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12th August 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I am a little surprised that for two day's running we haven't had any selections on the lay/back test system, but I suppose that is the way it goes sometimes.

One of the reasons I wanted some selections was to create a new GHB session file that can lay or back depending on price. I feel a little silly over this because I should have realised earlier that although you can not back or lay depending on price in "Auto mode" (you will be able to in the next version) you can in "Manual mode".

So next time there are selections then the back and lay odds range will be set. Of course if you are following the selections and you only want to back or lay then you will need to manually change the markets after loading them in.

The Back Test system has taken a bit of a hammering over the last couple of weeks in fact we haven't had a winner over 2.00 since we started the new test. I should have known better when Goodwood was on to stop betting that week as this system always seems to perform badly when there is a big meeting.

If we lose again today it will wipe the bank out which you probably wouldn't do in real life but as this is a test we may as well go for it. It is quite interesting that it is an "evens" bet so we have a 50/50 chance of winning!

I think the warning "don't try this at home" is applicable here!

Lay/Back System Test ("Started 23/07/2008")

There are two types of selections here. The first is a lay tip as long as the price is under 2.00 and the second is a back tip as long as the price is 2.00 or above.

There is one thing to think about here. If a lay selection goes to 2.00 or above you could decide to back it instead and the same goes for a back selection dropping below 2.00 you could then lay this. It's probably best to back/lay these near to the "off". We are not using a staking plan at the moment, just level stakes to see what happens.

If you want you can download the selections (Mon to Fri) directly into GHB using the session/server tips option. The URL is here.

The session file is set as lay, odds between 1.03 and 1.99 and 2.00 stake, but you should use your own option settings.

I will also upload a spreadsheet once a week with the latest results here.

Lay (Only if under 2.00)
No Selection

No selections today

Back (Only if over 2.00)
No Selection

No selections today

Guest Selection ("Good to Lay")

Here is a new lay system I thought you may like to look at for a while.
The author has been sending them to me for a while and they look quite promissing.
I think they could do with a cap on the maximum price but that would probably have to be a personal thing.

3.00 Wolv: Weet For Ever EP 80 ( it's not normally this high). 9th 18/1

2.15 N.A. Union Deuz EP 55
3.30 Ling: Deal Flipper EP 13
4.30: Lady Friend EP EP 15

Sponsors of the day ("Products and Tips for you to look at.")

Sponsor product of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Want to try something a little different? Virtual Football may be just what you are looking for...
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Sponsor Tip of the day.

Comments for today: None of the three previous winners has proved himself on soft ground so there has to be an element of risk whichever one is supported. Option Money impressed here last week and is taken to overcome DISTILLER.

Nap (Lay) Selection 1: Newton Abbot 15:15 DISTILLER

Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay a day from my Lay betting System")

18.50 Wind, Rum Jungle 2nd 9/4

Today: 19.10 Muss, Grand Diamond

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a selection does daily.

You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Back test system ( "A 'back' system that I came up with a while ago")

This system is available as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.

As a new idea I am going to start a more aggressive staking plan trial and stick more closely to the CashMaster idea.

Please Note: This is a trial. Please do not attempt to run a staking plan unless you understand exactly what you are getting yourself into.

New Trial Started 21/07/2008.
Start Bank £500.00
Bank Now: £238.02
We will use 5% of our current bank as our base stake (divided by the odds we get) and we will use the CashMaster system to get back loses except when the selections price at betfair is under 2.00. All winnings will be calculated -5% betfair charge. If a runner is under 2.00 and we are recovering loses then we prospone the staking plan and stake the whole 5% stake.

Yesterday. (Loss amount so far 261.98).
14:30, Wolv, Elegant Cad EP 1.51 (normal £25 stake because the price is under 2) 1st 4/11

18:55, Nott, Tasheba, EP 2.10 (stake 238.00) This is all or nothing today. It would probably be sensible to stop staking and try reverting back again to level stakes, but this is a test of an aggresive staking plan so we may as well have a laugh!

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing "backing" these selections.

Other Information (" Here is some other info that should help you")
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
If you need help about anything please go to my support site.
If you haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair points.

You can automate your betting with GHB.

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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