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21st November 2008


Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

If the weather stays good we are going to do a lot of walking with the dogs this weekend, I want to just get out in to the fresh air.

We have had 3 losers in a row on my Lay Betting System. It was posted in the forum that it has been a long time since we saw that happen and I can only think of one other occasion when it has, but if we put it in context to what we have been talking about this week, then we should have been ready for it.

Before we go on this morning I think we have to accept that after 2 losers this week "Double your chance" is not looking very good at all. David is looking to see if we can learn anything from them but I am not sure you can do much considering the lay prices can be so high.

So carrying on from yesterday....

Looking at http://www.laybackracing.co.uk/ and the results...
The ones in the spreadsheet (pre database)
http://www.laybackracing.co.uk/backs.xls

and the ones in the database...
http://www.laybackracing.co.uk/data.asp

And our Observations...
1. All selections are 2 (evens) or above.
2. Longest losing run 9 in one month (10 continuous)
3. Longest winning run is 6

Where does that leave us.

Well I don't fancy the idea of using a staking plan when you may have to go through 9 or 10 losers in a row, it is possible, but can get expensive, so I would go for level stakes betting and stop at 5pts. Now we have to accept that we could have to go through at least 9 or 10 losers, before we get to 5 pts so we have to be ready for that.

So the maximum I would use would be 5% of my bank as a stake, this would give would mean you could go 20 losers before losing the all of it.

If you have a bank of say £200 and you use 5% to back at level stakes of £10 then you should be able to make £50 in your first month. The second month you will have £250 so now you use 5% again and you are now betting £12.50 so you should be able to make £62.50. Just carry on doing that and you could have a substantial bank by the end of the year if things carry on the way they have been going.

Once you have decided on your bank and stake, the next thing you want to do is to see if you can get the same odds that Graham and Brian are getting. Now odds are going to be important to maximise your profit and I think it is important that you try to get as close to or better than Graham and Brian are showing.

The simplest thing to do is just take SP at that the bookies, then you know you will have the same price. You could also test SP at Betfair but remember that you will be paying 5% commission on any winnings to you will have to work out if it is going to be worth it. You could also split your stake and use it in different ways.

One of my favourite ways is to go in running and ask for Betfairs SP + 10% or something like that. GHB is really useful for this idea and http://www.laybackracing.co.uk/ give a .CSV everyday that you can use to load the races into GHB and get it to automatically ask for the in-running %. You must remember that you won't always get matched so this should only play part of your strategy.

The point again is to find what works and you are only going to do it through testing!

http://www.laybackracing.co.uk/ also have a lay service which is based on a stop at a winner, so next week we will look at them next week.

Don't forget about my Xmas special, but I have had a lot of people take this up this week so it probably won't last much longer.

If you purchase the http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk/ over the next couple of weeks I will also send you under separate cover.
http://www.laybetting.com/mals-grey-sys.htm
http://www.easiestmoneyever.co.uk/ (Which I am removing from sale any day).
http://www.layinvestor.co.uk/index-special.htm (Which I haven't put back on sale since purchasing it from the author).

So you get all the above for just £39.99.

I think that's a very good offer when you consider what they all cost separately. This is a special offer to readers of this email and we will send the download instructions for the bonus systems after we have received your payment information.
And please no refunds!

Have a great weekend.

Guest Selection ("Good to Lay" ) started 27/08/2008


This selection is now only available as part of The Almost Certain Nap service.
http://www.thealmostcertainnap.co.uk/

Guest Selection ("Double your chance" ) started 7/11/2008


The idea behind this selection is that you back one runner and lay the other. The lay as a much higher strike rate than the back, so we put enough on the lay to make profit even if the back loses. A split of 20/30 seems to work well. So if you bet £5 you put 2.00 on the back and 3.00 on the lay.

Rule: If the favourite is a NR (non runner) you can still bet on the lay (I still think there is a risk here) but if the lay is a NR then no bet.

http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/Double-Your-Chances.xls

Yesterday.
3.00 Winc:
Back: Elsies Pride EP 2.72 2nd 5/2
Lay: New Perk EP 14 1st 15/2

Today's.
2.50 Exet:
Oracle Des Mottes EP 3.50
Overclear EP 10.5

Sponsors of the day ("Products and Tips for you to look at.")


Sponsor product of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
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Want to try something a little different? Virtual Football may be just what you are looking for...
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Sponsor Tip of the day.

Sorry no sponsor today.

Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay a day from my Lay betting System")


Yesterday.
15.20 Here, Ring Bo Ree 1st 8/11

Today: 13.15 Kelso, Justtheoneforyou

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk

Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a selection does daily.

You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.


Back test system ( "A 'back' system that I came up with a while ago")


This system is available as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/go_pbs.htm

Yesterday.
15:20, Hrfd, Ring Bo Ree EP 2.82 1st 8/11

Today. 13:40 Extr, Lodge Lane EP 2.48

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing "backing" these selections.


Other Information (" Here is some other info that should help you")
I Prefer betfair.com

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
If you need help about anything please go to my support site.
If you haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair points.

You can automate your betting with GHB.
http://www.greyhorsebot.co.uk/

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com

Have a good days racing.

Malcolm

Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com
http://www.laybetting.com
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com

P.S. How about something different...
Also check my blog here
We make every effort to supply high quality tips, but we cannot be responsible for any losses incurred by any persons using these tips or any of the information provided.

This tip is provided FREE and in good faith. It can stop or start at anytime, the sponsor of the tip can change at anytime.

You can use it on your website but all links must be kept in place.


 
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