability and are usually hcps. "

Wrightyoh is testing two systems but there won't always be a selection on both systems.
Sys 1.
16.55 Sedg, Chabrimal Minster EP 2.34 NR
Sys 2
No bet.

Sys 1.
16.15 Hunt, Rebel Melody EP 3.05
Sys 2
No Bet
Remember these are "Lay" selections.

Sponsors of the day
Sponsor product of the day (please take a look you never Know!)

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Sponsor Tip of the day.

Bills 321 Lays

Comments for today:
good morning everyone.what a poor days racing on the flat yesterday.what with no bets and non runners.this could happen again today so beware of non runners in front of selections in betting.
regards bill
Selection 1: southwell 1.50 dickie le davoir**
Selection 2: 4.25 they all laughed*
Selection 3: wolverhampton 6.50 tabour*
Selection 4: 7.20 desert lover*
Selection 5: 8.20 morbick*
Selections 6: 8.50 guadaloup*

The rule of the 321 staking plan is subjected to the price of the horses odds on betfair or other exchanges that allow you to lay a horse.

0-to 6.0 lay 3pts
6.1 to 10/1 lay 2pts
10.1 to 14 lay 1pt

Bills 321 Lays

Malcolm's Selections
Best Lay of the Day
15.30 Sedge, Bob's Dream 2nd 7/2

Today: 14.50 Hunt, Ballyvaden

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Place System: Started 20-11-2006

This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 73.66
Points new system (30/07/07) + 34.8

15:00, Southwell, Whitcombe Flyer EP 3.4 (*) 2nd
17:05, Southwell, Swindon Town Flyer, EP 3.8 (*) 7th
17:40, Southwell, Note Perfect, EP 3.00 3rd

16:55, Huntingdon, Sunisa, EP2.38
20:20, Wolverhampton, Watchmaker, EP 2.86 (*)

(*) No bet under new system idea


Back test system
Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how we are now testing it.
£10 stakes.

Level Stakes
£36.81(after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008
Using a staking plan similar to CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/11/2008.
Bank £0.00

15:15, Chel, Sizing Europe EP 3.65 14 2/1

No selection.

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying these selections.

Other Information
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
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Grey Horse Bot affiliate programme

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

We make every effort to supply high quality tips, but we cannot be responsible for any losses incurred by any persons using these tips or any of the information provided.

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