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10th April 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

Boy, am I running late this morning. It always seems to be a Thursday so I am going to leave you with Darren from the betting School.


Betting School

It always pays to specialise.

When you specialise in a particular subject it is much easier to rise to the top in that field and so it goes with form reading and betting. If you specialise in one particular group of runners you get to know more about how that group performs and can therefore more easily analyse any given race.

One area that bettors shy away from but which can be very profitable if you specialise is two year olds. A lot of form readers will dismiss two year old races out of hand because of the limited form. And this certainly is a factor and there is little point trying to analyse a field full of debutants.

But the remainder of two year old races are run amongst a relatively small group of horses that run over a small slections of (sprint) distances.

This gives us two advantages the first is that the colateral form (Who has beaten who etc) is easier to work out. The second is that the race time is much more significant in sprint races where a truer pace is more often run.

Add to that the runners are less likley to be jaded and are more likley to run their true race on every occasion and you have a recipe for a profitable campaign.

All Betting School Insiders Club members get a free copy of the Speciality system which has been created by pro gambler Tony Gibson in order to systemise the selection procedure for this group of runners. The system comes with a month by month schedule of how you should be betting and what the more significant factors are for that particular month.

You can register for a free sample of the Betting School Insiders Report by following this link

New Lay Test

6.20 Kemp: Old Etonian 16/1 (was over 25)
7.50 Kemp: Mahadee 4th 5/1 (we got 15)

3.55 Carl, Roschal

Pot 2 now stands at £-176.55 (Target £70.00)
New Greyhound Lay system I had come up with.

After some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.

Easy day again yesterday

12:42, Newc, Il Divo
14:03, Newc, Sapphire Edition
16:08, Hove, Steve Boy
16:27, Hove, Clairkeith Holly
16:47, Hove, Slaneyside Demon
17:38, Hove, Ballytag Rose
17:56, Hove, Grot Bags
19:22, BVue, Conna Bruno
19:32, Swin, Molineux Rose
19:53, BVue, Fado Star
19:58, Sund, Catland Fern
20:14, Sund, Danas Pride
20:52, Swin, Captain Kilmore
21:07, Swin, Crashbangwallop
21:07, Swin, Charmers Legacy
21:22, Swin, Barraduff Gina
21:46, Sund, Charlie Chase
22:22, Sund, Bedrock Venus
22:22, Sund, Molly Pusher
22:22, Sund, Mackem Bonny

I was running my GHB on a new laptop yesterday and I forgot to turn of "Automatic install updates". I came in this morning to a reset machine! I checked the test Betfair account and it had gone from 10.93 to 11.24 after commission so a 31p profit. I was actually lucky because I finished on a winner after haveing to use the staking plan. We did have 5 wins in a row, but also 2 losers in a row.

Here are today's
I will start showing all selections now but please remember that some of the late races may not appear on Betfair.
11:42, Sheff, Bubbly Verdi
11:48, Sund, Durham Lady
11:48, Sund, Vegas Gem
12:42, Sheff, Mi Starr
12:58, Sheff, Emico
13:12, Sheff, Stepaside Sonic
13:51, Sund, Noelles Kaka
15:17, Crayfd, Laughan Scholes
16:18, Crayfd, Cathals Honey
17:17, Crayfd, Tims Mourinho
18:04, Crayfd, Proper Petal
18:04, Crayfd, Kinda Sure
19:48, Sittb, Blue Suede
19:48, Sittb, American Idle
19:58, Newc, Munsboro Model
19:58, Newc, Nella Fantasia
20:14, Newc, Back And Lay
20:19, Sittb, Quick Madam
20:36, Sittb, Undercover Maid
20:52, Sittb, Lleytons Debut
21:17, Newc, Head Water
21:.3, Monm, Steelhouse Ted
21:.3, Monm, Ecati Jonny
21:45, Newc, Corklees Corker
22:22, Newc, Barnish Fawn Dog

Please remember this is a new test and there are no rules yet.

Guest Selection
Andrew lays

15.10 Ling Oat Cuisine EP 3.75 3rd 11/4

16.10 Bath Bugsys Boy (matched 3.00 )
17.00 Towc Murphys Cardina (matched 2.18)

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Sponsor Tip of the day.


As at 8 o'clock this morning the following horses were identified as within Bismarx range.
Watch for market changes before the race.
Exercise caution at odds over 2.8 or where non-runner's have left less than 5 runner's in a race.
Generally do not lay when wide odds disparity (3.0+) has emerged between the Favourite and the other runner's.
Quit when your profit target has been reached.
Prepare for liability in advance - always plan your next move first.

14.10 Folk NORTHERN TOUR @2.5
16.50 Towc REALISM @2.7
19.10 Tipp TIAN SHAUN @1.9
19.20 Kemp IRISH MAYHEM @2.7
20.50 Kemp ROYAL DIGNITARY @2.7


Malcolm's Selections
Best Lay of the Day
15.30 Towc, Wotchalike 2nd 11/4

Today: 15.15 Folk, Golden Desert

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Place System: Started 20-11-2006

This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 76.14
Points new system (30/07/07) + 32.10

16:40 bath, Figaro Flyer, EP 2.66 6th
17:00 towcester, Moscow Court, EP 2.54 3rd
19:50 kempton, Dinarius, EP 2.9 NR
20.50 kempton, Maddy, EP 2.6(*) 4th

15:20, Carlisle, Fred Bojangals.EP 4 (only 5 runners still 3 place)

(*) No bet under new system idea


Back test system
Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how we are now testing it.
£10 stakes.

Level Stakes
£26.49 (after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008
Using a staking plan similar to CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/11/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £11.48 (staking loss this cycle 29.94)
16:10, Bath, Bugsy´s Boy EP 2.64 (staking 13.23) 2nd Eve

Today. 14:55, Font, Theatre Girl EP 1.23 (because the price is so low we just put £10.00 on the slection).

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying these selections.

Other Information
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
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If you haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair points.

Grey Horse Bot affiliate programme

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Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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