23rd April 2007
I didn't quite finish the
decorating, well it was very nice outside so I decided to enjoy the weather
Shaun (Guest Selections 2) told me over the weekend that I had
got the staking for his selections slightly wrong.
What I should have
told you is that instead of using 5% of your bank as the stake, you take 5% of
your bank, and then divide it by the available odds and that's your
So if the odds were 2/1 then I would divide £50 by 2 making
a £25 stake.
If I then lost I would take the £25 already lost
and add it to my next stake that is again 5% of my bank and then divide this
new figure by the available odds.
Sorry about that, anyway lets see how
they perform this week.
We talked a bit about trading last week and if
you don't mind I would like to carry the themem through to this week.
mentioned that I think that there are 3 main types of trading.
Pure trading. This is where you watch an event and trade based on
prices, volume and many other factors.
2. Risk Trading. This
where based on a system or idea you back or lay on a market hoping that it will
move your way to allow you to trade out and "green light" for profit.
3. Incidental or opportunity trading. This is where you may have made a
bet and then you see the price move in your favour and so trade out some or all
of your originally bet to lock in profit or lessen your exposure.
or incidental trading is what facinates me the most and as you can see from
Fridays Grey Horse bot
Shot, it can be quite profitable even with small bets.
Last week I
moved my tick value to 6, so I may move it another 1 tick today to see how that
effects the results.
There is a lot of racing today because we have a
latish evening race at Windsor so there should be a lot of
One other thing I have been considering is backing first.
The thing is I can see that most of the horses I lay will go out a little
during the running, but what I can not see is the prices inproving very often,
unless the runner is out in front most of the time.
I wonder that at the
odds we are laying at wether it is worth chancing backing first. I think it is
something I may have to test although it is not a thought I relish!
2. Guest Selection - 19-04-2007
I have been receiving some win
tips from a good friend of mine called Shaun.
There are two selections
Best and Next best. You can look at best only or follow both. Shaun suggest
that you aim to make 5% of your bank a day and he chases any losses onto the
I am going to start with a £500 bank.
you do then is take 5% of your bank, in this case £50.00 and then divide
it by the available odds and that's your stake.
So if the odds were 2/1 then
I would divide £50 by 2 making a £25 stake.
If I then lost I
would take the £25 already lost and add it to my next stake that is again
5% of my bank and then divide this new figure by the available
Let's see what happens.
Bank = £550.00
Here are todays.(Don't forget win
3:50 PLUMPTON VINMIX
DE BESSEY (BEST BET)
6:10 SEDGEFIELD THAT'S
RYTHYM (NEXT BEST)
3. Place System (win Bet) -
This is a
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 16.47
15.15 Newbury, Monzante, EP 2.22 3rd
Viscount Rossini EP 3.45 6th
4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Normal: 15:50, Newbury, Eternal Path 3rd 10/11
Pts 2007: - 1.95
Top Choice: 19:00, Hereford, High Life 50pts 3rd 4/7
Bank = 613.99pts
Normal: 18:55, Windsor,
Top Choice: 15:00 Hexham, Poker De Sivola 100pts
trying an experiment with the Top Choice selection and the points are based on
where we are in the staking plan. 50pts is the level stakes bet and we started
with a 500pts bank on the 11/04/2007)
You can purchase this system
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
The Pro Lay System An easy to follow quick to learn system that can make you
money and comes with resale rights.
Click Here to read
6. "Best Lay of the Day" -
3.30 Hex Mister Magnum
Please Note: The lay betting system
is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this
You can purchase the system formula:
Advantages of owning the
1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later
in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can
talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own
your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting
You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
Golden Egg Lay
Selection 1: Plumpton 3.20
Classic Role Staking: Please Note: We
have a No Bet rule if the horse is trading at 5/1 or over. If you have a bank
of £500 you divide it by 50 giving you a stake of £10 so your level
stake would be £10 on each selection for that week.
Selection 2: Pontefract 5.10Torrens
Sedgefield 5.40 Plemont Bay
Selection 4: Sedgefield 6.40 Bob Bites
Selection 5: Sedgefield 7.10Polar Gale
The Golden Egg
8. Greyhound Selections- Lay
System started 07/11/2006.
After playing around with selections I
have decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I
think I have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I
suspect there will have to be a maximum lay price set. I am just not sure what
that will be but I am testing between 2.00 and 7.00. I will make every effort
to record betfair lay prices as well. The ones marked with an asterisks
(*) are from the original and tighter system, I am not using these
Udate. I am now stopping at the first winner and changing my
stop loss to £16.00 although I think this may be to high and we should
also stop at the first loser and call it a day. Only time will tell.
Walthamstow BAGS, 11.42, Soviet Charm, 4 5th
Walthamstow BAGS, 12.12, Appletown Drogba, 5 6th 10/1
BAGS, 12.32, Blushing Jewel, 6 3rd 11/4
Walthamstow BAGS, 12.58, Hellroad
Minnie, 2 1st 3/1- LOST
Hall Green BAGS,
13.04, Whiteoak Will, 4(*) 4th 3/1
Walthamstow BAGS, 13.12, Layhams
Lacey, 4 5th 8/1
Monmore BAGS, 14.37, Marlfield Hilton, 1(*) 6th 5/1
Monmore BAGS, 15.17, Knockaun Louise, 2 6th 7/1
Monmore BAGS, 15.58,
Elderberry Becks, 5 6th 5/1
Monmore BAGS, 16.37, Cissies Dancer, 3 6th
Swindon BAGS, 17.27, Maid In Dolton, 2 4th 7/4
Monmore BAGS, 18.04,
Tonna Lass, 3 4th 5/2
Sheffield BAGS, 18.38, Lazy Fanshaw, 6 2nd
Nottingham BAGS, 18.48, Alkit Flyeer, 3 3rd 5/2
19.06, Le Accomplice, 6 4th 9/4
Sheffield BAGS, 19.11, Emma The First, 1
Sheffield BAGS, 19.26, Roman Princess, 4(*) 3rd 4/1
Nottingham BAGS, 19.37, Capla Blackjack, 6 1st 7/2-
Nottingham BAGS, 20.07, Salacres Lass, 4 2nd 11/4
BAGS, 20.13, Tinas Ban, 2 3rd 2/1
Nottingham BAGS, 20.37, Clonboy Storm, 2
Sheffield BAGS, 21.14, Liosgarbh Ginger, 1 4th 5/1
2 lost (screen shot)
Here are today's.
BAGS, 11.11, Dynamite John, 6
Swindon BAGS, 12.04, Radiant Lady, 4(*)
Sheffield BAGS, 12.12, Giancarnacambino, 6(*)
Swindon BAGS, 12.18, Day
Sheffield BAGS, 12.42, Desert Lisa, 5(*)
Swindon BAGS, 13.33,
Talavara Jack, 1(*)
Swindon BAGS, 13.51, Thrice Engaged, 4
BAGS, 14.03, Stormy Jacko, 6(*)
Monmore BAGS, 14.08, Clohur Blonde, 4
Monmore BAGS, 14.47, Mineola Key, 2
Walthamstow BAGS, 18.04, Appletown
Nottingham BAGS, 18.28, Romeokee, 1
Nottingham BAGS, 18.48,
Larkhill Ridge, 2(*)
Nottingham BAGS, 19.06, Wentworth Which, 1(*)
Romford BAGS, 19.11, Duchess Sally, 1
Romford BAGS, 19.42, Droopys Titmuss,
Nottingham BAGS, 20.07, Take Your Point, 1
Nottingham BAGS, 20.22,
Romford BAGS, 20.43, Cheeky Courtney, 4
20.51, Tonetta Kewell, 5(*)
session.xml here (normally available by 10am mon-Fri)
Stop Win: 2.00
Stop Loss: 16.00
I set the
Grey Horse bot price range from 1 -7.
9. Millionaire's Row - Win
Selections started 13/11/2006
This is a win system (test) that me
and a friend have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him
select every morning so although we created the system together he is the one
really refining it.
Click Here to see the results so far.
You can now get
these selections Saturday by signing up here:
5.05 Ayr: Profowens 4th 2/1 /Mister
Apples 2nd 4/1
Daily Back Nap: (stared
6.00 Here: Gabier 1st eve
(started 22/03/2007) (£6.00 on the lay £4.00 on the back)
Back = Ange De Villez EP 1.98 UR eve - £4.00
Sparkling Taff 4.9 1st 4/1 - £23.40
Winnings to date =
Millionaire Double Selection.
2.50 Plum: Grouse Moor/Sett Aside
Millionaire Daily Nap
No Qualifier Today
Millionaire Double Take:
Millionaire Double Take: 40pts Win /60pts Lay 2nd Favourite
No Qualifier Today
The idea is to to
back the favourite and lay the second best priced horse before the off.
are hoping that most of the time the lay should not change but if it does then
it is always the best priced horse (lay side) after the favourite.
stake will be £10 split 4.00 on the back and 6.00 on the lay. Of course
you could do this how you want but we suggest you put slightly more on the lay
to cover any loses on the back bet because we feel the lay will lose far less
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
Have a good days
P.S. How about something different...
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