Sorry this is a quick rambles today.
winner with the new Guest Selection (back 4 profit) yesterday, although the
price reduction (because of 2 NR's) would have meant that I wouldn't have made
profit if the favourite had won. Luckily the second selection came in and I was
I was thinking yesterday we could just "dutch" these it would
be the easiest way to work out your stake and there are plenty of calculators
around and of course GHB can do this automatically for you.
I wrote this
article on dutching a while a go...
also remembered that I wrote a dutching calculator program a while back so I
have included the download link to the software, on the above page as
From now on I am going to show dutching with a £5 stake
split between the two bets using my dutch calculator .
New Lay Test
2.00 Font: A Little More EP 48 3rd 20/1 (no match)
3.35 Font: Wild Knight EP
29 9th 20/1 (no match)
6.40 Perth: Hi Density EP 29 (We got 8.8) 1st
(I must rethink this staking)
2.10 York: Flying
Clarets EP 8.8
3.10 York: New Seeker EP
Pot 2 now stands at £-137.11 (Target
New Greyhound Lay system I had come
some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in
Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a
little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.
11:28, Newc, Crash Muzza
14:03, Newc, Chevington Pearl
14:08, Hove, Cash Back
15:07, Hove, Monkspath Meril
15:38, BVue, Black Chevalier
17:33, BVue, Barrowcord Star
19:26, Sund, Two Blue For You
19:58, Sund, Craan Classic
19:58, Sund, Mesinhere
21:.3, Sund, Smooth Samphire
I finished early, no point taking a risk with only a few races
12:18, Sund, Grapsys Gaffer
12:47, Sund, September
12:58, Sheff, Marys Dance
13:27, Sheff, In A Dream
Romfd, Rockchase Cyril
14:37, Crayfd, Meadow Lark Girl
16:08, Romfd, Kaylin Joe
16:57, Crayfd, Alone Denise
17:17, Crayfd, Bodens Bandit
17:56, Romfd, Dash Dottie Dash
20:13, Newc, Isabels Fancy
21:22, Sittb, Westmead
21:.3, Newc, Ruby Red
21:45, Newc, Hollin Native
remember this is a new test and there are no rules yet.
Selection (back 4 profit)
This is a new back test.
I am going to show
dutching with a £5 stake split between the two bets using my dutch
am not sure about NR's, the favourite does tend to win most of the time, with
the second favourite about a 3rd of the time so it could be worth backing the
the second if the favourite is a NR. If the second favourite is a NR then you
can take the next runner in the betting.
Ocean du Moulin EP 2.3 (I got 2.3, then reduced by betfair to 2.00)
Mister Gloss EP 2.54 (I got 2.54, then reduced by betfair to
(2 NR's, if Ocean du Moulin had won I would have not made profit,
thanks Mister Gloss)
Naughty Thoughts EP 1.99
(Dutch stake £2.91)
Uig EP 2.78 (Dutch stake
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3.10 York Tip1: New Seeker
Best Lay of the
13.40 York, King Charles 5th 9/2
Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems
in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.
purchase the system formula:
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Place System: Started
This is a
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 68.52
system (30/07/07) + 28.04
14:40, York, Cape Amber EP
2.88 (*) 2nd
15:00, Fontwell, Sycho Fred EP 2.3 (*) 7 runners 1st
Perth, Falcon´s Tribute, EP 2.32 (*) 2nd
Charming Knight, EP 2.34
15:35, Perth, Sting EP 2.26 (*)
Newmarket, Brae Hill EP 2.3
20:00, Newmarket, Without A Prayer EP 3.15(*)
(Strange name for a racing horse!)
20:20, Folkestone, Hatsnall EP
20:40, Ludlow, Kings Rhythm, EP 2.12 (*)
(*) No bet under new
Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system
but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how
we are now testing it.
£-8.49(after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008
staking plan similar to
CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/3/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £0.51 (staking running loss £59.01
15:10, York, US Range EP 5.5 (Staking stake £11.09)
14:40, York, Twice
Over EP 1.66 (No staking as price is under 2.0 normal £10 stake)
Remember this is just a
test and we are paper testing laying these selections.
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
If you need help about anything please go to my
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
Have a good days
P.S. How about something different...
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