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15th July 2009

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

On Monday we were talking about specialising in one area if you are trying to create your own betting system.

The better you can specialise the more likely you are to find a system that works. This means that choosing a type of surface like AW is a start but then narrowing down to a particular type of race will give you a greater advantage.

One of the reasons I like specialising in AW is that although the rain can cause the surface to change a little it is nowhere near as marked as it is with grass. The other more important reason though is that there are only a few AW courses so it is quite easy to remember things like "draw bias" and some of the quirks of those courses.

I know you wont have as many selections a year as you do on grass but there are AW meetings most days now.

If we took Kempton although there isn't any official course "Bias" my observations have been that 7f or under I think there is a small bias for horses drawn wide about the 5 highest runners.

Again this isn't official just my own observation and "Bias" doesn't necessarily mean anything but it is good to know when you are selecting a runner.

The point is that by specialising you can create your own picture of what is likely to happen in a race and then decide if you want to get involved.

I know most people want a system to follow that will win them money day in and day out but you know as well as I do that in this game you have to take the rough with the smooth but if you have quite a good system you are following, why not make it better by using the system to specialise?

If your system can choose runners from all sorts of races, why not take notes of what races it is most successful in then only concentrate on those.

Just a thought!

More tomorrow.


You can see my video rambles here.
Sorry no video today.

If you missed yesterday's rambles you can see it here:
No video yesterday

The idea is really to select "one a day" to lay bet ( on betfair or betdaq, which should be the shortest price. David has set a maximum price limit of 12/1 or 13 on betfair. The main rule (and one we have started to use across a number of our systems) is that you should not bet if the reduction factor for the race is 10% or more.

No Selections

14:30 Catt, Bubbelas
18:50 Kemp, Toga Tiger
20:20 Kemp, Perfect Class

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Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay a day from my Lay betting System")

No Selections

Today: 19.40 Worc, Tanmeya

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

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Back test system ( "A 'back' system that I came up with a while ago")

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No Selections

Today. 2:30 Catt, Mister Angry 1.86
Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing "backing" these selections.

Other Information (" Here is some other info that should help you")
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Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...
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