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15th May 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

Sorry this is a quick rambles today.

Another winner with the new Guest Selection (back 4 profit) yesterday, although the price reduction (because of 2 NR's) would have meant that I wouldn't have made profit if the favourite had won. Luckily the second selection came in and I was in profit.

I was thinking yesterday we could just "dutch" these it would be the easiest way to work out your stake and there are plenty of calculators around and of course GHB can do this automatically for you.

I wrote this article on dutching a while a go...

I also remembered that I wrote a dutching calculator program a while back so I have included the download link to the software, on the above page as well.

From now on I am going to show dutching with a £5 stake split between the two bets using my dutch calculator .

New Lay Test

2.00 Font: A Little More EP 48 3rd 20/1 (no match)
3.35 Font: Wild Knight EP 29 9th 20/1 (no match)
6.40 Perth: Hi Density EP 29 (We got 8.8) 1st 13/2
(I must rethink this staking)

2.10 York: Flying Clarets EP 8.8
3.10 York: New Seeker EP 13

Pot 2 now stands at £-137.11 (Target £70.00)
New Greyhound Lay system I had come up with.

After some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.

11:28, Newc, Crash Muzza
14:03, Newc, Chevington Pearl
14:03, Newc, Fintans Fortune
14:08, Hove, Cash Back
15:07, Hove, Monkspath Meril
15:38, BVue, Black Chevalier
17:33, BVue, Barrowcord Star
18:04, BVue, Vieri Ritz
19:26, Sund, Two Blue For You
19:58, Sund, Craan Classic
19:58, Sund, Mesinhere
21:.3, Sund, Smooth Samphire
( I finished early, no point taking a risk with only a few races left)

12:18, Sund, Grapsys Gaffer
12:47, Sund, September Tango
12:58, Sheff, Marys Dance
13:27, Sheff, In A Dream
14:27, Romfd, Rockchase Cyril
14:37, Crayfd, Meadow Lark Girl
15:07, Romfd, Blonde Freddy
16:08, Romfd, Kaylin Joe
16:57, Crayfd, Alone Denise
17:17, Crayfd, Bodens Bandit
17:56, Romfd, Dash Dottie Dash
18:28, Sittb, Fantasia
20:13, Newc, Isabels Fancy
21:22, Sittb, Westmead Vieri
21:.3, Newc, Ruby Red
21:45, Newc, Hollin Native

Please remember this is a new test and there are no rules yet.

Guest Selection (back 4 profit)
This is a new back test.
I am going to show dutching with a £5 stake split between the two bets using my dutch calculator .

I am not sure about NR's, the favourite does tend to win most of the time, with the second favourite about a 3rd of the time so it could be worth backing the the second if the favourite is a NR. If the second favourite is a NR then you can take the next runner in the betting.

4.30 Exet
Ocean du Moulin EP 2.3 (I got 2.3, then reduced by betfair to 2.00)
Mister Gloss EP 2.54 (I got 2.54, then reduced by betfair to 2.20)

(2 NR's, if Ocean du Moulin had won I would have not made profit, thanks Mister Gloss)

2.50 Salis:
Naughty Thoughts EP 1.99 (Dutch stake £2.91)
Uig EP 2.78 (Dutch stake £2.09)

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3.10 York Tip1: New Seeker


Malcolm's Selections
Best Lay of the Day
13.40 York, King Charles 5th 9/2

Today: 18.20 Newm, Maghya

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Place System: Started 20-11-2006

This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 68.52
Points new system (30/07/07) + 28.04

14:40, York, Cape Amber EP 2.88 (*) 2nd
15:00, Fontwell, Sycho Fred EP 2.3 (*) 7 runners 1st
18:40, Perth, Falcon´s Tribute, EP 2.32 (*) 2nd

14:30, Perth, Charming Knight, EP 2.34
15:35, Perth, Sting EP 2.26 (*)
17:50, Newmarket, Brae Hill EP 2.3
20:00, Newmarket, Without A Prayer EP 3.15(*) (Strange name for a racing horse!)
20:20, Folkestone, Hatsnall EP 2.48
20:40, Ludlow, Kings Rhythm, EP 2.12 (*)

(*) No bet under new system idea


Back test system
Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how we are now testing it.
£10 stakes.

Level Stakes
£-8.49(after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008
Using a staking plan similar to CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/3/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £0.51 (staking running loss £59.01 )
15:10, York, US Range EP 5.5 (Staking stake £11.09) 4th 9/4

14:40, York, Twice Over EP 1.66 (No staking as price is under 2.0 normal £10 stake)

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying these selections.

Other Information
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Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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