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18th September 2006.

Yesterdays Results
Sleeping Indian (Miracle System) came 1st, Burning Incense (lay of the day) came 23rd!

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I hope you had a good weekend. I managed to get myself down to the lake and sailed and I also got out on a windsurfer, something I haven't done for a while!

I am afraid to say we are losing two of the daily selections in the next couple of days.

First to go is Luv2lose which opens it's doors as a service today.

Luv2lose is run by John who has been good enough to let use see his tips for quite a while and I think he has proved that if you want a low priced "one a day" type of selection then luv2lose should suit you down to the ground.

John works very hard to find a low cost lay and even gives a quick overview of why he picked the runner.

I mentioned Friday that this would be the last few day's of "Nags to Riches", I don't think I need to go in to much detail as we have been following these selections for quite a while now.

Nags to riches latest winning streak stands at 16 although Friday's selection was trading at a very high price.


Carrying on from Friday.

Going by own experience and records then up to about 8/1 you are probably most of the time anyway within the 20% mark.

So a horse with an SP of evens (1/1) could have been trading at around 1.2 on the exchanges, where as a horse with an sp of 8/1 is probably near 9.6 but it does start to get fuzzy around this area but you probably wont be far of the mark.

The thing you really need to consider is was the selection likely have been in the top 3 of the betting order? At 6/1 or Under (depending on the number of runners) then it is a good possibility especially in handicap races but above 8/1 then the chances are less likely.

Unless you keep copies of the racing post then the only way you are going to find this out is to go back over some of the results and look at the SP of the other runners to see where the published selection lies.

I must admit that when I see results where the site is only showing a date with Win or loss along side them I am very dubious. At the very least there should be a date of the race and the runner’s name, which would at least allow you to search for the actual race.

If the runners are priced higher than 8/1 then you start to see the big gaps that are often found between SP and EP and this becomes more prominent the higher the price, although again if the runner is still in the top 3 (maybe 4) this might not be as bad as you feel it could be.

If you take a quick look at the “Nags to Riches” results, which is always the favourite in the Racing Post and is likely to still be in the top 3 in the betting order, you can see that more often than not the average Betfair price is very close to the SP.

More tomorrow


We won with Satchem on Friday.

Kemp (AvB) 18th Sep - 14:10 Coeur v Recruit

My Test Lay is Coeur De Lionne @ 2.22

To get the selections I am just using pointers like RPR and Topspeed so this really does need refining but seems to be working at the moment.

Racing Post - lose and win selections
(racingpost - racing- tipsters-naps- Today's best Bet's)

Friday: 15:10, Newbury, Sleeping Indian 1st 11/8, AV 2.57

We had a winner with Sleeping Indian Friday and as it was 11/8 it would have been a bet, if we were following the "only bet if evens or better" hinking.

My Win Selection: (7 winners 9 loser so far)
15:15, Kempton, Dragon Flower @ 1.64

It's always difficult to judge a maiden especially when so many runners have no form. At such a low price this selection is not good value, especially with so many unknowns in the race..


"The Deadly sins of Gambling"

Other Sins.


New (test) Lay System..."Nags to Riches"
We won on both Friday.

Sorry this is the last few day's of showing this selection if you like these tips and wish to continue receiving them you can here.

W = 83
L = 12
% = 87

Normal (this is the normal nag's to Riches lay system rules selection).
14:35 Leicester, Royal Bandit

New (this is a new version of nag's to Riches lay system rules selection that we have been trying).

14:35 Leicester, Royal Bandit



Miracle System (win Bet)
16:20, Kempton, Figaro Flyer (Win bet)


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"Best Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
16:20 KEMPTON PARK Figaro Flyer (V4 AW)

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

Advantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners last got an update 22/07/2005
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website...

o Todays sponser tip
The Golden Egg Lay Tips

Here are the selections for Monday.
If trading above 5/1 (Betfair 6.0) then no bet.

Selection 1: Folkestone 2.55 Mr Cellophane
Selection 2: Leicester 3.40Frontline In Focus
Selection 3: Leicester 4.10 Summer Lodge
Selection 4: Kempton 3.50Red Gala
Selection 5: Kempton 5.20 His Honour

Please Note: We now have a No Bet rule if the horse is trading at 6/1 or over.

If you have a bank of £500 you divide it by 50 giving you a stake of £10 so your level stake would be £10 on each selection

The Golden Egg Lay Tips

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Best of Luck


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