18th October 2007 2007
We have an Ace Nap(9) today.
From Darren at the
Can you win from Betting Favourites?
I know a lot of people avoid favourites because they consider that
they are bad value and for sure if you just bet every favourite in every race
you will lose money over the long term. But of course a lot of favourites do
:The fact is that not all favourites are bad value in reality some are
very bad value and some are good value. This is because the price of a
favourite is not just derived from the horses true chance. It is created from a
number of factors, some of which have no real impact on the horses true chance
:The price might be effected because of who owns it, trains it or
rides it. It may be effected because of something said on one of the racing
channels, because it is a particular tipsters selection or by some other
statistically insignificant piece of information.
At the Betting School we have been looking at favourites
that win for the past few months and we have published various articles on what
factors identify those favourites that are good value and those that are bad
:This month we have published a six point plan for identifying
favourites that win and show a good profit over the long term.
You can download a sample of the Betting School Insiders Report at
I only had one reader write in with
any comments about
Confidential. He had only had the system for a couple of days but was
pleased with the results so far, he has had 8 selections and 8 wins.
would be pleased to hear from anyone else who owns it.
Carrying on our discussion about our bank.
Sorry I am
running a little late this morning so will have to carry on tomorrow but this
was from another reader.
"I use a slightly different variation with my
bank. Assuming a £100 starting bank, I use the 5% 'rule' until my bank
has increased by 50%, then use 5% of that, so my bet size doesn't increase
until the bank is at £150.
I've found it to be very safe (but
slightly slower) method of increasing my bank without increasing the risk too
Thanks Bill, there is nothing wrong with doing
things safely, I wish more people would.
I lost on my
Fillies selection Yesterday. Certainly been up and down this week but
nothing to serious.
Don't forget if you have bought the ebook you can
also sign up for their tipping service.
2. Guest Selection - Brian's
and Graham's win tips.
Brian and Graham's win tips are shortish priced but
1710 Uttox CALGARY BAY betfair
3.3 2nd 4/1
1920 Kemp FUNSEEKER betfair 2.86 3rd 11/8
today's (win bets)
3. Place System (win Bet) - Started
This is a
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 51.82
system (30/07/07) + 19.39
15.15 Wetherby, Gringo
EP 2.18 3rd
15.50 Ludlow, Major Faux Pas EP 3.5
(*) No bet under new system idea
System (win Bet)
Lingfield, Aide Memoir 3re 9/4
Pts 2007: +3.49
Choice: 15:35, Uttoxeter, Earlsfield Raider 50pts 3rd 6/4
Normal: 15:50, Ludlow,
Top Choice: 14:20, Ludlow, Iron Maid 75pts
trying an experiment with the Top Choice selection and the points are based on
where we are in the staking plan. 25pts is the level stakes bet and we started
with a 500pts bank on the 22/06/2007)
You can purchase this system
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Turn your lay betting system into winning systems with Roy's easy learn low
risk Amazing staking plans.
Click Here to read
6. "Best Lay of the Day" -
Nott, Steel Blue
Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4
systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.
can purchase the system formula:
Advantages of owning the system:
1) Pick more than one race
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes
the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money
by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
As at 8 o'clock this morning the
following horses were identified as within Bismarx range. Watch for market
changes before the race. Exercise caution at odds over 2.8 or where
non-runner's have left less than 5 runner's in a race. Generally do not lay
when wide odds disparity (3.0+) has emerged between the Favourite and the other
runner's. Quit when your profit target has been reached. Prepare for liability
in advance - always plan your next move first.
14.30 Brig DOCTOR ROBERT
15.40 Nott MARKET FORCES @2.6
16.20 Ludl DR McFAB @2.7
Ludl THE HAIRY MUTT @2.6
19.20 Wolv LOYAL KNIGHT @2.6
8. Greyhound Selections- Lay
System started 07/11/2006.
Sorry no more Greyhound Selections
after 6 months of testing!
If you subscribe to the
Grey Horse bot then you can still
load the session file in.
Or there are still a few copies of the system left.
9. Ace Naps - (Back
Ace Nap (back tip)
This is selection method David and I
are testing at the moment, there are not many tips but when there are they seem
to win a lot.
No Selection Friday
Ludlow: Iron maid
Please remember as always, this is a test.
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
Have a good days
P.S. How about something different...
We make every
effort to supply high quality tips, but we cannot be responsible for any losses
incurred by any persons using these tips or any of the information
This tip is provided FREE and in good faith. It can stop or
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can use it on your website but all links must be kept in place.