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25th June 2008

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I managed to get the Guest Selections (back4profit) back results page working yesterday using a formula for dutching.

I also started on another page as well which was showing the results just betting on the favourite (or the first selection as we show it). Using £10 stakes and based on SP the profit was over £50 for the month at level stakes, which I think is pretty good when out of 20 selections it includes 6 losers, 1 non runner and 8 of the selections were under evens (odds on).

Which of course has got me thinking about all sorts of ideas but I think I may also use a % of my bank, backing only the favourite as well as dutching both. I will probably only use 5% or less because I may decide to use a staking plan.

Anyway more on this tomorrow.

Don't forget you can sign up for the selections here:

And see the lay results here:

As I mentioned yesterday because of family commitments my rambles are short this week.

New Greyhound Lay system I had come up with.

After some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.
If you are a subscriber to GHB I am going to start putting the session file up for you (mon to fri)
The settings in this session file are odds 1 to 6.00 and 0.10 stake so you may want to use your own stake settings, which you should do anyway because I could make a mistake!
All Screen shots.

12:18, Nott, Snaggle Puss
12:42, PBarr, Faded Glory
12:58, PBarr, Ruths Tuck
13:44, PBarr, Dalcash Fantasy
14:08, Crayfd, Rodges Choice
15:58, Sund, Raparee Wok
15:58, Sund, Arbroath Scruff
16:27, Crayfd, Etiquette
16:57, Sund, Aulton Grace
17:33, Sund, Racks Cross
17:38, Crayfd, Too Much Lolly
17:56, Crayfd, Trouble N Strife
18:04, Sund, Thornberry Lily
18:04, Sund, Baltree Girl
18:11, Crayfd, Irby Lad
18:11, Crayfd, Angel Princess
19:06, Newc, Canny Mirage
20:07, Newc, Zantedeschia
20:22, Newc, Canny Corrina
20:37, Newc, Blackhouse Dolly
20:37, Newc, Gamblers Daniel
20:51, Newc, Disguised Girl
21:07, Newc, Ashes Win
21:33, Sheff, Shear Oasis
21:33, Sheff, Preston Gold
21:37, Newc, Larsons Legacy
21:52, Newc, Jimmy Floyd

Sorry I forgot to take a screenshot before I shut the bot down!

12:18, HGrn, Oakwood Quarrys
13:51, HGrn, Jenson Dragonfly
14:08, Hove, Kilkenny Faith
15:48, Hove, Smooth Sherry
17:07, Hove, Cushie Bold
17:22, Hove, Night And Day
19:11, Sund, Druids Isabel
20:13, Sund, Mayfield Rebel
20:22, Swin, Flying Back
20:51, Swin, Ballywalter Zap
21:07, Swin, Chipperfield Top

Please remember this is a new test (well not that new!) and there are no rules yet, in fact the only rule I can think of is maybe miss races where there are two selections.

Guest Selection (back 4 profit)

This is a new back test.

I am not sure about NR's, the favourite does tend to win most of the time, with the second favourite about a 3rd of the time so it could be worth backing the the second if the favourite is a NR. If the second favourite is a NR then you can take the next runner in the betting.
Current bank: £72.67

4.15 Bev
Filligree Lace 1.73 2bd 4/6
Wikaala  3.3 1st 7/4

6.50 Kemp
Roly Boy EP 1.77
Duke of Aquitane EP 10

I am now using 10% of my bank as liability and dutching the selections.

New Lay Test (lay 4 Profit)
I am now using 10% of my bank as liability.
Lay results this month.

4.00 Brig, Hester Brook 7.00 2nd 4/1

4.15 Salis, Prince of Thebes EP 13.5
Again there is a gap between the back and lay sides so I will wait a couple of hours.

I am now using 10% of my bank as liability.

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Sponsor Tip of the day.

Gray's Lay's.

Comments for today: Good Morning hope the weather is still fine wherever you are. I hope you all took notice of the significant non-runners yesterday they took out nearly 28% of the book and so resulted in a No Bet our other considered horses was well beaten. On to todays selections we have gone for 1625 Worcester Roby De Cimbre the other horse considered was 1515 Salisbury Warringah. Good Luck Brian & Graham

Selection 1: 1625 Worcester Roby De Cimbre

Gray's Lay's

Malcolm's Selections

Best Lay of the Day
20.30 Newb, Suzi's Decision 1st 7/2

Today: 19.40 Bath, April Fool

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.

Place System: Started 20-11-2006

This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 68.37
Points new system (30/07/07) +28.97

16:00, Brighton, Foreign King, EP 2.38 1st

16:25, Worcester, Lord Jay Jay EP 2.38
16:35, Carlisle, Passion Fruit EP 2.1 (*)

(*) No bet under new system idea


Back test system
Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how we are now testing it.
£10 stakes.

Level Stakes
£16.14 (after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008
Using a staking plan similar to CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/3/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £90.12 (staking running loss 16.58 )
15:45, Bevl, Riley Boys 2.52 (staking Stake £6.58) 4th 7/4

15:15, Sals, Warringah EP 1.8 (No staking plan when under 2.00)

Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying these selections.

Other Information
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Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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