13th August 2008
This weather is not good for the
racing and where we would normally expect going to be very good many courses
are showing good to soft. Flat runners are not really trained for soft running
so it always upsets results.
I have said before that using AW
racing may be a good place to start for a system and I was looking at Adrian
Massey's site again for some inspiration.
One area that is interesting is
Maiden races where the favourites win almost 40% of the time. The problem will
be the odds where they are likely to be below 2/1 and more often than not "odds
on", but maybe with a bit of research and testing you may find something worth
following, back or lay wise.
Just by playing around with
Adrian's database I manage to get to a strike rate of 47% and in some cases you
could make over the 100% return although this would cut your selections down to
a small amount over a year.
I actually know a few people who
have lots of little systems where they have found little niches where they can
make long term profit.
Lay/Back System Test
There are two types of
selections here. The first is a lay tip as long as the price is under 2.00 and
the second is a back tip as long as the price is 2.00 or above.
There is one thing to think
about here. If a lay selection goes to 2.00 or above you could decide to back
it instead and the same goes for a back selection dropping below 2.00 you could
then lay this. It's probably best to back/lay these near to the "off". We are
not using a staking plan at the moment, just level stakes to see what
If you want you can download the
selections (Mon to Fri) directly into GHB using the session/server tips
option. The URL is here.
The session file is set as lay,
odds between 1.03 and 1.99 and 1.00 stake, and back odds 2.00 to 5.00, 1.00
stake but you should use your own option settings.
I will also upload a spreadsheet
once a week with the latest results here.
Lay (Only if under
Back (Only if over 2.00)
Inside Story, EP 2.36
Guest Selection ("Good to
Here is a new lay system I thought you may like to look at
for a while.
The author has been sending them to me for a while and they
look quite promissing.
I think they could do with a cap on the maximum price
but that would probably have to be a personal thing.
N.A. Union Deuz EP 55 Abandoned
3.30 Ling: Deal Flipper EP 13 1st
4.30: Lady Friend EP EP 15 1st 10/1
3.45 Bev: Rock
4.05 Salis: Cape Amber
Sponsors of the day
("Products and Tips for you to look at.")
of the day (please take a look you never
How To Set Up And Run Your Own Professional Horse Racing Tipster Service
Click Here to read more
Sponsor Tip of the
4.20 Bev, Joinedupwriting
Selection 2: 5.20 Bev, Parkview Love
Selection 3: 6.55 Ham, Sarraaf
Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay
a day from my Lay betting System")
Muss, Grand Diamond 6th 9/2
Today: 17.10 Sals, Blue Java
Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one
of the selections for this tip.
You can purchase the system
Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show
readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a
selection does daily.
You can also have this tip delivered as content
to your own website.
to find out more.
Back test system ( "A 'back'
system that I came up with a while ago")
This system is available
as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.
As a new idea I am going to
start a more aggressive staking plan trial and stick more closely to the
Please Note: This is a trial.
Please do not attempt to run a staking plan unless you understand exactly what
you are getting yourself into.
New Trial Started 21/07/2008.
Start Bank £500.00
Bank Now: £0.00
We will use 5% of our
current bank as our base stake (divided by the odds we get) and we will use the
CashMaster system to get back loses except when the selections price at betfair
is under 2.00. All winnings will be calculated -5% betfair charge. If a runner
is under 2.00 and we are recovering loses then we prospone the staking plan and
stake the whole 5% stake.
Yesterday. (Loss amount so far
18:55, Nott, Tasheba, EP 2.10 (stake 238.00) 3rd 4/7 This is all or
nothing today. It would probably be sensible to stop staking and try reverting
back again to level stakes, but this is a test of an aggresive staking plan so
we may as well have a laugh!
Today. Yesterday goes to show
how badly an agressive staking plan can hurt if it all goes wrong. I am going
to have a little think about what to do from now on.
20:25, Haml, Astrodome EP
Remember this is just a test and we are paper
testing "backing" these selections.
Other Information (" Here
is some other info that should help you")
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
If you need help about anything please go to my
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
You can automate your betting with
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
Have a good days
P.S. How about something different...
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