29th October 2008
My new system test is still going well and although we had a bit of a loss this
week while stretching the algorithm but we had actually had a win before we
decided to make some new test.
I have settled on a "stop at a winner"
type plan which I think will work very well with this idea. I think with a
little more tweaking of the new bot and a little more testing on the algorithm
we will be ready for the whole thing to be put on autopilot, which I am really
looking forward to testing.
My other system which is betting on mainly
"player" events like Tennis and Snooker is also going well. Again we had a
little bit of a bad run last week on Tennis but this gave me an opportunity to
look at the way I was betting and allowed me to make some adjustments which I
think long term will make a lot of difference.
As always I will keep
you informed of how the test are going over the next couple of weeks and I will
hopefully be able to show you some screen shots of my bank increasing
I was reading one of the systems in the
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/go_pbs.htm ebook about
laying favourites under 2.00. Not all favourites of course, just the ones
selected by the system. What interest me was the authors slant on staking and
again it pinpoints how the type of stake you use, can influence your
In this particular case you bet to the same liability (stake
divided by odds) everytime and although you would have your fair share of wins
and loses because you used liability often your winnings would far outweigh any
losses especially at very low odds.
Lets take a look what would happen
if we fixed our liability at £25.
We bet on a hot favourite at
If the hot favourite wins then we lose £25 because that is our
liability, but what if it loses?
25 / (1.3 -1 ) =
Just so you are clear when laying to liability at under
2.0, your winnings will always be more than your losses. In the above example
although our lay stake was £83.33 our actual loss would only have been
£83.33 x (1.3 -1 ) = £25
Using the system
described in the http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/go_pbs.htm this turned out
to create a lot more profit than using level stakes.
As always you have
to do the research to make sure it suits the selection method you are
Guest Selection ("Good to
Lay" ) started 27/08/2008
There is only one rule: If the NR
reduction factor is 10% or more (check the "Rules" tab to the left of the
market) on the market then it is a "No bet". Because of this, it is obviously
better to bet nearer the off.
- The author will send me a new updated sheet once a
4.10 Yar: Quince EP 50 NR
Today's. 4.00 G.L.:
Titan Triumph EP 12
Sponsors of the day
("Products and Tips for you to look at.")
of the day (please take a look you never
Turn your lay betting system into winning systems with Roy's easy learn low
risk Amazing staking plans. .
Click Here to read
Sponsor Tip of the
Layback Racing Lays
Time: 15:10 Race:
Time: 15:20 Race: Huntingdon
Cant Buy Time
Time: 15:30 Race: Great Leighs
Time: 19:50 Race: Kempton
Tip: Film Set
Time: 20:50 Race:
Tip: Lake Windermere
Time: 14:00 Race: Great Leighs
Tip: Alonso De Guzman
Time: 14:00 Race: Great Leighs
Time: 13:10 Race:
Tip: Jonahs Cruising
Comment for this tip: Early bf
Time: 13:50 Race: Huntingdon
Tip: Green Wadi
Comment for this
tip: Early bf 2.64
Time: 16:30 Race: Great Leighs
Comment for this tip: Early bf 3.35
Time: 18:50 Race: Kempton
Officer In Command
Comment for this tip: Early bf 2.76
Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay
a day from my Lay betting System")
Today: 15.50 Hunt, Markington
Please Note: The lay betting
system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for
You can purchase the system formula:
Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show
readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a
selection does daily.
You can also have this tip delivered as content
to your own website.
to find out more.
Back test system ( "A 'back'
system that I came up with a while ago")
This system is available
as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.
13:40, Yarm, Desert Creek EP 1.79 1st 8/13
Today. Sorry no nap today.
Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing "backing" these
Other Information (" Here is some other info that
should help you")
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
If you need help about anything please go to my
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
You can automate your betting with
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
Have a good days
P.S. How about something different...
Also check my blog
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