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21st December 2006

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

Good Morning [[firstname]].

Just thought I would remind you that tomorrow morning will be the last tips from me until the new year.

Carrying on from Yesterday

Have you noticed how strange the prices on the lay side are on the Greyhounds?

Sometimes the SP is 6/1 but we get a match lower other times we get know way near the SP, it just goes to show how frantic and strange the last 60 seconds can be.

Well even though the SP's yesterday show a different story we still got matched on the 1st 3 selections and won on all of them, luckily as it got a little dodgy later on. It shows again that it is better to get in and out as quick as you can.

I did get an email from someone suggesting using a 2 race scratch back on a continuous run and although it is interesting and if you have a large enough bank could work out better, I still don't like the idea of keep going because I am afraid Howard's warnings will catch you out sooner or later.

Here are today's settings, which are the same as yesterday because I just want a little more in the bank (I lost again at football last night) before we start on staking again.

Stake 2.00
Stop Win: 2.00 x 3 = 6.00 (take it down to 5.57)
Stop Loss: 2.00 x 25 = 50.00
running loss - 51.00

Screen shot of option settings.

Bots what are they?

I have had quite a few emails asking for more informations about bots and how they are used, so I thought I would try to come up with a laymen's guide, although it will be over several emails.

As most of you will know my company Sporting Bots Limited specialises in creating what I like to class as "useful bots". These are bots that are user driven rather than design driven, which means they are created out of a direct need and normally specific to a certain way of betting.

So to explain what all this means I thought I would go back to my first idea for the original Greyhound bot and the thinking behind it.

I had been spending quite a bit of time betting on the favourite of each Greyhound race as long as it was between a certain price, using a similar "Scratch Back" staking system as we are using for the Greyhound System (3).

I was having one major problem and that was time. As you will probably know, greyhound races are normally 10 minutes apart, and the favourite can only really be determined in the last 60 seconds of a race. So because of going out, answering the phone, even just answering an email I kept missing races.

So my first thing was to build what I called the Greyhound Timer, at least then I could set it to sound an alarm before each race that I was interested in, which helped as long as I remembered to set it!

I decided this was no good, I had to find a better way, so I contracted a programmer to write some software that would meet my needs.

I will tell you that this is not as easy as it sounds and finding a good programmer was not easy or cheap, this is what we call a bespoke application (made for one purpose) and that word always "rings the till".

So first of all a Bot or the Greyhound Bot in this case, is just a software application, but it's difference is that it is actually talking to another piece of software called an API in this case Betfair's API.

So let's cover Betfair's API first, what is it and why is it so important?

Application Programming Interface (API) is a set of tools that allow you to interface securely (and I must emphasize securely) with Betfair's database. When we link to the API is over what we call a HTTPS secure direct link which is even a little technical for me!

Although betfair has lots of nice (on not so nice depending on your point of view) screens that you can look at when you are browsing, you are just looking at information that is held in a giant database and it is the API that links between what you see on screen and what is in the database.

Paying betfair a nice little chunk every month allows me to have access to the API and use software to query it's contents for certain information.

In the case of the Greyhound bot we would send a call to the API to give us all the Greyhound races for the day, including the time and course, this is fed back to the bot is the form of race ID's, which the bot can keep a list of.

So when you are select the races for the Greyhound bot to watch it just calls the API and says give me all the race information for these race ID's.

The Greyhound bot can ask for lot's of information through the API and that is why we ended up expanding and making it in to the Grey Horse bot so it's overall usefulness was enhanced.

The API allows us to get the list of runners, current prices and to place bets, but it is the internal workings of our software that takes this information and manipulates so that automatic betting and staking can occur.

More tomorrow.

2. Guest Selection - started 23-10-2006
These are lay test selections from Thomas.
NO BET if odds above 9.00 at Betfair

Tuesday's (19 Dec 2006)
Sout 1310 - Green Day Packer - 5th - SP 10/1 - Betfair 13.5 - no bet
Sout 1415 - Ella Y Rossa - NR

Here are today's (20 Dec 2006)
Muss 1320 - Barrons Pike
Muss 1420 - Rightful Ruler
Ling 1430 - Awatuki

Thomas is recording all Betfair prices 30 sec before the off.

3. Place System (win Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9.
Points since we started + 12.28

Sorry no selections

Today's: EP taken at 8.07.
14.30 Southwell, Bungie, EP 3.8 (2 Places)
14.50 Exeter, Mayoun, EP 2.16 (3 Places)

4. Miracle System (win Bet)
14.00 Lingfield, All Of Me 2nd 7/4

Today: 14:30, Southwell (ATR), Eau Good

You can purchase this system here:
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6. "Best Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
15:20 MUSSELBURGH, Bafana Boy 5th 11/4

Today: 15:30 Southwell, Black Sea Pearl (AW)

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
Bismarx (BV)

As at 8 o'clock this morning the following horses were identified as within Bismarx range.
Watch for market changes before the race.
Exercise caution at odds over 2.8 or where non-runner's have left less than 5 runner's in a race.
Generally do not lay when wide odds disparity (3.0+) has emerged between the Favourite and the other runner's.
Quit when your profit target has been reached.
Prepare for liability in advance - always plan your next move first.

Join a crazy lay betting experiment, 99% S.R, email

13.00 Sthl RAFFERY @2.7
13.20 Exe NEVER SO BLUE @2.8
13.20 Sthl APHORISM @2.1

Bismarx (BVR)

8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System started 07/11/2006.

After playing around with selections I have decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I think I have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I suspect there will have to be a maximum lay price set. I am just not sure what that will be but I am testing between 2.00 and 7.00. I will make every effort to record betfair lay prices as well. The ones marked with an asterisks (*) are from the original and tighter system.
You can see all the results since the 14th (when I introduced the latest selection method) here. I am now using what I call the "rule of 3", this means we go for 3 wins and use a 3 race scratch back to get back any losses.

Hall Green BAGS, 11.19, Knockunder Hill, Trap 4 3rd 7/2
Brough Park BAGS, 11.57, Chevington Bell, Trap 4 2nd 6/1
Hall Green BAGS, 12.18, Watch My Mentor, Trap 2 5th 4/1
Brough Park BAGS, 12.58, Louie Scorcha, Trap 3 5th 6/1
Brough Park BAGS, 13.12, Gravel Lee, Trap 4 1st 7/4 - LOST
Brough Park BAGS, 13.27, Mulcair, Trap 2 4th 5/1
Hall Green BAGS, 13.51, Watch Artemis, Trap 1 1st 9/2 - LOST
Brough Park BAGS, 14.03, Solway Admiral, Trap 2 4th 4/1
Hove BAGS, 15.07, Blakes Monarch, Trap 6 6th 6/1
Hove BAGS, 16.08, Turlocks Trolley, Trap 4 1st 7/2 - LOST
Hove BAGS, 17.27, Oilean Rebel, Trap 4 3rd 4/1
Hove BAGS, 17.58, Cushie Shauna, Trap 6 3rd 4/1
12 Selections today, 5 losers (Screen Shot)

Here are today's.
Sunderland BAGS, 11.19, Motivator, Trap 5
Sheffield BAGS, 11.42, Cobi Leone, Trap 1
Sunderland BAGS, 12.32, Noelles Lo, Trap 3(*)
Sheffield BAGS, 12.58, Ding Dang Do, Trap 4
Sheffield BAGS, 13.12, Confident Forest, Trap 6(*)
Sheffield BAGS, 14.03, Confused Pongo, Trap 6
Crayford BAGS, 14.18, Perrys Tune, Trap 4(*)
Romford BAGS, 14.47, Lady Donna, Trap 4
Romford BAGS, 15.07, Grenrose Lilly, Trap 4
Crayford BAGS, 17.17, Winning Frisby, Trap 1
Romford BAGS, 17.27, Saintys Whitey, Trap 5
Crayford BAGS, 17.48, Cudham Bull, Trap 2
Crayford BAGS, 18.04, Artful Amazon, Trap 4(*)
Crayford BAGS, 18.18, Oscar Napa, Trap 4(*)
14 Selections today and 5 are (*)

I set the Grey Horse bot price range from 1 -7.

9. Millionaire's Row - Win Selections started 13/11/2006

This is a win system (test) that me and a friend have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him select every morning so although we created the system together he is the one really refining it. Click Here to see the results so far.

Points + 3.89

13.30 Lingfield, Basaata 1st 8/13 /Nicomedia 3rd 6/1
Allthough we have been lossing at level stakes on both even you adjust the stakes, you can make profit.

Today. 12.30 South: Stanley George/Berts Memory

Use 50/50 if you can make profit whatever the outcome. I am using 1pt on each selection.

10. New - Win Selections started 07/11/2006

This is a new win system that John from Luv2Lose has asked me to show you. He expects the price to drop all the way to the off with these and the idea is to get the best price above odds-on as you can. The verdict is still out on whether to take selections that are below evens.
Points: +1.0

Yesterday: EP at 1.00
Kempton Park 17.20 HURRICANE SPIRIT EP 1.31 1st 1/3

Today: EP at 8.47
Southwell 14.30 EAU GOOD, EP 1.51
Ludlow 15.10 TAMBOURINE DAVIS, EP 2.68

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Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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