19th March 2009
I am not sure what is going on
with my new Grey horse Bot system test at the moment but it is certainly been a
struggle the last couple of days.
We actually did win yesterday
but because of a low price on the actual winner we didn't make much profit at
all. As usual you can see the screen shot on my GHB blog.
Although there have not been a
great deal of selections on my "Weird Lay System" test we are in profit at the
moment. We had a great win yesterday with NO SUPPER. Our liability would have
been less than our stake so of course our chances of losing the bet were a lot
higher so it was nice to see we would have won.
David's been updating the 1Xlay
results for me at the moment and I noticed he put the loser in that we had on
the 14th in as a "no bet". David has started to use the rule "10% or more
reduction, then a no bet" a lot more because he thinks it is prudent to use
I agree with him that it is a
good rule, my only worry is that you must be consistent with it and what can
happen sometimes is that you notice when you lose that there has been a
significant NR but you don't pick up on it win you win!
I for one try to be accurate
with my results especially with lay bets because the liability of a loser can
make or break a system, so I am going to have to consider whether to change
that from a "no bet" to loss.Still this system has had very few losers so
Someone emailed me the other day and mentioned that the "back test
system" seemed to be better as a lay system with the amount of losers it has. I
emailed back and said at the moment I would agree but the system does have some
good winning runs sometimes.
I then sat and had a thought about it
realised that the problem could be seasons. Although I haven't actually gone
back over the results, I think that this system works far better in the flat
season as a back system, but I think in the NH season it works better as a lay
Maybe that is something we should
I think I am going to call this the "Weird
Lay System". I will explain the reason for that another time!
pleased to know that my filter worked yesterday and we missed a 10/1 loser
which would have put us way into the red. I will make one point though that if
we had used all the selections we would have around the same bank even after
Bank (start 04/03/08) +4.1
17:10 War, NO
SUPPER EP 1.77 2nd 8/11
Todays. No selection today. (there is one but my
filters took it out because of the price).
Please remember this is a
test and I am showing you the selections for information only.
Guest Selection ("1Xlay").
I a day lay system.
21:20 Kemp Tip,
Tartan Gigha 2nd 5/1
Today. 16:30 Ayr, Cote dArgent
Guest Selection ("DYC
(Double your chance) AND Stop at a winner").
Please remember this
is a test, please just watch the selections at the moment.
The idea really
behind this system is to stop at a winner, but I want to show what the
selections are like over the period I show them to you.
you want these selections on a Saturday.
(Stakes based on a £10 dutch
at Betfair prices around 9am.)
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either runner is a NR then take the best priced runner or next best priced
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The Almost Certain Lay Nap
Selection 1: 7.50 Kemp, Dan Tucker
Selection 1: 4.30 Ayr, Cote dArgent
(NOTE: No bet if there is a
10% or above reduction factor on betfair)
Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay
a day from my Lay betting System")
Today: No Nap Today
Please Note: The lay betting
system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for
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Back test system ( "A 'back'
system that I came up with a while ago")
This system is available
as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.
5:10 Wwck, No Supper EP 1.77 2nd 8/11
Today. 3:35 Ludl, Mizen Raven
Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing "backing"
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