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19th November 2008
Todays ramblings
Good Morning.
How many losers are you ready
for? I had an email yesterday from someone who had been watching my Lay
Betting System tip and then decided to start using them, unfortunately we had
two losers in a row, which although it doesn't happen very often with this
system, it does happen.
Now of course I feel sorry for anyone who loses
money especially when they first start trying selections but this is inevitable
and although his email was only state how weird it was that the selection only
started losing when he bet on it, the fact is it does lose and can sometimes
lose 2 in a row.
So going back to my original question was the reader
ready for this or was he just hoping that he would be lucky and carry on a good
winning streak?
I was reading an article about forex trading and in the
writer said there is a difference between "observations" or "interpretations"
and that many traders suffer because instead of making observations about
facts, they instead interpret what they think is happening.
I think the
same is true of sports betting, in stead of observing the truth we prefer to
interpret the information, which leads us to make assumptions which in turn
will cause us to make decisions which will probably, cause us to lose more than
we should.
Let's take a simple example.
The horse has won at 7f
is an observation of truth
The same horse is now running at 6f so has a good
chance of winning is an Interpretation.
A step up in class should help
the horse win is an Interpretation.
The horse has one with this Jockey is a
fact.
This system has had 2 losers in a row is a fact.
This
system will probably only ever lose 2 in a row is an
Interpretation.
Although I am the first to admit that sometimes you have
to interpret the information you have to make a decision, there is still no
reason that you should have as many facts as you can and if you are
interpreting much more than you should then you better make sure you use a lot
of caution and are ready for the fact you have got it wrong.
You only
have to look at many of the "tipsters" and their Interpretation to see what I
mean!
So when you make decisions on what to bet on please make sure you
are observing facts and not making to many interpretations!
I was
reading another ebook yesterday called
Bookie Buster which although the sales page makes it look
like some fantastic system, it is in fact a book full of staking plans, 21 of
them to be precise.
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/go_bookie-buster.htm
Now I am sure
some of these staking plans have done the rounds and you will find some in
http://www.roysstakingplans.co.uk/
but I still found some very interesting and I wondered if I could give you some
examples of what I mean over the next few days.
I am going to use
Lay Back Racing and
Expected-Winners
as guinea pigs because both have interesting strike rates. Bookie-busters plans
are all for "back" bets but I want to twist a couple for "lays" as well.
http://www.laybackracing.co.uk/
http://www.expected-winners.co.uk/
On
both of these sites we have quite a bit of data and so can make observations
that will allow us to look at ways we can use the selections to make
money.
Anyway we will start tomorrow.
Don't forget about my Xmas
special...
If you
purchase the http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk/ over the next couple
of weeks I will also send you under separate cover.
http://www.laybetting.com/mals-grey-sys.htm
http://www.easiestmoneyever.co.uk/
(Which I am removing from sale any day).
http://www.layinvestor.co.uk/index-special.htm
(Which I haven't put back on sale since purchasing it from the
author).
So you get all the above for just £39.99.
I think
that's a very good offer when you consider what they all cost separately. This
is a special offer to readers of this email and we will send the download
instructions for the bonus systems after we have received your payment
information.
And please no refunds!
Guest Selection ("Good to
Lay" ) started 27/08/2008
This selection is now only available as
part of The Almost Certain Nap service.
http://www.thealmostcertainnap.co.uk/
Guest Selection ("Double
your chance" ) started 7/11/2008
The idea behind this selection is
that you back one runner and lay the other. The lay as a much higher strike
rate than the back, so we put enough on the lay to make profit even if the back
loses. A split of 20/30 seems to work well. So if you bet £5 you put 2.00
on the back and 3.00 on the lay.
Rule: If the favourite is a NR (non
runner) you can still bet on the lay (I still think there is a risk here) but
if the lay is a NR then no bet.
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/Double-Your-Chances.xls
Yesterday.
2.10
Folk:
Back: Spring Dream EP 2.1 1st 4/5
Lay: Seraphim EP 15.5 8th
16/1
Today's.
3.30 Ling:
Back: Plush EP 2.16
Lay: One Oi EP
32
Sponsors of the day
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-----------------------------
Sponsor Tip of the day.
http://www.laybackracing.co.uk/
Lays
--------------------------
Time: 14:10 Race: Hexham
Tip: Twelve
Paces
Points Value: 1
Time: 15:00 Race: Lingfield
Tip:
Neuchatel
Points Value: 1
Comment for this tip: Only if first
wins
Time: 15:30 Race: Lingfield
Tip: Plush
Points Value: 1
Comment for this tip: Only if first two win
Time: 21:20 Race:
Kempton
Tip: Silaah
Points Value: 1
Comment for this tip: Only if
first three win
Backs
--------------------------
Time: 12:50
Race: Warwick
Tip: Enfant De Lune
Comment for this tip: Early BF
3.1
Time: 15:40 Race: Hexham
Tip: Mamba
Comment for this tip:
Early BF 3.2
Time: 18:50 Race: Kempton
Tip: Yab Adee
Comment
for this tip: Early BF 2.86
Time: 19:20 Race: Kempton
Tip: Dialect
Comment for this tip: Early BF 3
http://www.laybackracing.co.uk/
Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay
a day from my Lay betting System")
Yesterday.
13.00
Fake, Little Shilling 1st 11/8
Today: Sorry no nap today.
Please
Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one
of the selections for this tip.
You can purchase the system
formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show
readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a
selection does daily.
You can also have this tip delivered as content
to your own website.
Click here
to find out more.
Back test system ( "A 'back'
system that I came up with a while ago")
This system is available
as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/go_pbs.htm
Yesterday.
14:10, Folk, Spring Dream EP 2.24 1st 4/5
Today. 15:10, Hexm, Fabalu EP
1.59
Remember this is just a test and we are paper
testing "backing" these selections.
Other Information (" Here
is some other info that should help you")
I Prefer
betfair.com
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
out)
If you need help about anything please go to my
support site.
If you
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
points.
You can automate your betting with
GHB.
http://www.greyhorsebot.co.uk/
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Have a good days
racing.
Malcolm
Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com
http://www.laybetting.com
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
P.S. How about something different...
Also check my blog
here
We make every
effort to supply high quality tips, but we cannot be responsible for any losses
incurred by any persons using these tips or any of the information
provided.
This tip is provided FREE and in good faith. It can stop or
start at anytime, the sponsor of the tip can change at anytime.
You
can use it on your website but all links must be kept in place.
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