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14th February 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I have been working over 12 hrs a day since Monday so I am going to have a very early day to day and finish at 5pm.

Well it is valentines day and so I am going to treat my wife.

Adrian's Expected Winners site will be going live very shortly but before it does I wanted to show you how the results pages have been set up because I know there have been some comments about these.

The naps and backs are based on SP and have to be because that is the industry standard way of doing things and you can see this months results here.



The each-ways are here.
At the moment he is using 1/4 which I know is not completely accurate, but I think it is good enough at the moment although I will be adding further code to get this correct.


I suppose his lay results are the ones that have had the most criticism and there are two pages so that you can add commission and increase the prices if you don't agree with the results and want to get a more accurate picture.

I have spoke with Adrian on quite a few occasions about the lays and how to handle the "no bet rule". If you have been following Adrian's lays then you will know that he always takes on one of the front runners and almost always the favourite or second favourite, so it is only prudent to have a "No Bet" rule if on of the 1st 3 in betting is a NR (non runner). Now I know if you put your bets on early you can not do anything about it, but that is why Betfair have the "reduction factor" which is normally quite high for the first 3 runners. Anyway from now on if one of the top 3 is removed from the race then the "no bet" rule will apply and although Adrian used it yesterday he didn't use it earlier in the month when he lost on another lay.

There are always going to be differences of opinions of how results are shown, even using SP can be argued against but I hope you can see that Adrian does take criticism seriously and that is why we are trying to get the results as accurate as we can.

Let me know if you have any comments.

Regarding my chat on Monday about how you bet I also had this.

I aim to make 0.5% of my bank each day.And I compound this daily. I find going for 1% just too risky. And compounding at 0.5% daily will provide great profits in 12 months time.

I follow your Laybetaday service and stake 0.25% on each tip. I follow another service which provides four short priced tips to lay each day. And you stop at the first winner. I stake 0.25% of my bank on these tips.

So giving me a total of 0.5%. I will be very interested if you are offering a tipping service making 1% a day!!

I use your grey horse bot to place the bets. Its quicker, saves time and removes the emotion out of betting. And it stops betting when my profits are made!

This strategy has been working very well for me since the beginning of the year.

Best Regards,

Thanks Vance.

Guest Selection

Guest: Adrian's Expected Winners
Results December and January.

You can get Adrian's daily selections by signing up here now.

Daily selections are here if you can not get them by email.

Just keep an eye on them and see what you think.

Guest: Gary's Greyhound lays not over 8.00
Theres only one full selection today which is:

11.28 Newcastle Trap 2 U/P 10.0 No Bet (mal - no match)
11.42 Newcastle Trap 2 1st 14.5 No Bet 13 (mal - no match)
12.27 Newcastle Trap 6 U/P 12.5 No Bet 13 (mal - no match)
13.44 Newcastle Trap 6 Last 8.0 - (mal - 8.00)

Sheffield - 12.27 - Trap 1 (Only take at a decent price)
Sunderland - 13.19 - Trap 1
Sunderland - 13.33 - Trap 5

As always i suggest you don't lay over 8.

Sponsors of the day
Sponsor product of the day (please take a look you never Know!)

How To Set Up And Run Your Own Professional Horse Racing Tipster Service .
Click Here to read more

Sponsor Tip of the day.

Ace Naps

1.30 Kelso, Frankie Figg

Ace Naps

Malcolm's Selections
Best Lay of the Day
14.50 Muss, Pencil House 4th 2/1

Today: 16.00 Chep, Thievery

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Place System: Started 20-11-2006

This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 52.38
Points new system (30/07/07) + 12.69

15:20, Musselburgh, Danish Rebel, EP 2.76 4th
16:10, Lingfield, Danish Rebel, Jemiliah, EP 2.76 (*) 3rd

15:05, Kelso, Standin Obligation, EP 2.64
15:15, Southwell, Stepaside, EP 2.12
15:25, Chepstow, Its Crucial, EP 2.32
15:50, Southwell, Grand Palace EP 2.24
18:50, Wolverhampton, Seductive Witch, EP 2.36
20:50, Wolverhampton, Pass The Port EP 2.16 (*)
21:20, Wolverhampton, Maktavish EP 2.1(*)

(*) No bet under new system idea


Lay test system (or maybe back)
Started (again) 15/01/2008. We are testing to see if we have a good lay system or back. £10 stakes. Please remember this is a test and a bit of fun to find out if this selection system works better as a lay or back system.

Lay + £11.10 (after 5% commision)
Back -£19.83(after 5% commision)

15:50 Muss, Halla San EP 1.92 1st 4/5

14:50, Chep, Piste Aux Etoiles EP 2.08

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying these selections.

Other Information
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
If you need help about anything please go to my support site.
If you haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair points.

Grey Horse Bot affiliate programme

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

We make every effort to supply high quality tips, but we cannot be responsible for any losses incurred by any persons using these tips or any of the information provided.

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