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19th March 2009

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I am not sure what is going on with my new Grey horse Bot system test at the moment but it is certainly been a struggle the last couple of days.

We actually did win yesterday but because of a low price on the actual winner we didn't make much profit at all. As usual you can see the screen shot on my GHB blog.

Although there have not been a great deal of selections on my "Weird Lay System" test we are in profit at the moment. We had a great win yesterday with NO SUPPER. Our liability would have been less than our stake so of course our chances of losing the bet were a lot higher so it was nice to see we would have won.

David's been updating the 1Xlay results for me at the moment and I noticed he put the loser in that we had on the 14th in as a "no bet". David has started to use the rule "10% or more reduction, then a no bet" a lot more because he thinks it is prudent to use it.

I agree with him that it is a good rule, my only worry is that you must be consistent with it and what can happen sometimes is that you notice when you lose that there has been a significant NR but you don't pick up on it win you win!

I for one try to be accurate with my results especially with lay bets because the liability of a loser can make or break a system, so I am going to have to consider whether to change that from a "no bet" to loss.

Still this system has had very few losers so far.

Someone emailed me the other day and mentioned that the "back test system" seemed to be better as a lay system with the amount of losers it has. I emailed back and said at the moment I would agree but the system does have some good winning runs sometimes.

I then sat and had a thought about it realised that the problem could be seasons. Although I haven't actually gone back over the results, I think that this system works far better in the flat season as a back system, but I think in the NH season it works better as a lay system.

Maybe that is something we should test!
I think I am going to call this the "Weird Lay System". I will explain the reason for that another time!

Your be pleased to know that my filter worked yesterday and we missed a 10/1 loser which would have put us way into the red. I will make one point though that if we had used all the selections we would have around the same bank even after the loser.

Bank (start 04/03/08) +4.1
17:10 War, NO SUPPER EP 1.77 2nd 8/11

Todays. No selection today. (there is one but my filters took it out because of the price).

Please remember this is a test and I am showing you the selections for information only.

Guest Selection ("1Xlay").

I a day lay system.

21:20 Kemp Tip, Tartan Gigha 2nd 5/1

Today. 16:30 Ayr, Cote dArgent 15.5

Guest Selection ("DYC (Double your chance) AND Stop at a winner").

Please remember this is a test, please just watch the selections at the moment.
The idea really behind this system is to stop at a winner, but I want to show what the selections are like over the period I show them to you.
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If you want these selections on a Saturday.
(Stakes based on a £10 dutch at Betfair prices around 9am.)

If you want to continue getting these selections then please sign up here.

If either runner is a NR then take the best priced runner or next best priced runner.

Sponsors of the day ("Products and Tips for you to look at.")

Sponsor product of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Michael uses a variety of automated and data led methods as well as his race rating method which makes form study a breeze. I recommend that you visit his site and read all about it.
Click Here to read more

Sponsor Tip of the day.

The Almost Certain Lay Nap
Selection 1: 7.50 Kemp, Dan Tucker

Good to Lay
Selection 1: 4.30 Ayr, Cote dArgent
(NOTE: No bet if there is a 10% or above reduction factor on betfair)

Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay a day from my Lay betting System")

No Nap

Today: No Nap Today

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a selection does daily.

You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Back test system ( "A 'back' system that I came up with a while ago")

This system is available as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.

5:10 Wwck, No Supper EP 1.77 2nd 8/11

Today. 3:35 Ludl, Mizen Raven EP 2.46
Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing "backing" these selections.

Other Information (" Here is some other info that should help you")
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
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Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...
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