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22nd February 2007

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I finally found out what kept crashing my test machine yesterday. Hopefully it should now be repaired now, which means I can now get back to showing you the daily screen shots.

Another win on the Place System(3) yesterday. I like simple systems that seem to work reasonably well. As I have said it is slow but it could account for a nice little bit of extra profit for the year. It's having little systems like these that help build up your overall yearly bank.

We have covered the  "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" many times in this email, so we don't need to go over them again, but to have the patience to follow "1 a day" type tips is probably something many people find very difficult to do on a consistent basis.

I suppose, just because we are following racing many people find it difficult to slow down and get a good strategy together.

One question I am asked a lot is - "how much do I need to make a living from racing?"

Most people expect a monetary answer, so I could say...

If you want to win £20 a day then really you need a bank 100 times this so around £2000. Because as most people know I recommend only using 1% of your bank as a stake and if you can win just once and get out then that's it.

People will argue that because I say go for 3 wins as we do on "The Rule of 3" then really they could cut the size of the bank down by 1 3rd and still have enough.

Yep, you could do that as well, in fact you could try a lot of different things but I think a lot of people may miss the point, because I don't actually think it is about the size of your bank or stake. My opinion is that the money although important, is not as important as your ability to handle this game without getting emotional, when things go wrong and know exactly what you have to do in these situations.

So my belief is that you should start with a small bank and small stakes and build your bank. If you can not do this then there is something wrong and until you can grow your bank consistently, then it doesn't matter how much money you have.

The problem is that most peoples focus is on "how much can I win?", rather than "What do I need to do to in order to make a consistent profit?"

Although they sound similar they take totally different mind sets and the latter will hopefully put you in the frame of mind, that will make you ask the right questions.

As I have said before there are plenty of tips out there that can make you a consistent profit, but only if you know what to do when things do not go to plan.

2. Guest Selection - started 23-10-2006
These are lay test selections from Thomas.
NO BET if odds above 9.00 at Betfair

Wednesday (21 Feb 2007)
Wolv 1620 - Ross Moor - 2nd - SP 10/1 - Betfair 14.5 - no bet
Wolv 1650 - Zarabad - 1st - SP 13/2 - Betfair 8.0 - lost
Ludl 1700 - Golden Parachute - 10th - SP 20/1 - Betfair 44.0 - no bet
Wolv 1720 - Machinate - 2nd - SP 15/2 - Betfair 9.6 - no bet

Here are todays (22 Feb 2007)
Sout 1350 - Favouring
Hayd 1410 - Time To Roam
Sout 1450 - Hornpipe
Hunt 1605 - Stormy Skye

Thomas is recording all Betfair prices 30 sec before the off.

3. Place System (win Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 16.4

16.00 Ludlow, Kickahead, EP 2.78 1st

15.35 Huntingdon, Cheveley Flyer, EP 2.84
16.55 Southwell, Parkview Love, EP 2.1

4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Normal: 17:50, Wolverhampton, Et Dona Ferentes 3rd 7/4
Pts 2007: - 3.06
Top Choice: 17:10, Lingfield, Control Man NR
Pts 2007: - 1.64

Normal: 16:55, Southwell, Namroud
Top Choice: 15:35, Huntingdon, My Turn Now
You can purchase this system here:
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6. "Best Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
15.30 Ludlow, Alikat 12th 4/1

Today: 14.10 Haydock, Little Rocker

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip

As at 8 o'clock this morning the following horses were identified as within Bismarx range.
Watch for market changes before the race.
Exercise caution at odds over 2.8 or where non-runner's have left less than 5 runner's in a race.
Generally do not lay when wide odds disparity (3.0+) has emerged between the Favourite and the other runner's.
Quit when your profit target has been reached.
Prepare for liability in advance - always plan your next move first.

15.00 Hunt CHIEF YEOMAN @2.4
15.25 Sthl ARCH OF TITUS @2.7
15.45 Hayd POLINAMIX @2.4
16.15 Hayd LE PASSING @1.9
16.35 Hunt AFLFIES SUN @2.4
16.45 Hayd MISTER POTTER @2.1

Bismarx (BVR)

8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System started 07/11/2006.

After playing around with selections I have decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I think I have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I suspect there will have to be a maximum lay price set. I am just not sure what that will be but I am testing between 2.00 and 7.00. I will make every effort to record betfair lay prices as well. The ones marked with an asterisks (*) are from the original and tighter system, I am not using these now.
You can see all the results since the 14th (when I introduced the latest selection method) here. I am now using what I call the "rule of 3", this means we go for 3 wins and use a 3 race scratch back to get back any losses.

Newcastle BAGS, 11.42, Ashburn Vieri, Trap 6 6th 5/2
Hall Green BAGS, 13.04, Mouche Sparrow, Trap 3 2nd 3/1
Newcastle BAGS, 13.44, Fortune Jim, Trap 6 3rd 7/4
Oxford BAGS, 14.57, Agirlcalledsue, Trap 2(*) 2nd 5/1
Oxford BAGS, 15.38, Barnwell Barley, Trap 4(*) 1st 2/1 - LOST
Hove BAGS, 16.08, Pittsburgh Boss, Trap 2(*) 2nd 7/2
Oxford BAGS, 16.37, Ballyorban Queen, Trap 4 4th 7/2
Hove BAGS, 16.48, Woodland Beauty, Trap 3 4th 4/1
Oxford BAGS, 16.57, Home Mate, Trap 4 2nd 5/2
Hove BAGS, 17.27, Killeacle Cyril, Trap 3 5th 4/1
Oxford BAGS, 17.33, Mindies Diva, Trap 3 4th 3/1
11 Selections today, 1 losers (sorry no screen shot)

Here are today's.
Sunderland BAGS, 11.48, Last Gold, Trap 2
Sheffield BAGS, 11.57, Star Of Billy, Trap 4
Sunderland BAGS, 12.04, Black Mercedes, Trap 3
Sunderland BAGS, 12.32, Mail Road Kylie, Trap 5
Sunderland BAGS, 12.47, Eleanor Rigby, Trap 5
Sunderland BAGS, 13.04, Liffey Hall, Trap 4
Sunderland BAGS, 13.33, Mill Reef, Trap 3(*)
Sheffield BAGS, 13.44, Natalies Angel, Trap 1
Sheffield BAGS, 14.03, Brosna Mison, Trap 6(*)
Romford BAGS, 14.08, Maydare Tom, Trap 4(*)
Romford BAGS, 14.27, Winning Point, Trap 5
Crayford BAGS, 14.37, Ardkil Queen, Trap 5
Romford BAGS, 14.47, Slim Quin Rose, Trap 5
Crayford BAGS, 14.57, School Road Girl, Trap 3(*)
Romford BAGS, 15.07, Ella Ella, Trap 6
Crayford BAGS, 15.38, Ballyneale Shoot, Trap 5
Crayford BAGS, 15.58, Spotthedroopy, Trap 4
Romford BAGS, 16.08, Jojo, Trap 1(*)
Romford BAGS, 17.07, Deans Cider, Trap 6
Romford BAGS, 17.27, Orange Snow, Trap 6
Romford BAGS, 17.44, Inchbonnie Zulu, Trap 5
Crayford BAGS, 18.04, Malou, Trap 6
Romford BAGS, 18.11, Malden Guest, Trap 2

Download the session.xml here (normally available by 10am mon-sat)

Normal daily settings.
Stake 2.00
Stop Win: 2.00 x 3 = 6.00 (take it down to 5.57)
Stop Loss: 2.00 x 25 = 50.00
running loss - 0.57
Screen Shot of settings.

I set the Grey Horse bot price range from 1 -7.

9. Millionaire's Row - Win Selections started 13/11/2006

This is a win system (test) that me and a friend have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him select every morning so although we created the system together he is the one really refining it. Click Here to see the results so far.
You can now get these selections Saturday by signing up here:

Yesterday: (Thursday)
Daily Double
14.20 Wolverhampton, Drifting Gold EP 2.4 1st 10/11 / Ellablue EP 4.3 2nd 9/2
Points + 9.67

Daily Back Nap: (stared 15/02/2007)
No Qualifier Today
Points + 0.87

Daily Lay Nap (stared 25/02/2007)
14.00 Ludlow, Mountain Oscar EP 4.9 2nd 9/2
Points - 9.6


Daily Double.
16.15 Haydock, Le Passing EP 1.88 /Artic Jack EP 3.88

Daily Back Nap:
15.35 Huntingdon, My Turn Now EP 1.39

Daily Lay Nap:
14.30 Huntingdon, Zabeel Palace EP 17

We dont actually think you should lay these above 7.00.

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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