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26th March 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

If you use the Racing Post website a lot you have probably noticed that the tipsters naps table was reset a couple of days ago, to represent the start of the flat system.

I use this table in a couple of system but not so much for the order in which the tipsters rank, but more on how many tipsters are following a particular runner.

The problem we have at the start of a new season is the lack of current form to go on and it is really no different for the tipsters in the naps table.

What tends to happen is that form is based on last years results or as many horses have already run on AW courses they use this form.

(If you didn't know AW form is always in "bold", so it is easy to see if a horse has come off AW recently.)

I don't think it is wise to use either because last years form doesn't always equate to this year and a runner who likes Fibresand, may not be so happy on the green stuff.

One thing to notice now though is that we have AW racing almost everyday and on many occasions more than 1 meeting. Although it is not the easiest surface to judge, it is probably the most consistent type of racing we have, so if you want to get better at reading form and judging racing then AW is a good place to start.

There are only 4 AW courses and although the surfaces differ slightly you can probably get a good feel for each track and how the draw works. Most AW races are within the 1.3 mile bracket and of course there are no jumps.

I am not saying it is any easier picking winners or losers on AW. I am really just pointing out that if you want to give your self some selections everyday which are not as affected by the change in seasons and weather conditions, then AW is a good place to start.

Using a site like Flat Stats may help.

And here is some more interesting information from them.

New Lay Test

14.10 Pontefract, Sphere EP 28 3rd 20/1 (I got 30)

5.50 Newc: Celtic Saloon EP 390

Pot 2 now stands at £-62.78 (Target £70.00)

New Greyhound Lay system I had come up with.

After some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.

Yesterday shows that you don't always get a Greyhound winning it's race with this system and was the reason why I was reluctant to take that route. Of course the only real way to tell was to open the odds right out again, but I want to see how we do on lays 6.00 or under first.

11:03, Nott, Yorktown Pride
11:42, PBarr, Ballybride Gerry
12:18, Nott, Salacres Toronto
12:47, Nott, Our Waltz
13:19, Nott, Lucky Flutter
15:28, Crayfd, Cullane Devil
15:58, Sund, Raparee Wok
17:22, Crayfd, Snipers Reply
17:38, Crayfd, Tell Me Roy

Here are today's
11:28, Newc, Specific Mile
12:42, Newc, Stay For One
13:27, Newc, Glenfield Mist
14:08, Hove, Wellow Archie
14:47, Hove, Swift Minx
16:27, Hove, Humming Heiress
17:22, Hove, Harry Surprise
17:56, Hove, Kildrenagh Land

Please remember this is a new test and there are no rules yet.

Guest Selection
Sorry I wan't to confirm a couple of things before I carry on with the guest.

Sponsors of the day
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Sponsor Tip of the day.

Gray's Lays

Comments for today: Caution again today 1/2 point only. GREEN GAMBLE 1625 Kempton. Also looked at Came Back 1525 Southwell and Sahrati 1710 Southwell. Good Luck Graham and Brian

Selection 1: 1625 Kempton Green Gamble 0.5

Gray's Lays

Malcolm's Selections
Best Lay of the Day
16.40 Sedg, Deuteronomy. 2nd 7/1

15.50 Kemp, The Jolly Spoofer

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Place System: Started 20-11-2006

This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 76.82
Points new system (30/07/07) + 33.12

14:10, Pontefract, Sphere, EP 2.92 (*) 3rd (2 NR's)
15:00, Sedgefield, Verstone, EP 3.6 (*) 7th
15:20, Fontwell, Highglen, EP 2.26 7th
16:30, Fontwell, Azione, EP 2.12 7th

19:50, Wolverhampton, Justcallmehandsome, EP 2.28
21:20, Wolverhampton, Stolt, EP 2.7

(*) No bet under new system idea


Back test system
Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how we are now testing it.
£10 stakes.

Level Stakes
£32.74 (after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008
Using a staking plan similar to CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/11/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £1.68 ( I put this back to 0 because I forgot to show how staking would work!)

16:20, Pont, Heaven Knows EP 2.26 3rd evens

Sorry no selection today.

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying these selections.

Other Information
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Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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