Good to see the new "Lay/Back
System Test" had another lay winner yesterday taking us a bit further into
I have put the session file up
this morning for GHB owners who
want to try the selections. I will also update the excel spreadsheet once a
week showing the results. You can find all the details under the Lay/Back
system test below.
Yesterday we started talking
about finding value and that we have to look for opportunities that are missed
by other punters and tipsters.
The best way to actually do this
is to come up with your own rating system, based on the information available
about the runners.
The Racing Post have their own
rating system called RPR and Adrian Massey also has a rating system which he
feels is the best betting propositions.
Of course you could easily use
one of theirs or even use something like RaceExpert
To find the potential
The problem with using some of
these sites is that there are also plenty of other punters using them, so it is
unlikely that you will find value just using the ratings.
The trick really is to
specialise in a certain area. This could be a certain type of race like
Handicap or Maidens. It could be only certain courses or even AW races only. It
could be a mixture of all of these. But the more you specialise the more likely
you are to find value, because you will see things other's have missed.
Now as a "System" type of guy, I
will be the first to admit that finding value and searching through form is not
my idea as a great deal of fun, but that doesn't mean that I don't dismiss it
out of hand. In fact I see it part of my education to becoming even more
successful at making money from racing.
Anyway getting back to the
"lesson" the first thing is to be specific and choose and area that you are
going to concentrate on.More on this tomorrow.
Lay/Back System Test
There are two types of
selections here. The first is a lay tip as long as the price is under 2.00 and
the second is a back tip as long as the price is 2.00 or above.
There is one thing to think
about here. If a lay selection goes to 2.00 or above you could decide to back
it instead and the same goes for a back selection dropping below 2.00 you could
then lay this. It's probably best to back/lay these near to the "off". We are
not using a staking plan at the moment, just level stakes to see what
If you want you can download the
selections (Mon to Fri) directly into GHB using the session/server tips
option. The URL is here.
The session file is set as lay,
odds between 1.03 and 1.99 and 2.00 stake, but you should use your own option
I will also upload a spreadsheet
once a week with the latest results here.
Lay (Only if under
14.45 Southwell, Night Of Fortune EP 1.52 2nd 9/4
19.10 Perth, Rory Boy
Back (Only if over 2.00)
No selection yesterday.
Barneys Mate EP 2.2
Guest Selection ("An Idea I
want to try")
This is a new lay test started
No bet if a significant NR (10% or over reduction factor).
Shampagne EP 7.2 1st 17/2, this is definatly and idea that isn't working at the
moment! So we will drop this for the time being and think of something else to
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to today after some careful consideration we have selected 1530 Goodwood
Infalliable. There were three others to consider for the next selection and
they were 1620 Beverley Trip The Light 1640 Goodwood Milne Graden and finally
1655 Beverley Steel Cut. We have selected the last one Steel cut.
the new Lay system is:-
1530 GoodwoodInfalliable 1655 BeverleySteel Cut.
The backs are
1750 Goodwood Magaling Betfair price 3.7
Worcester Black Anshan Betfair price 2.02.
Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay
a day from my Lay betting System")
Wind, Indy Driver 5th 11/4f
Today: 17.30 Bev, Gulf Coast
Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one
of the selections for this tip.
You can purchase the system
Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show
readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a
selection does daily.
You can also have this tip delivered as content
to your own website.
to find out more.
Back test system ( "A 'back'
system that I came up with a while ago")
This system is available
as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.
As a new idea I am going to
start a more aggressive staking plan trial and stick more closely to the
Please Note: This is a trial.
Please do not attempt to run a staking plan unless you understand exactly what
you are getting yourself into.
New Trial Started 21/07/2008.
Start Bank £500.00
Bank Now: £265.58
We will use 5% of
our current bank as our base stake (divided by the odds we get) and we will use
the CashMaster system to get back loses except when the selections price at
betfair is under 2.00. All winnings will be calculated -5% betfair charge. If a
runner is under 2.00 and we are recovering loses then we prospone the staking
plan and stake the whole 5% stake.
Yesterday. (Loss amount so far
19:40, Wind, Orange Pip EP 2.96 (Stake 87.64) 8th 8/11
Today. 14:50, Gdwd, Conduit EP
1.7 (Because the selection is under 2.00 we are only using our normal £25
Remember this is just a test and we are paper
testing "backing" these selections.
Other Information (" Here
is some other info that should help you")
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
If you need help about anything please go to my
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
You can automate your betting with
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
Have a good days
P.S. How about something different...
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