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13th August 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

This weather is not good for the racing and where we would normally expect going to be very good many courses are showing good to soft. Flat runners are not really trained for soft running so it always upsets results.

I have said before that using AW racing may be a good place to start for a system and I was looking at Adrian Massey's site again for some inspiration.

One area that is interesting is Maiden races where the favourites win almost 40% of the time. The problem will be the odds where they are likely to be below 2/1 and more often than not "odds on", but maybe with a bit of research and testing you may find something worth following, back or lay wise.

Just by playing around with Adrian's database I manage to get to a strike rate of 47% and in some cases you could make over the 100% return although this would cut your selections down to a small amount over a year.

I actually know a few people who have lots of little systems where they have found little niches where they can make long term profit.

Lay/Back System Test ("Started 23/07/2008")

There are two types of selections here. The first is a lay tip as long as the price is under 2.00 and the second is a back tip as long as the price is 2.00 or above.

There is one thing to think about here. If a lay selection goes to 2.00 or above you could decide to back it instead and the same goes for a back selection dropping below 2.00 you could then lay this. It's probably best to back/lay these near to the "off". We are not using a staking plan at the moment, just level stakes to see what happens.

If you want you can download the selections (Mon to Fri) directly into GHB using the session/server tips option. The URL is here.

The session file is set as lay, odds between 1.03 and 1.99 and 1.00 stake, and back odds 2.00 to 5.00, 1.00 stake but you should use your own option settings.

I will also upload a spreadsheet once a week with the latest results here.

Lay (Only if under 2.00)
No Selection

No selections today

Back (Only if over 2.00)
No Selection

6:55, Hamilton, Inside Story, EP 2.36

Guest Selection ("Good to Lay")

Here is a new lay system I thought you may like to look at for a while.
The author has been sending them to me for a while and they look quite promissing.
I think they could do with a cap on the maximum price but that would probably have to be a personal thing.

2.15 N.A. Union Deuz EP 55 Abandoned
3.30 Ling: Deal Flipper EP 13 1st 16/1
4.30: Lady Friend EP EP 15 1st 10/1

3.45 Bev: Rock N Roller
4.05 Salis: Cape Amber

Sponsors of the day ("Products and Tips for you to look at.")

Sponsor product of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
How To Set Up And Run Your Own Professional Horse Racing Tipster Service
Click Here to read more

Sponsor Tip of the day.

Selection 1: 4.20 Bev, Joinedupwriting
Selection 2: 5.20 Bev, Parkview Love
Selection 3: 6.55 Ham, Sarraaf

Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay a day from my Lay betting System")

19.10 Muss, Grand Diamond 6th 9/2

Today: 17.10 Sals, Blue Java

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a selection does daily.

You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Back test system ( "A 'back' system that I came up with a while ago")

This system is available as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.

As a new idea I am going to start a more aggressive staking plan trial and stick more closely to the CashMaster idea.

Please Note: This is a trial. Please do not attempt to run a staking plan unless you understand exactly what you are getting yourself into.

New Trial Started 21/07/2008.
Start Bank £500.00
Bank Now: £0.00
We will use 5% of our current bank as our base stake (divided by the odds we get) and we will use the CashMaster system to get back loses except when the selections price at betfair is under 2.00. All winnings will be calculated -5% betfair charge. If a runner is under 2.00 and we are recovering loses then we prospone the staking plan and stake the whole 5% stake.

Yesterday. (Loss amount so far 500.00).
18:55, Nott, Tasheba, EP 2.10 (stake 238.00) 3rd 4/7 This is all or nothing today. It would probably be sensible to stop staking and try reverting back again to level stakes, but this is a test of an aggresive staking plan so we may as well have a laugh!

Today. Yesterday goes to show how badly an agressive staking plan can hurt if it all goes wrong. I am going to have a little think about what to do from now on.

20:25, Haml, Astrodome EP 2.1

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing "backing" these selections.

Other Information (" Here is some other info that should help you")
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
If you need help about anything please go to my support site.
If you haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair points.

You can automate your betting with GHB.

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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