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13th May 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I was talking to Nat at TSF e-zine about a great new Tennis trading strategy he is about to launch. I suppose I could say that Nat has taught me nearly everything I know about trading and I have been much better at it since I met him!

His Tennis trading stratergies are really good and they work very well. I have already had several good trades, using the exact strategies that are contained in the ebook.

Nat is also a "Value" trader and so often sets up his first bet on the assumption that he will get value as he does in this strategy and if he can not find it then there is no trade. I think this actually make him more successful than some traders who try to play the market "as is".

Anyway I will tell you more about this ebook in the next couple of days.

I am working on a couple of tennis trading strategies to work with GHB as Nat has taught me to look for value I am going to use that as a starting point.

The good thing about trading strategies on team or single player sports is that often you can adapt them to work with other markets. So a Tennis strategy will probably have a good chance of working on Snooker.

I have a new "Sponsor of the day" for you today. I have been watching these back bets for a couple of months and decided I would add them in to see what you think.

They are back bets and there are always 2 selections in the race which can be a problem because normally the first selection is under 2.00 so it is finding a calculation that will let you make profit no matter which runner comes in.

If we have a look at today's.

20.20 Great Leighs
Slam 1.61
Once A Gulch 5.8

As you can see we are going to have to put a lot of our stake on Slam to make up for any losses on Once A Gulch.

I have a few ideas on this and will discuss it more over the coming week or two. I will say that the higher priced selections comes in about 3rd of the time and there was a 16/1 winner on one occasion.

New Lay Test

5.30 Yar, Barry Island EP 5.8 4th 6/1 ( we got 7.5)

4.00 Yar, Una Auroraborealis

Pot 2 now stands at £-80.41 (Target £70.00)
New Greyhound Lay system I had come up with.

After some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.

12:04, Swin, Borstal Boy
12:04, Swin, Pointone Playboy
12:12, Sheff, Starjels Harvey
12:27, Sheff, Clash Fizz
12:32, Swin, Please Sir
13:27, Sheff, Bodens Delight
13:44, Sheff, Dromand Boy
14:03, Sheff, Swiss Express
14:08, Monm, Foyle Hill
14:27, Monm, Flying Ash
14:57, Wstow, Lurgan Legend
16:37, Wstow, Versailles
19:37, Nott, Groovy Molly
19:42, Romfd, Our Choice
19:58, Romfd, Blindin Bell
20:07, Nott, Dornans Conquest
20:28, Romfd, As Time Slips By
21:22, Nott, Air Lass
21:.4, Nott, Two Nicks
21:.4, Nott, Comans Jamie
21:58, Nott, Fulblast Crash,
22:15, Nott, Dum Dumer
As always I finished early. Two lossing runs though and I am still thinking we should take out races where we have two selections.

11:48, Nott, Capla Gold
11:48, Nott, Derryhogan Ice
12:18, Nott, Hopeofthehouse
13:12, PBarr, Honchos Cracker
13:12, PBarr, O Learys Hope
15:38, Sund, Mill Flash
16:57, Sund, Bridge Spire
17:17, Sund, Mayfield Flash
17:38, Crayfd, Hitchcock
18:04, Sund, Quick As A Flash
18:18, Sund, Small Top
18:48, Newc, Catunda Perry
19:42, Sheff, Kildare Linnett
19:58, Sheff, Lethal Charlie
20:22, Newc, On Me Head
20:28, Sheff, Shaban Geordie
20:37, Newc, Target Shanni
20:43, Sheff, Cabanas
20:43, Sheff, Morgans Gold
20:43, Sheff, Jans Top Lad
20:51, Newc, Direct Route
21:07, Newc, Kitty Be Vieri
21:14, Sheff, Pond Astronaut
21:14, Sheff, Sibsey Showtime

Please remember this is a new test and there are no rules yet.

Guest Selection
This is a new back test.

20.20 Great Leighs
Slam 1.61
Once A Gulch 5.8

We will discuss the stake sizes over the coming week. I am not sure about NR, the favourite does tend to win most of the time with the second favourite about a 3rd of the time.

Sponsors of the day
Sponsor product of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Turn your lay betting system into winning systems with Roy's easy learn low risk Amazing staking plans.
Click Here to read more

Sponsor Tip of the day.

Luv 2 Lose

Comments for today: Looks like this will be a two-horse race with Aimigayle going for the hat-trick. Although stuck at the top of the weights he is sure to make a bold bid to foil CAOBA. One thing is sure the prices will be low.

Nap (Lay) Selection 1: Newton Abbot 18:10 CAOBA

Luv 2 Lose

Malcolm's Selections
Best Lay of the Day
20.25 Wind, Topazes 1st 5/2

Today: 15.40 Brig, Prince Valentine

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Place System: Started 20-11-2006

This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 63.38
Points new system (30/07/07) + 27.40

14:30, Yarmouth, In Transit, EP 2.28 (*) (7 runners) 4th
16:20, Redcar, Chrystal Venture EP 2.02 6th
17:55, Windsor, Kingswinford EP 2.04 (*) 4th

14:10, Brighton, The Lady Granuaile EP 2.22
15:20, Southwell, Xpres Maite, EP 2.18
15:30, Yarmouth, Blackmalkin, EP 2.22
19:50, Great Leighs, Stringsofmyheart, EP 2.46

(*) No bet under new system idea


Back test system
Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how we are now testing it.
£10 stakes.

Level Stakes
£11.51 (after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008
Using a staking plan similar to CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/3/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £30.03 (staking running loss 29.49 )
18:55, Wind, Metropolitan Man EP 3.25 (Staking stake £9.07) 3rd 15/8

18:50, GrLe, Boz EP 2.6 (Staking stake £18.43)

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying these selections.

Other Information
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
If you need help about anything please go to my support site.
If you haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair points.

Grey Horse Bot affiliate programme

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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