Sorry I am running late this morning so I will leave you
From Darren at the
It seems that everybody is a layer these days and every
system is a lay system, so this week I thought I would talk about selecting
your own lay selections.
What follows is extracted from a nine page
report written by Simon Church (the brains behind MD Professional Sports
Betting) for the
School Insiders members.
The first step you should take when
selecting a horse to lay is to shortlist the horses in the race that meet your
price requirement EG if you don't want to lay over odds of 7.0 then make a note
of what is trading below that price.
Step two is to look at current
form, if a horse has good form then we probably don't want to be laying it!
What I mean by good or respectable form is that if it has been placed
within the first 2 during its most recent run. If I see a selection that has
either a 1or 2 next to its name (most recent run) then I leave it well alone.
Of course winners can come from any previous form figure but these 2 are the
obvious ones to avoid. You may also choose to add 3 or 4 to this avoidance list
but with every extra number you include, the less the opportunities that there
will be. This is mainly because virtually all the shorter priced horses are so
priced because they do have decent form.
Rather than just consider the
previous run only as a basis to making a lay selection I also look to runs
prior to this one. If, for example the previous run was a marked improvement on
the last but one race then this again would send out a warning signal. By this
I mean it is an obvious improving horse. If a horse had the figures, 8903 then
I would probably decide against laying this, mainly because it has made a vast
improvement and could very well be a serious danger in the race.
actually like to see a horse's form deteriorate, even if some recent
performances were ok. Here is an example; 2349. These figures are on the whole
much better than the first set and at first glance look more dangerous. If we
look closer though we will see that the first horse has most recently improved
its performance while the second has not. And although the second horse's
figures are better overall, I would give preference to this horse, as it
clearly is on a downslide.
This is just a small portion of the full
report which is available to members of the Betting School Insiders Club. To
register for a free sample copy of the report please go to:
A new guest selection will be appearing here
Guest: Gary's Greyhound
lays not over 8.00
Nottingham - 11.34 - Trap 3
U/P (mal - no match)
Nottingham - 12.47 - Trap 2 2nd (mal - I got
Nottingham - 13.04 - Trap 3 Last (mal - I got
Hall Green - 13.04 - Trap 3
Newcastle - 13.27 - Trap
As always i suggest you don't lay over 8.
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Sponsor Tip of the
Selection 1: lingfield 2.25 angel voices*
Selection 3: 3.35 masked*
Selection 4: 4.40 martyr**
Selection 5: kempton 7.50 don picolo*
Selections 6: 8.50 mulberry lad*
0-to 6.0 lay 3pts 6.1 to 10/1 lay 2pts 10.1 to 14 lay 1pt
Bills 321 Lays
Best Lay of the Day
14.30 Sedg, Big Bertha (abandoned)
Today: 16.15 Punch , Turtle
Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems
in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.
purchase the system formula:
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1) Pick more than one race
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
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6) Now on V4
systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
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Place System: Started
This is a
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 58.88
system (30/07/07) + 19.59
Buzzin´Boyzee, EP 2.82 (*) 6th
16:30, Sedgefield, Solway Flo, EP 3.8
14:25, Lingfield, Musical Script, EP 2.38
Lingfield, Masked, EP 2.94
16:10, Lingfield, Benayoun, EP 3.45 (*)
Kempton, Stoneacre Boy, EP 2.66 (*)
19:50, Kempton, Silca Destination, EP
20:50, Kempton, Mulberry Lad, EP 2.32
(*) No bet under new
Lay test system
(or maybe back)
Started (again) 15/01/2008. We are testing to see if we
have a good lay system or back. £10 stakes. Please remember this is a
test and a bit of fun to find out if this selection system works better as a
lay or back system.
Lay - £1.50 (after 5%
Back -£8.26 (after 5% commision)
14:20, Tntn, Forest Pennant EP 1.44 1st 2/5
17:10, Ling, Shadowtime EP 2.10
Remember this is just a test and
we are paper testing laying these selections.
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
If you need help about anything please go to my
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
Have a good days
P.S. How about something different...
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