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16th July 2009

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

Yesterday's best lay of the day was a classic example of being careful when you make a bet. Clearly with 5 NR's this would have been a "No Bet". I normally use the 10% (reduction) rule now for most of my systems as this will show up any significant NR immediately.

When creating your own system it is very important that you create rules to safeguard you in certain situations. NR's are pretty easy to spot but sometimes jockeys can be replaced and the ground can change because of a lot of rain or an exceptional hot day these changes are not always easy to see but should be watched for.

Most systems take the race as a whole and then selects a runner by using a specific criteria an example could be.

8 runners or more where the favourite is under 2 and the 3rd favourite (our selection) is at least 100 (betfair) ticks away. Check out 14.40 Leicester for an example.

So although this is a pretty basic system (which I just made up!) there are a couple of points that you have to be careful with.

Obviously if the favourite or the 2nd favourite are NR's then it has to be a "no bet", but also if there are any other significant NR's then the reduction factor could change the price, although this shouldn't effect the price differences, public reaction to the NR could.

I often think of using the race card when I first see it as a snapshot and if there are any changes to that card before the off, then maybe the race should be left alone. There are plenty of punters out there with a lot more experience and know how than me and if the second favourite suddenly becomes the first, then there is something going on!

More tomorrow...

One other note: hit their 12 pts profit goal on their backs yesterday. If you had taken the betfair prices and put a £100 on each selections since the 1st Jan you would now be up £9161 after taking away the 5% betfair commision.

You keep asking me for a profitable service!


You can see my video rambles here.
Sorry no video today.

If you missed yesterday's rambles you can see it here:
No video yesterday

The idea is really to select "one a day" to lay bet ( on betfair or betdaq, which should be the shortest price. David has set a maximum price limit of 12/1 or 13 on betfair. The main rule (and one we have started to use across a number of our systems) is that you should not bet if the reduction factor for the race is 10% or more.

14:30 Catt, Bubbelas 6th 20/1
18:50 Kemp, Toga Tiger 1st 15/2
20:20 Kemp, Perfect Class 2nd 6/1

15:50 Leic, Misdaqeya
16:35 Ham, Leonid Glow
19:05 Donc, Dixie Bright

GHB Owners
Download these tips to use with the bot by clicking the following link or copy and paste it into your browser
No bet if the reduction factor is 10% or more.
To get these selections Monday to Saturday then click the link below.
Sponsor product of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
I have got hold of the rights to the Lay Investor system because Les
no longer gets involved in racing. I mentioned the results are out of date
but if you are interested in getting hold of this system at a very special
then check out the page here...

Sponsor Tip of the day.

The Almost Certain Lay Nap
Selection 1: 8.10 Don, Bushman

Good to Lay
Selection 1: 5.00 Leic, Bow to no One
(NOTE: No bet if there is a 10% or above reduction factor on betfair)

Set a maximum amount as your liability, then divide that figure by the available odds.

EG. £100 / (8.8 - 1) = 12.82 so your stake is £12.82.

Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay a day from my Lay betting System")

19.40 Worc, Tanmeya 1st 5/1 (there were 5 NR's in this race!)

Today: 20.50 Epsom, Edgeworth

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a selection does daily.

You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Back test system ( "A 'back' system that I came up with a while ago")

This system is available as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.

2:30 Catt, Mister Angry 1.86 1sr 8/15

Today. Sorry no selection.
Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing "backing" these selections.

Other Information (" Here is some other info that should help you")
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
If you need help about anything please go to my support site.
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You can automate your betting with GHB.

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Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...
Also check my blog here
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