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14th December 2006

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I don't know what is up with the Racing Post site at the moment but it was quite hard work getting all the information together.

Carrying on from yesterday

I am sorry it appears that my working out of the maximum lost may have been a little low using 7.00 as the stake. It should have been 166.86.

Another win today took my winnings since I started using the selections with the Grey Horse bot to over 60.00, which we decided yesterday would be our maximum risk.

So the question is should I keep at the same stake for a bit longer,
or should I increase my stake now, and if so, should I also increase my stop loss in case we do have the dreaded bad run that Howard was kind enough to warn us about?

There are several popular ways of deciding when to increase your stake.

1. Take a % of your bank everyday.
2. At the end of every week or month.
3. After every win

And I am sure you can think of more.

The thing is at the moment we are breaking one of my own rules which is to go for a profit of just 0.5 to 1% of your bank a day . At the moment we are asking for 3%, which is quite high

But if we increase our stake immediately then we risk losing everything we have already made and maybe even more, so here is my proposal.

Now normally and I would suggest just seeing what happens over a couple of months, but I do have a license to test as the bank I am using is purely for that.

So from now on I am going to use 2 calculations.

1. The next day after a full 3pt win (3 races) I am going to increase my base stake by 3%. So today it is 2.06 (+ commission)
2. I am going to multiply my sake by 30 to get my stop loss and of course multiply it by 3 to get my daily profit stop.

(Side note: have you noticed how a lot of 3's and 6's keep turning up with this system? A little strange!)

Now I must repeat myself, this is purely an experiment and one I wouldn't suggest you follow and I know many of you will be have kittens for me even suggesting it.

Here is how my Grey Horse options will look today. (your screen maybe slightly different as we are just testing a new version with the original Greyhound bot incorporated into the Grey Horse Bot)

Incidently Howard sent me another email last night with more information of why he is against this kind of staking and again his arguments are spot on. What I will do is print his latest email in a couple of days so you can make up your own mind. I think it is fair that you see both sides of the argument.

We will discuss more points about staking tomorrow.

2. Guest Selection - started 23-10-2006
These are lay test selections from Thomas.
NO BET if odds above 9.00 at Betfair

Newb 1355 - Viciana - 11 th - SP 15/2 - Betfair 10.0 - no bet
Ling 1450 - Shava - 1st - SP 9/2 - Betfair 6.2 - lost
Wolv 1820 - Art Historian - NR

Here are today's (14 Dec 2006)
Exet 1240 - Silverio
Sout 1330 - Brean Dot Com
Catt 1350 - Easby Mandarin
Exet 1510 - Countess Point
Wolv 1550 - Snow Bunting
Wolv 1720 - Sparkwell

Thomas is recording all Betfair prices 30 sec before the off.

3. Place System (win Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9.
Points since we started + 9.83

No selections.

Today's EP taken at 8.27
12.30 Southwell, Suntan Lady EP 2.44 (2 Places)
13.10 Exeter, Out The Black EP 2.52 (3 Places)
13.50 Catterick, Trafalgar Man, EP 2.52 (3 Places)
14.00 Southwell, Hilltop Destiny EP 2.4 (2 Places)
14.30 Southwell, Captain Oats 2.48 (2 Places)
17.50 Wolverhampton, New Beginning, 2.82 (3 Places)

4. Miracle System (win Bet)
12:50 Newbury, Hot 'N' Holy 3rd 2/1

15.10 Exeter, Chamoss Royale

You can purchase this system here:
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
The Pro Lay System An easy to follow quick to learn system that can make you money and comes with resale rights.

Click Here to read more
6. "Best Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
14:40 Folkestone Superrollercoaster 1st 3/1

Today: 12:50 Catterick Silver Seeker

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
Bismarx (BVR)

As at 8 o'clock this morning the following horses were identified as within Bismarx range.
Watch for market changes before the race.
Exercise caution at odds over 2.8 or where non-runner's have left less than 5 runner's in a race.
Generally do not lay when wide odds disparity (3.0+) has emerged between the Favourite and the other runner's.
Quit when your profit target has been reached.
Prepare for liability in advance - always plan your next move first.

12.40 Exe PARKINSON @2.5
14.00 Sthl ZED CANDY @2.5
14.50 Catt JOLLY BOY @2.4
15.20 Catt DIGITAL MEDIA @2.5

Bismarx (BVR)

8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System started 07/11/2006.

After playing around with selections I have decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I think I have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I suspect there will have to be a maximum lay price set. I am just not sure what that will be but I am testing between 2.00 and 7.00. I will make every effort to record betfair lay prices as well. The ones marked with an asterisks (*) are from the original and tighter system.
You can see all the results since the 14th (when I introduced the latest selection method) here. I am now using what I call the "rule of 3", this means we go for 3 wins and use a 3 race scratch back to get back any losses.

Hall Green BAGS, 11.19, Greenview Clover, Trap 3 2nd 11/4
Brough Park BAGS, 11.28, Morton Chablis, Trap 2 6th 9/4
Hall Green BAGS, 12.04, Rogflo, Trap 4 2nd 5/2
Brough Park BAGS, 12.27, Jack Spot, Trap 2 5th 3/1
Brough Park BAGS, 13.44, Canny Hornet, Trap 4 1st 4/1 - LOST
Hall Green BAGS, 13.51, Tullymurry Wish, Trap 4 5th 7/2
Brough Park BAGS, 14.03, Solway Admiral, Trap 2 4th 7/2
Hove BAGS, 14.08, Lady Trevali, Trap 1 2nd 5/2
Perry Barr BAGS, 14.37, Tomorrows Press, Trap 4 2nd 5/2
Perry Barr BAGS, 14.57, Tanhill Tom, Trap 6 5th 5/2
Hove BAGS, 15.28, Casino Valentine, Trap 6(*) 1st 2/1 - LOST
Hove BAGS, 15.48, Downland Georgie, Trap 3(*) 1st 7/2 - LOST
Perry Barr BAGS, 15.58, Clash Elsie, Trap 5 2nd 9/4
Hove BAGS, 16.08, Fizzy Nectar, Trap 4 4th 7/2
Hove BAGS, 16.27, Westmead Angel, Trap 6 4th 7/4
Perry Barr BAGS, 16.37, Three Cliffs, Trap 2 3rd 4/1
Hove BAGS, 16.48, Blakes Monarch, Trap 6 5th 6/1
Perry Barr BAGS, 16.57, Supreme Gwen, Trap 2 2nd 4/1
Hove BAGS, 17.07, Toms Sophie, Trap 2(*) 3rd 3/1
Hove BAGS, 17.44, Coombe Tart, Trap 2(*) 4th 7/2
20 today 3 Loser (Screen Shot)

I had a crash on my computer in the morning so the screen shot only shows 4.0 profit but of course I had already made 4.00 on the previous two races. There were some good prices yesterday and plenty of opportunities to win.

Here are today's.
Sheffield BAGS, 11.28, Up And Down, 2
Sunderland BAGS, 11.34, Tequila Sunshine, Trap 2
Sunderland BAGS, 12.04, Coolbane Duke, Trap 2
Sheffield BAGS, 12.12, Kirstys Pie, Trap 3
Sunderland BAGS, 12.18, Pond Negresco, Trap 6
Sheffield BAGS, 12.42, Easierdebtdotcom, Trap 1(*)
Sunderland BAGS, 12.47, Beckfield Rocky, Trap 5
Sheffield BAGS, 12.58, Droopys Halina, Trap 6
Sheffield BAGS, 13.44, Chance Chat, Trap 6
Sunderland BAGS, 13.51, Delwood Leanne, Trap 3
Romford BAGS, 14.08, Ivy Knows, Trap 4(*)
Romford BAGS, 16.08, Michelob, Trap 3
Crayford BAGS, 16.57, Savana Delta, Trap 3
Romford BAGS, 17.07, Borna Toot, Trap 2
Romford BAGS, 17.44, Raging Road, Trap 4
15 today.

I set the Grey Horse bot price range from 1 -7.

9. Millionaire's Row - Win Selections started 13/11/2006

This is a win system (test) that me and a friend have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him select every morning so although we created the system together he is the one really refining it. Click Here to see the results so far.

Points + 4.31

12.50 Sedgefield, Kilty Storm 1st 4/7 / Noir Et Vert 2nd 5/2

Today. 13.40 Exeter, Bold Bishop/Sporazene

Use 50/50 if you can make profit whatever the outcome. I am using 1pt on each selection.

10. New - Win Selections started 07/11/2006

This is a new win system that John from Luv2Lose has asked me to show you. He expects the price to drop all the way to the off with these and the idea is to get the best price above odds-on as you can. The verdict is still out on whether to take selections that are below evens.
Points: +2.61

Yesterday: Exchange Prices taken at 8.35 am
Newbury 12.50 HOT 'N' HOLY EP 2.66 3rd 2/1
Lingfield 14.15 ARTZOLA EP 2.42 1st 4/6
Only 1 win and a slight loss yesterday.

Today: Exchange Prices taken at 8.35 am
Southwell 14.00 ZED CANDY EP 2.5

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Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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