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27th April 2009

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

A great win for Button over the weekend. This was probably his sweetest win yet and well deserved.

Do I think he could win the world championship?

Well we are only 4 races in to a very long season but he certainly has a very good chance and I tend to agree with his odds at 2.92, to win the world championship.

Thank-you for all the feedback about my test video on Friday. Most of you seemed to like it but there were one or two of you with loading problems but I think I know the problem there.

I have just ordered a new mike and a small mixing board just so I can make everything sound a little better, so I should be ready to start my video rambles Wednesday or Thursday.

Well we must be officially in the flat season now as the Racing Post have reset their naps table. Of course now days there are jump meetings all through the season but it would be best to concentrate on the flat races only. As always give the form stats a month to settle down.

Here are the AW back test selections for today.

15.35 Wolves, TO BE OR NOT TO BE6.8 4th 7/2
16.10 Wolves, ALMATY EXPRESS4.0 1st 11/4
16.45 Wolves, KIRSTYS LAD 8.2 8th 5/1

Here are today's selections.
18:10 Southwell, Spic'n span 9.2
18:40 Southwell, COLORUS 5.9
19:10 Southwell, Jord 3.15
19:40 Southwell, PREMIER LAD 2.72
20:10 Southwell, King of the Beers 7.80

Please remember this is a backing "Test" only. There could actually be a case for placing some of these if you can get over 2. Theses are not all the selections today but the ones that using my filters I think have the best chance to win (famous last words!)

I am starting to see some patterns so I may introduce some more filters very soon to cut down on the number of selections I post here.

My Test System ("Weird Lay System").

I think I am going to call this the "Weird Lay System". I will explain the reason for that another time!

No bet over 7.0 on the exchanges.

Bank (start 04/03/08) + 3.1
(Checking the results yesterday I realised the day I left for my holiday we had a loser with 14:10 Hereford - Dizzy future at 5.9, we also had 1 NR and 1 winner that day so we were -4.9. So our bank should have shown -1.8. I have adjusted it below with yesterday's winners.)

Bank (start 04/03/08) + 1.20

17:30 Perth, Russian War 3.65 2nd 15/8

Sorry no selections today. This is really a jump selection method so we are going to be light on selections over the coming months so I make create a smaller section for these tips.

Please remember this is a test and I am showing you the selections for information only.

Sponsor product of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Michael uses a variety of automated and data led methods as well as his race rating method which makes form study a breeze. I recommend that you visit his site and read all about it. .
Click Here to read more

Sponsor Tip of the day.

The Almost Certain Lay Nap
Selection 1: 2.30 Plum, King Edmund

Good to Lay
Selection 1: 2.40 Towc, Thethirdoftheforth

(NOTE: No bet if there is a 10% or above reduction factor on betfair)

Set a maximum amount as your liability, then divide that figure by the available odds.

EG. £100 / (8.8 - 1) = 12.82 so your stake is £12.82.

Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay a day from my Lay betting System")

16.20 Sand, Antinori 3rd 7/2

Today:  14.20 Newc, Farne Island

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a selection does daily.

You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Back test system ( "A 'back' system that I came up with a while ago")

This system is available as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.

2:00 Sand, Taameer 5th 13/8

Today. 2:50 Newc, Touchdown
Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing "backing" these selections.

Other Information (" Here is some other info that should help you")
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
If you need help about anything please go to my support site.
If you haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair points.

You can automate your betting with GHB.

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...
Also check my blog here
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