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11th February
2008
Todays ramblings
Good Morning.
I had quite a busy weekend
in the end and did a lot of walking! It's hard to work when the weather is as
good as it has been the last few days.
I had another reply to Psycho's
article on Thursday,
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/07-02-2008.htm
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/08-02-2008.htm
I
have read Psycho’s article and Jon Dee’s response. I think there is a
simpler response to Psycho, and that is that he has only considered filters
biased towards the odds at one end of the market or the other. If the punter
noticed that his losses were skewed towards something not connected with the
odds, such as a particular course, going, weather conditions etc. etc., then
applying a filter appropriate to this should not affect the average odds at
all. I think Psycho has chosen probably the only filter which supports his
argument that they make no difference.
On the other hand I believe that
Jon’s argument is nearly right, except that we may be looking at a
situation which has nothing to do with chance, for example course, going or
weather conditions. From what I have read, the proportion of favourites winning
races varies quite a lot between courses, going conditions, types of race and
horse’s age. Therefore it seems to me that filters based on these
parameters are entirely valid. For example, I think it is generally accepted
that in poor weather conditions (cold or rain), or soft or heavy going,
favourites are less likely to win because these conditions have an effect of
reducing the differences between the good horses and the rest. In other words,
the results are slightly more random than in “normal” conditions.
Regards
Ian
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Thanks
Psycho, Jon and Ian.
Did you have anything to add?
Guest
Selection
Guest: Adrian's Expected Winners
Results
December and January.
http://www.betsoftware.co.uk/ew-dec.xls
http://www.betsoftware.co.uk/ew-jan.xls
Todays
You
can get Adrian's daily selections by signing up here now.
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/expected-winners-email.htm
Daily selections are here if you
can not get them by email.
http://www.expected-winners.co.uk/daily-tips.asp Just
keep an eye on them and see what you
think.
------------------------------
Guest: Gary's Greyhound
lays not over 8.00
Theres only one full selection today which
is:
Yestereday.(Friday)
Hall Green - 12.32 - Trap 3 6th (Mal - I
didn't get a match)
Walthamstow - 11.42 - Trap 6th (Mal - I didn't get a
match)
Today
Swindon - 11.48 - Trap 1 (only take if there is a clear
fav)
As always i suggest you don't lay over 8.
Sponsors
of the day
Sponsor product of the day (please take a look you never
Know!)
The Pro Lay System An easy to follow quick to learn system
that can make you money and comes with resale rights. .
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-----------------------------
Sponsor Tip of the
day.
Lay Bet a
Day
2:40 Plumpton Tip1: Burren legend
Lay Bet a Day
Malcolm's Selections
Best Lay of the Day
Yesterday:
(Friday)
Sorry no nap
Today: Sorry no nap again today
Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will
choose one of the selections for this tip.
You can purchase the system
formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
 Advantages of owning the system:
1) Pick more than one race
a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3)
Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE
races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3
systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now
includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes
the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money
by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm
**NEW**
You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
website.
Click here to find out more.
----------------------------------------
Place System: Started
20-11-2006
This is a
Betting
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 51.62
Points new
system (30/07/07) + 13.69
Yesterday: (Friday)
13:20, Southwell,
Sparky Vixen, EP 2.88 (*) 3rd
14:25, Southwell, Note Perfect, EP 2.08 1st
14:50, Bangor-On-Dee, Bringewood Fox, EP 3.25 4th
21:20, Wolverhampton,
Hayley´s Pearl, EP 2.68 5th
Today.
14:00 Wetherby, Wood Fern
EP 2.30
16:05 Wolverhampton, ncess Cocoa, EP 2.06
16:25 Plumpton, Back
Among Friends EP 2.08
17:05 Wolverhampton, Calistos Quest, EP 2.34
(*) No bet under new system idea
------------------------------------------
Lay test system
(or maybe back)
Started (again) 15/01/2008. We are testing to see if we
have a good lay system or back. £10 stakes. Please remember this is a
test and a bit of fun to find out if this selection system works better as a
lay or back system.
Lay + £10.80 (after 5%
commision)
Back -£18.57(after 5% commision)
Yesterday.
(Friday)
14:35, Kemp, The Polomoche EP 2.16 11th 10/11
Today. No
selection today, prices were to high.
Remember this is just a test
and we are paper testing laying these selections.
Other
Information
I Prefer
betfair.com
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
out)
If you need help about anything please go to my
support site.
If you
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
points.
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Have a good days
racing.
Malcolm
Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com
http://www.laybetting.com
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
P.S. How about something different...
http://www.greyhoundlaysystem.co.uk/
We make every
effort to supply high quality tips, but we cannot be responsible for any losses
incurred by any persons using these tips or any of the information
provided.
This tip is provided FREE and in good faith. It can stop or
start at anytime, the sponsor of the tip can change at anytime.
You
can use it on your website but all links must be kept in place.
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