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17th June 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

Another two winners for the Guest Selections (back4profit) yesterday, it wasn't a great return on the dutch, but a 20% return on the lay.

I have started to database the selections now, the prices shown are what I actually got on Betfair which is usually around 10am.

I must admit that I am a little unsure about the dutch this morning, but the system picked these selection. If it is a win then it will be a big payday but I was tempted to lower my stake as we do no from last month that the back selections do suffer from losers. Anyway as I keep saying, "this is a test" so I will go with it.

Don't forget to sign up for the selections so you don't miss Saturday's.

The greyhounds were a bit of a nightmare yesterday and it took until the race before the last to get back into profit. I am still considering dropping races where there are two runners, maybe I can even find away of filtering them out.

I am sorry I ran out of time quite quickly this morning, so that's it from me until tomorrow.

New Greyhound Lay system I had come up with.

After some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.
If you are a subscriber to GHB I am going to start putting the session file up for you (mon to fri)
The settings in this session file are odds 1 to 6.00 and 0.10 stake so you may want to use your own stake settings, which you should do anyway because I could make a mistake!

12:27, Sheff, Swift Oak
12:32, Swin, Kevinsfort Belle
13:19, Swin, Ballywalter Zap
13:27, Sheff, Sangria
14:03, Sheff, Swiss Express
14:47, Monm, Clonlost Dreamer
14:47, Monm, Burnpark King
16:27, Monm, Give Itup Geezer
20:22, Nott, Dundrum Jack
20:58, Romfd, Barney Rumble
21:07, Nott, Scotch Mist
21:07, Nott, Rough Venus
21:22, Nott, Rebel Ring
22:15, Nott, Sir Alfs

After a pretty bad start I left the bot running and ended up getting back to profit. It's the ones with two runners in the race that mess things up.

11:34, Nott, Beechwood Vieri
12:18, Nott, Maid Of Orleans
12:58, PBarr, Dalcash Bond
13:44, PBarr, Sheepwalk Foyle
14:12, Sund, Waycross Firefly
14:47, Sund, Jubilee Day
15:53, Crayfd, Yak Yak Blueboy
16:11, Crayfd, Hollyoak Branch
16:37, Sund, Highbury Nell
17:09, Sund, Rainham Lady
17:09, Sund, Linton Best Man
17:09, Sund, Media Mia
17:22, Crayfd, Lordsbury Nueve
17:58, Crayfd, Newlawn Grainne
17:58, Crayfd, Reenview Daisy
18:08, Sund, Bua Nancy
18:18, Crayfd, Centaur Clare
18:18, Crayfd, Hollyoak Syrah
19:06, Newc, Bigwood Saphire
19:11, Sheff, Maglass Lass
19:26, Sheff, Morgans Woody
20:13, Sheff, Gaj The Legend
20:37, Newc, Come Back Here
20:51, Newc, Falkan Boy
21:37, Newc, Catunda Pheobe
21:52, Newc, Pick Me
22:23, Sheff, Jonagold

Please remember this is a new test (well not that new!) and there are no rules yet, in fact the only rule I can think of is maybe miss races where there are two selections.

Guest Selection (back 4 profit)

This is a new back test.

I am going to show dutching with a £5 stake split between the two bets using my dutch calculator .

I am not sure about NR's, the favourite does tend to win most of the time, with the second favourite about a 3rd of the time so it could be worth backing the the second if the favourite is a NR. If the second favourite is a NR then you can take the next runner in the betting.

4.00 Sedg
Classic Moon EP 1.82 1st 4/11
Oneforsaturday EP 2.66 2nd 4/1
Not a big pay out today as I forgot to increase my stake!

2.50 Thir
Motor Home EP 3.15
El Guevara EP 15.00
Well I must admit the selections today does feel a little strange and if comes off it will be a big payday!

New Lay Test (lay 4 Profit)
I am just taking £5.00 and dividing it by the odds to get my stake.

8.10 War: H Harrison EP 6.4 6th 8/1

9.00 Yar: Rossini Byline EP 13.5 .
The is quite a difference between the back (9.4) and lay price so I am going to wait a while to see if there is an improvement on 13.5.

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Sponsor Tip of the day.

Luv 2 Lose

Comments for today: Sabre Light SERGEANT SHARPE and Secret Meaning ought to make an impact in such a weak race but there could be more to come from the lightly raced Red Rouge who has shown ability is favoured by the weights and makes a 225-mile solo trip for a yard with a good strike-rate at this track.

Nap (Lay) Selection 1: Yarmouth 19:30 SERGEANT SHARPE

Luv 2 lose

Malcolm's Selections

Best Lay of the Day
21.00 Wind, Closertobelieving 1st 7/2

Today: 17.10 Thir, My Gacho

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Place System: Started 20-11-2006

This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 65.04
Points new system (30/07/07) +25.37

20:40, Warwick, Bahia Breeze, EP 2.5 (*) NR

No Selections

(*) No bet under new system idea


Back test system
Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how we are now testing it.
£10 stakes.

Level Stakes
£2.20(after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008
Using a staking plan similar to CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/3/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £71.36 (staking running loss 0.00 )
18:30, Wind, Dear Maurice EP 2.48 (Staking Stake £8.84) 1st 8/11

15:05, Asct, Fleeting Spirit EP 3.15

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying these selections.

Other Information
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
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Grey Horse Bot affiliate programme

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Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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