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18th October 2007 2007

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

We have an Ace Nap(9) today.

From Darren at the Betting School.

Can you win from Betting Favourites?

I know a lot of people avoid favourites because they consider that they are bad value and for sure if you just bet every favourite in every race you will lose money over the long term. But of course a lot of favourites do win.:

:The fact is that not all favourites are bad value in reality some are very bad value and some are good value. This is because the price of a favourite is not just derived from the horses true chance. It is created from a number of factors, some of which have no real impact on the horses true chance of winning.

:The price might be effected because of who owns it, trains it or rides it. It may be effected because of something said on one of the racing channels, because it is a particular tipsters selection or by some other statistically insignificant piece of information.

At the Betting School we have been looking at favourites that win for the past few months and we have published various articles on what factors identify those favourites that are good value and those that are bad value.

:This month we have published a six point plan for identifying favourites that win and show a good profit over the long term.

You can download a sample of the Betting School Insiders Report at


Readers Reviews
I only had one reader write in with any comments about Laying Confidential. He had only had the system for a couple of days but was pleased with the results so far, he has had 8 selections and 8 wins.

I would be pleased to hear from anyone else who owns it.

Carrying on our discussion about our bank.

Sorry I am running a little late this morning so will have to carry on tomorrow but this was from another reader.

"I use a slightly different variation with my bank. Assuming a £100 starting bank, I use the 5% 'rule' until my bank has increased by 50%, then use 5% of that, so my bet size doesn't increase until the bank is at £150.

I've found it to be very safe (but slightly slower) method of increasing my bank without increasing the risk too early.


Thanks Bill, there is nothing wrong with doing things safely, I wish more people would.
I lost on my Fancy Fillies selection Yesterday. Certainly been up and down this week but nothing to serious.

Don't forget if you have bought the ebook you can also sign up for their tipping service.


2. Guest Selection - Brian's and Graham's win tips.
Brian and Graham's win tips are shortish priced but very consistent.

1710 Uttox CALGARY BAY betfair 3.3 2nd 4/1
1920 Kemp FUNSEEKER betfair 2.86 3rd 11/8

Here are today's (win bets)

3. Place System (win Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 51.82
Points new system (30/07/07) + 19.39

15.15 Wetherby, Gringo EP 2.18 3rd 

15.50 Ludlow, Major Faux Pas EP 3.5

(*) No bet under new system idea
4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Normal:  15:55, Lingfield, Aide Memoir 3re 9/4
Pts 2007: +3.49
Top Choice:  15:35, Uttoxeter, Earlsfield Raider 50pts 3rd 6/4
Pts 2007: -1.36
Bank =621.74

Normal:  15:50, Ludlow, Herecomestanley
Top Choice: 14:20, Ludlow, Iron Maid 75pts

(we are trying an experiment with the Top Choice selection and the points are based on where we are in the staking plan. 25pts is the level stakes bet and we started with a 500pts bank on the 22/06/2007)
You can purchase this system here:
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Turn your lay betting system into winning systems with Roy's easy learn low risk Amazing staking plans.
Click Here to read more
6. "Best Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
No Selection

Today: 3.10 Nott, Steel Blue

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
Bismarx (BVR)

As at 8 o'clock this morning the following horses were identified as within Bismarx range. Watch for market changes before the race. Exercise caution at odds over 2.8 or where non-runner's have left less than 5 runner's in a race. Generally do not lay when wide odds disparity (3.0+) has emerged between the Favourite and the other runner's. Quit when your profit target has been reached. Prepare for liability in advance - always plan your next move first.

14.30 Brig DOCTOR ROBERT @2.1
15.40 Nott MARKET FORCES @2.6
16.20 Ludl DR McFAB @2.7
17.20 Ludl THE HAIRY MUTT @2.6
19.20 Wolv LOYAL KNIGHT @2.6


8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System started 07/11/2006.

Sorry no more Greyhound Selections after 6 months of testing!
If you subscribe to the Grey Horse bot then you can still load the session file in.

Or there are still a few copies of the system left.

9. Ace Naps - (Back Tip)

Ace Nap (back tip)
This is selection method David and I are testing at the moment, there are not many tips but when there are they seem to win a lot.
Yesterday's Selection.
No Selection Friday

2.20 Ludlow: Iron maid

Please remember as always, this is a test.

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

We make every effort to supply high quality tips, but we cannot be responsible for any losses incurred by any persons using these tips or any of the information provided.

This tip is provided FREE and in good faith. It can stop or start at anytime, the sponsor of the tip can change at anytime.

You can use it on your website but all links must be kept in place.
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