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24th April 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I have been talking about Greyhounds a lot later because at the moment I have some weird fascination with them, well in fact they have always intrigued me because I think they represent a great opportunity to just "sneak in" make some profit and "sneak out" again. They are good for us as well because they give us plenty of races to test the GHB on throughout the day.

Yesterday I was (and have nearly finished) adapting a spreadsheet for GHB that will use a staking plan for so long, but then revert back to normal staking if a maximum stop loss has been reached. I was testing it by backing favourites and I had a good run of winners over the course of a few hours of tweaking the spreadsheet to get it to work the way I wanted it to.

I think the problem with Greyhounds (and I am probably guilty of this myself) is that because there are so many races you just don't want to stop!

Because of this I think you have to find a level of profit that will satisfy your needs (within reason) while allowing you stop as soon as possible.

As you can see from the "New Greyhound Lay system" we have been testing in the news letter there have been plenty of days where we could have stopped early and safely taken a profit, before hitting a bad run.

I tend to think, 3 times your stake or 3 winners in a row is a good place to start if you "lay" and I 5 should be your maximum. I also think if you are backing you may want to stop at the first win.

I will let you know when the spreadsheet is finished so if you are a GHB subscriber, you can download it and try it out.
New Lay Test

4.05 Nots, Hows She Cuttin EP 14 5th 9/1 (we Got 15) 4.75
4.55 Cat, Wicksy Creek NR
5.40 Perth, Political Paddy EP 5.5 4th 7/2 (we Got 7) 11.08
7.20 Kemp, Nikolaievich EP 11.5 6th 16/1 (We got 24) 2.89
7.50 Kemp, Resplendent Ace 12 (1st but no bet because over 10% on NR's)

7.35 South, Bartercard EP 3.65

Pot 2 now stands at £-100.17 (Target £70.00)
New Greyhound Lay system I had come up with.

After some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.

I will start showing all selections now but please remember that some of the late races may not appear on Betfair.

Sorry we were having problems with the betfair API yesterday and I didn't give you the selections, but here is my screenshot.
As you can see I finished early.

Here are today's
11:11, Sheff, Preston Gold
12:12, Sheff, Rushmoor Bonnie
12:12, Sheff, Ask Mikey
12:58, Sheff, Delwood Rebecca
13:04, Sund, Snoozys Blondie
13:44, Sheff, Sing It Now
14:08, Romfd, Stemart Nellie
14:47, Romfd, Pharaoh Diver
17:33, Crayfd, Molls Savings
17:38, Romfd, Drumena Cloud
18:04, Crayfd, Already Taken
18:11, Romfd, Mayflower Flight
18:48, Sittb, American Idle
20:13, Newc, Vicarage Barney
20:13, Newc, Bellpac Fanta
20:43, Newc, Lady Of Means
21:07, Sittb, Lookoutforsamson
21:07, Sittb, Dunbolg Attila
21:14, Newc, Killeacle John
21:22, Sittb, Free Angel
21:45, Newc, Solway Sunrise

Please remember this is a new test and there are no rules yet.

Guest Selection
Andrew lays

16.00 Folk, Lupita EP 3.45 8th 9/4
17.00 South, Pertemps Networks EP 2.12 NR
18.45 Bath, Sugar Ray EP 2.56 1st 1/1

16.05 Nots, Chief Editor EP 2.46
16.40 Notts, Wasan EP 2.94
20.50 Kemp, Al Khaleej EP3.95

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Sponsor Tip of the day.

The Almost Certain Lay Nap

4.30 Perth, Kausse De Thaix

The Almost Certain Lay Nap

Malcolm's Selections
Best Lay of the Day
14.55 Nott, Cabinet 1st 6/4

Today: 15.45 Bev, Rowan River

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Place System: Started 20-11-2006

This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 66.08
Points new system (30/07/07) + 27.10

No Selections

15:10, Beverley, Toto Skyllachy, EP 2.3
18:35, Southwell, Jackie Kiely, EP 2.66

(*) No bet under new system idea


Back test system
Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how we are now testing it.
£10 stakes.

Level Stakes
£25.50 (after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008
Using a staking plan similar to CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/3/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £43.18 (staking running loss 0.00 )
14:55, Nott, Cabinet EP 3.45 (staking stake £14.95) 1st 6/4

17.30, Bev, Greyfriars Abbey EP2.72

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying these selections.

Other Information
I Prefer

 "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these out)
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Grey Horse Bot affiliate programme

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Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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